Yesterday, the NYTimes published an article about SW Oregon and the mentality of reducing taxes because government is too bloated. In the case they focus the most on, it's a specific tax levied as a property tax to support the local libraries. However, they give other examples like a jail being defunded. Part of this is the long-running narrative by many conservatives, that government is too bloated or that it's incompetent (presumably not the conservatives making the claim).
So this set of natural experiments raises a lot of questions.
But last fall, Douglas County residents voted down a ballot measure that would have added about $6 a month to the tax bill on a median-priced home and saved the libraries from a funding crisis. So this spring, it has been lights out, one by one, for the systems 11 branches. The Roseburg central library here is the last to go.
...
Just east of Curry in Josephine County, the jail has been defunded after nine consecutive defeats of public safety tax levies there will be another try next week in a special election leading to a policy of catch-and-release for nonviolent criminals.
...
Counties that draw a line on taxes are also unlikely to get bailed out by state governments, including Oregons, which are facing budget stresses and tax-resistance movements of their own. Revenue came in less than budgeted in 25 states last year, the most since the Great Recession, according to a report by the National Association of State Budget Officers. Louisiana and Wyoming have laid off workers. Alaska has slashed funding for education. Here in Oregon, Gov. Kate Brown, a Democrat, ordered a hiring freeze last month as the state wrestles with a $1.6 billion shortfall.
So what does life in government retreat look like?
It looks like the house on Hubbard Creek Road in Curry County, where owners went for more than 10 years without paying any property taxes at all because the county assessors office couldnt field enough workers to go out and inspect. The house, nestled in the woods with a tidy blue roof and skylights, dodged more than $8,500 in property taxes that would have gone to support the schools, fire district and sheriff, because government had gotten too small to even ask. So things fall even further, with cuts to agencies that actually bring in revenue prompting further cuts down the line.
So this set of natural experiments raises a lot of questions.
- What services could you do without?
- What would the long term effects of those be?
- Who responds when a disaster happens?
- Do you need to pay a group of people who develop contingencies plans for disasters?
- How important are public services to the great America our forefathers have built?
- Is there some distant point in the future where we've defunded education so much, that the average immigrant is smarter than the average American?