Official December NPD Prediction Thread (Pachter kills EVERYBODY! Bow down!!!)

Digital-Hero said:
MS only outsold Wii once in 2007. Do you really think its going to happen again?


Says the guy who has most consoles at lower sales for December than it was for November.

[360] 800,000
[GBA] 200,000
[NDS] 1,300,000
[PS2] 400,000
[PS3] 540,000
[PSP] 650,000
[WII] 1,100,000
 
Culex said:
To those who are saying that the Wii outsold the 360 in December:

What makes you think Nintendo shipped more than MS during that month?

Hoarding of 1.8 Million production since July 07. If you combine sales of US + Japan + Europe + Other (say 10%), you will find that it does not equal 1.8 / month. So Nintendo is saving some of that 1.8 Million for Nov and Dec 07.

Aso, don't forget Wii Rain Check, and the fact that NPD Dec also cover one week in January (which mean it can have shipment from early January production).

Off-topic :
A reminder for all those member of Neo-GAF that has registered on simExchange, don't forget to do trading on it. In addition to achieving good result here, you can also help bring NeoGAF community to better standing. Currently NeoGAF was the worst of the 3 community (the other 2 are Crazy Ass Gamer & Evil Avatar)

Some of the member that has not participate yet, based on yesterday's data :
Code:
59 icebergisonfire Agent Icebeezy 1,000,000.00 0.00% 
60 DarkPrince Dark Prince 1,000,000.00 0.00% 
61 wsippel wsippel 1,000,000.00 0.00% 
62 ICallItFutile ICallItFutile 1,000,000.00 0.00% 
63 Spire Spire 1,000,000.00 0.00% 
64 borsdy borsdy 1,000,000.00 0.00% 
65 Raw64life Raw64life 1,000,000.00 0.00% 
66 LaMeRz LaMeRz 1,000,000.00 0.00% 
67 mhwchung $h@d0w 1,000,000.00 0.00% 
68 Kazenone Kazenone 1,000,000.00 0.00% 
69 NuclearMuffin Nuclear Muffin 1,000,000.00 0.00%

Brakara is active there, and his last # is 1,612,567.30, a 60% increase since his Dec 7 # (1,010,534.97).

You can participate in simExchange discussion here :
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=208176
 
Culex said:
To those who are saying that the Wii outsold the 360 in December:

What makes you think Nintendo shipped more than MS during that month?
Either Wii's December number will be significantly higher than its November number, or Nintendo mysteriously and stupidly frontloaded holiday supply.
 
JoshuaJSlone said:
Either Wii's December number will be significantly higher than its November number, or Nintendo mysteriously and stupidly frontloaded holiday supply.

I'd agree there. Hopefully, they really did have a stock left on hold for the holidays.
 
apujanata said:
Brakara is active there, and his last # is 1,612,567.30, a 60% increase since his Dec 7 # (1,010,534.97).

Is that good or bad? :lol I'm not really that active either, mostly just doing trading before and after NPD days with some adjustments midway. Having played HSX I know how much time these things can suck out of you, so I'm doing my best to restrain myself. :)
 
Brakara said:
Is that good or bad? :lol I'm not really that active either, mostly just doing trading before and after NPD days with some adjustments midway. Having played HSX I know how much time these things can suck out of you, so I'm doing my best to restrain myself. :)

I think that is above average. Not fantastic (Top 3), mind you, but above average. Might be very good (Top 10 or Top 15), but I wouldn't really know about that.

We can continue this discussion in this URL :
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=223348
to avoid cluttering NPD prediction thread. I really wanted to know how many times you spent on HSX.
 
perfectchaos007 said:
[360] 1112k
[GBA] 199k
[NDS] 2300k
[PS2] 999k
[PS3] 715k ( sony lied in their PR. Once again Shipped=/=sold sonybots )
[PSP] 1000k
[WII] 1500k
didn't they specifically said sale through to customers? What evidence do you have that they lied?
 
Gadfly said:
didn't they specifically said sale through to customers? What evidence do you have that they lied?

During the Blu-Ray conference at CES, the Fox guy said that there were roughly 3 million PS3s in the marketplace. As of November NPD, the PS3 was at 2.44 million sold. Someone is wrong, so that is why I kept my number.
 
Gadfly said:
didn't they specifically said sale through to customers? What evidence do you have that they lied?

Yeah, you obviously don't read PR's from Sony often. The evidence I have of them lieing is from their lies on previous months.
 
My first time at this...let me try...

[360] 1300K
[NDS] 2400K
[PS2] 900K
[PS3] 950K
[PSP] 1000K
[WII] 1700K

Oh and I've signed up for The Sim Exchange

Edited: I overstated PS3 by 150K. I've since restated the amount
 
Gadfly said:
didn't they specifically said sale through to customers? What evidence do you have that they lied?
The 1.2m number also included the week of black Friday, which was captured in November NPD, and was for all of NA. NPD however extends into the first week of January, so there's a pretty wide range depending on how people accounted for those factors in their predictions. Also, in that thread there was a confusing follow-up from Sony PR. Probably a miscommunication, but it was enough to raise an eyebrow or two.

Next Thursday is going to be a hoot.
 
[360] 1050k
[GBA] 200k
[NDS] 2400k
[PS2] 800k
[PS3] 970k
[PSP] 1000k
[WII] 1400k
 
was there ever a peep out of nintendo or microsoft? that's pretty thoughtless on their part if they did not. i hope to see an article about it on gamepartisan.com, as that's where i get all my gaming news.
 
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