GifGafIsTheBestGaf
Member
will edit later
[360] 55K
[3DS] 30K
[PS3] 45K
[PS4] 350K
[WIU] 70K
[XB1] 320K
[360] 55K
[3DS] 30K
[PS3] 45K
[PS4] 350K
[WIU] 70K
[XB1] 320K
It feels like you're really underestimating holiday months. How is this even a question?
Because it depends on the gaps between the platforms, not the absolute sales of one. Of course Xbox one November+December will be > ps4 sep+oct. I think the question was clearly meant to be whether any lead Xbox has in those two months will offset ps4's lead from sep/oct.
I.e
Will (Xbox nov + dec) - (PS4 nov + dec) > (PS4 sep + Oct) - (Xbox sep + October)?
PS4 has had a couple of strong results recently and even if Xbox wins November and December, it might be by a narrowish margin.
I guess my point is, and I didn't explain myself well at all.....Both consoles will sell like crazy.... I'm talking about sale differences, not total sales...
PS4 outsold the Xbox One pretty well in September, and let's assume it outsells the One again in October. That would increase the PS4s sales gap over the One in North America....
Assuming the Xbox One outsells the PS4 in November and December...Will that difference be enough to cut into the lead that the PS4 extended in September and October? That's just what I find interesting....
If the Xbox One outsells the PS4 by 150,000 units total in November and December, will that be enough to cut into the gap the PS4 extended the previous 2 months? That would mean the Xbox One basically "won" the last 4 months of the year and can create great momentum heading into 2015...
Because it depends on the gaps between the platforms, not the absolute sales of one. Of course Xbox one November+December will be > ps4 sep+oct. I think the question was clearly meant to be whether any lead Xbox has in those two months will offset ps4's lead from sep/oct.
I.e
Will (Xbox nov + dec) - (PS4 nov + dec) > (PS4 sep + Oct) - (Xbox sep + October)?
PS4 has had a couple of strong results recently and even if Xbox wins November and December, it might be by a narrowish margin.
I give it a 75 | 25 split that MS wins November versus Sony winning November. Everything seems stacked for MS to claim November but after March and June, I can never quite tell what will happen
Best Buy retail check in:
Sony and the PS4 stayed strongly in the lead through October, though that isn't to say that the XB1 was doing poorly this month. Just... the trends continue to favor the PS4. We see some customers bringing in their friends to buy the same systems as they have, and since we've had more PS4's going out the door (both the original model and the white Destiny bundle), it just ends to work in that cycle, so to speak.
SO has done better than expected (at least the game itself), but we didn't really get much in the way of stock for the bundles, or of the preorders. I'll be interested to see how it does nation wide. And when I say better than expected... our expectations were pretty low. Maybe the positive reviews helped make it more visible, and some positive impressions from employees/customers help others give it a chance. Not setting the world afire, but it's doing okay.
For Prodigy: Bayonetta 2 released to virtually no fanfare, I'm sorry to say. Wii U continues to exist in a space with the Vita, where people do come in and get them, but they are always well informed as to what they are getting. it's never an 'impulse' purchase. More like people reach their tipping point for 'justification'.
A GTAV bundle would be huge for November.
Why is there such belief that XB1 will see a bigger seasonal spike that PS4? Is it due to SO and MCC, are there other factors?
An honest (possibly stupid) question:
Why is there such belief that XB1 will see a bigger seasonal spike that PS4? Is it due to SO and MCC, are there other factors?
Also, I'm very sceptical that the resident NPD experts won't make a reappearance once the results are in. However subtle and oblique the approach, I don't think they'll be able to resist.
An honest (possibly stupid) question:
Why is there such belief that XB1 will see a bigger seasonal spike that PS4? Is it due to SO and MCC, are there other factors?
An honest (possibly stupid) question:
Why is there such belief that XB1 will see a bigger seasonal spike that PS4? Is it due to SO and MCC, are there other factors?
Also, I'm very sceptical that the resident NPD experts won't make a reappearance once the results are in. However subtle and oblique the approach, I don't think they'll be able to resist.
Black Friday will be part of November NPD, so depending of the deals I think PS4 will win.
Microsoft bundles and price drop are really good, but PS4 has greater appeal naturally.
[360] 60k
[3DS] 95k
[PS3] 42k
[PS4] 295k
[WIU] 75k
[XB1] 220k
[360] 60K
[3DS] 100K
[PS3] 36K
[PS4] 300K
[WIU] 70K
[XB1] 190K
.
[PS4]250k
[XB1]184k
[360]42k
[PS3]28k
[3DS]81k
[WIU]61k
October is 4 weeks, September was 5.Just reading through this thread. Why the hell is everyone's predictions so low across the board?
Isn't October ramping up to the Holiday season anymore?
Just reading through this thread. Why the hell is everyone's predictions so low across the board?
Isn't October ramping up to the Holiday season anymore?
How do you mean? What people concider was value in this regards is a highly subjective thing.Regardless of what happens in October's NPD, November's will be a battle of perceived value vs. actual value.
Regardless of what happens in October's NPD, November's will be a battle of perceived value vs. actual value.
If I remember correctly, this guy does this stuff all the time "against" the PS4.This is ridiculous. Everyone values different things, so all value is perceived.
Nah.How do you mean? What people concider was value in this regards is a highly subjective thing.
I should probably revise down quite a bit.Complete guess work on my behalf, and I'm sure Destiny has raised the PS4 baseline even up till this very day, but the baseline was like 45k for PS4. Has Destiny really more than doubled the baseline, 4 - 8 weeks out?
Nah.
I should probably revise down quite a bit.![]()
That said, I think there are seasonal effects to consider as well as the dearth of major releases during the pre-Destiny, post-Watch Dogs, portion of the year.
June basically had nothing. July's biggest release was a remaster. August had Madden, which is a big release, but occurred late in the month and we probably had some demand deferred due to the Destiny bundle in September, throughout that period.
September was obviously Destiny, but there was a smattering of other releases around it like NHL, Mordor, FIFA and Disney Infinity.
October has Alien: Isolation, Lords of the Fallen, The Evil Within and NBA2K. None of these are huge releases (although NBA2K does do good numbers, and has been growing from memory), but they're more than what's been happening through the NA Summer.