Captain Pants
Killed by a goddamned Dredgeling
[360] 425,000
[GBA] 65,000
[NDS] 450,000
[PS2] 200,000
[PS3] 150,000
[PSP] 350,000
[WII] 300,000
[GBA] 65,000
[NDS] 450,000
[PS2] 200,000
[PS3] 150,000
[PSP] 350,000
[WII] 300,000
Official September 2007 NPD Prediction Thread
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
Hcoregamer00
The 'H' stands for hentai.
GhaleonEB said:
Yeah, but that wouldn't be in the spirit of Predicting, if my revision is constantly changed once people keep telling it is off for whatever reason.
First Children
Member
What happened to bunkum?
gregor7777
Banned
When are we graced with his Majesty's numbers?
Mariah Carey
Member
September should be a huge month.
[360] 525,000
[WII] 467,000
[NDS] 418,000
[PSP] 264,000
[PS2] 228,000
[PS3] 139,000
[GBA] 82,000
[360] 525,000
[WII] 467,000
[NDS] 418,000
[PSP] 264,000
[PS2] 228,000
[PS3] 139,000
[GBA] 82,000
titiklabingapat
Member
[WII] 551,567 - 5 week month. Might surprise everyone. The might of Halo cannot overcome the power of waggle, touching and non-gamers.
[NDS] 474,129 - the usual.
[360] 387,942 - Halo 3 and some price cut residue.
[PSP] 365,118 - might surprise everyone a bit.
[PS2] 247,561 - slowing down slowly but surely.
[PS3] 132,438 - they're done.
[GBA] 85,055 - hemorrhaging faster than PS2 and on it's way to oblivion.
Reports of never before seen Wii supply coming in, it's obvious that Nintendo flooded the channel to take some wind off of Halo 3. Never dipped below the Amazon top 5 for most of the entire reporting period, even with Halo 3 slaughtering everyone else. Was even number one immediately after Halo 3 launched. Usually had a (approximately)two week cycle of being in the top 5 for two a week then back down to the top 10 the next. Alot of it's accessories also showed the same resurgence.
Price cut effects waning down on the the 360 but Halo 3 should tide the bleeding.
[NDS] 474,129 - the usual.
[360] 387,942 - Halo 3 and some price cut residue.
[PSP] 365,118 - might surprise everyone a bit.
[PS2] 247,561 - slowing down slowly but surely.
[PS3] 132,438 - they're done.
[GBA] 85,055 - hemorrhaging faster than PS2 and on it's way to oblivion.
Reports of never before seen Wii supply coming in, it's obvious that Nintendo flooded the channel to take some wind off of Halo 3. Never dipped below the Amazon top 5 for most of the entire reporting period, even with Halo 3 slaughtering everyone else. Was even number one immediately after Halo 3 launched. Usually had a (approximately)two week cycle of being in the top 5 for two a week then back down to the top 10 the next. Alot of it's accessories also showed the same resurgence.
Price cut effects waning down on the the 360 but Halo 3 should tide the bleeding.
Maxwell House
Member
Price Drop + Halo 3 + 5 week NPD period = greater than 500k in sales.Gahiggidy said:
RattleHead_
Member
It sold 280k last month which was a 4 week period. So I think with the extra week plus Halo it should see a nice sized bump easily hitting 500k+.Gahiggidy said:
Edit: Also, wasn't the Halo 3 console released this month?
SuperBanjo
Member
[360] 380,000
[GBA] 80,000
[NDS] 400,000
[PS2] 230,000
[PS3] 145,000
[PSP] 250,000
[WII] 430,000
[GBA] 80,000
[NDS] 400,000
[PS2] 230,000
[PS3] 145,000
[PSP] 250,000
[WII] 430,000
Mr.Potato Head
Banned
[360]490K
[NDS]450K
[WII]375K
[PS2]200k
[PSP]260K
[PS3]170k
[NDS]450K
[WII]375K
[PS2]200k
[PSP]260K
[PS3]170k
Oblivion said:
:lol
Sí
GhaleonEB said:
Right. The parser runs at 4 p.m. Wednesday, so whatever you have predicted at that time is what matters. You can edit all you want up to that point, and it will count.
lix2k3 said:
Please use a regular bracket instead of a curly one.
First Children said:
His sister got Wii Fit for Christmas.
[NDS] 500K
[WII] 430K
[360] 425K
[PSP] 260K
[PS2] 235K
[PS3] 135K
[GBA] 74K
I'll do software after we find out how the software predictions will work this month. I think Halo 3 might be number 1, though. Maybe.
BishopLamont
Banned
The 360 won't be 500k but it'll be above 410k, either way you're screwed Odysseus. :lol
Ok I admit this is my first time and it's purely from the gut, no need for analytical shenanigans.
[WII] 501k
[DS] 550k
[360] 465k
[PSP] 370k
[PS2] 240k
[PS3] 140k
[GBA] 89k
Ok I admit this is my first time and it's purely from the gut, no need for analytical shenanigans.
[WII] 501k
[DS] 550k
[360] 465k
[PSP] 370k
[PS2] 240k
[PS3] 140k
[GBA] 89k
AndersTheSwede
Member
[360] 420k
[Wii] 400k
[PS2] 200k
[PS3] 135k
[NDS] 500k
[PSP] 250k
[GBA] 80k
[Wii] 400k
[PS2] 200k
[PS3] 135k
[NDS] 500k
[PSP] 250k
[GBA] 80k
first time doing this. may as well throw in my 2 cents. numbers are approximate.
[NDS] 530k
[Wii] 450k
[360] 420k
[PS2] 250k
[PSP] 200k
[PS3] 160k
[GBA] 80k
1. [360] Halo 3 - 3.9 million
2. [PS2] Madden NFL 2008 - 620k
3. [Wii] Metroid Prime 3 - 500k
4. [360] Madden NFL 2008 - 480k
5. [NDS] Legend of Zelda: Phantom Hourglass - 290k
6. [360] Bioshock - 280k
7. [NDS] Brain Age 2 - 260k
8. [Wii] Wii Play w/ remote - 250k
9. [PS3] Madden NFL 2008 - 220k
10. [Wii] Mario Party 8 - 155k
software sales up big time. boosted mostly with Halo 3 sales, though other sales are increased due to early holiday shoppers. Wii sales up due to increase in supply to ramp up for the holiday season and to help counter Halo 3 sales. sales spurned by solid sales of brain age 2 and Phantom Hourglass, not to mention a separate SKU for the crimson/black color, bring the DS back to the top. 360 system sales also spurned by insane Halo sales and the prospect of the limited Halo edition 360 increase 360 sales significantly, but not enough to catch DS and Wii pre-holiday season sales.
in specific software sales, Metroid sees a very good month due to positive impressions and Wii consumer curiosity (expanded audience). 360 Madden and Bioshock sales see sharp drop during run-up to the launch of Halo 3, perhaps even further than i'm predicting. Phantom hourglass gets excellent numbers for the short time it's time on the list for the same reason as Metroid's successes. Brain Age 2 sees a larger resurgence for early holiday shoppers.
thats my story and i'm sticking to it.
[NDS] 530k
[Wii] 450k
[360] 420k
[PS2] 250k
[PSP] 200k
[PS3] 160k
[GBA] 80k
1. [360] Halo 3 - 3.9 million
2. [PS2] Madden NFL 2008 - 620k
3. [Wii] Metroid Prime 3 - 500k
4. [360] Madden NFL 2008 - 480k
5. [NDS] Legend of Zelda: Phantom Hourglass - 290k
6. [360] Bioshock - 280k
7. [NDS] Brain Age 2 - 260k
8. [Wii] Wii Play w/ remote - 250k
9. [PS3] Madden NFL 2008 - 220k
10. [Wii] Mario Party 8 - 155k
software sales up big time. boosted mostly with Halo 3 sales, though other sales are increased due to early holiday shoppers. Wii sales up due to increase in supply to ramp up for the holiday season and to help counter Halo 3 sales. sales spurned by solid sales of brain age 2 and Phantom Hourglass, not to mention a separate SKU for the crimson/black color, bring the DS back to the top. 360 system sales also spurned by insane Halo sales and the prospect of the limited Halo edition 360 increase 360 sales significantly, but not enough to catch DS and Wii pre-holiday season sales.
in specific software sales, Metroid sees a very good month due to positive impressions and Wii consumer curiosity (expanded audience). 360 Madden and Bioshock sales see sharp drop during run-up to the launch of Halo 3, perhaps even further than i'm predicting. Phantom hourglass gets excellent numbers for the short time it's time on the list for the same reason as Metroid's successes. Brain Age 2 sees a larger resurgence for early holiday shoppers.
thats my story and i'm sticking to it.
BishopLamont
Banned
doomed1 said:
Flash Focus release date is October 15, this is for September dude. Also it won't hit 500k, non games don't debut at high numbers. Oh and how is MP3 going to hit 500k when it debuted at 218k last month? There's following your gut and there's blind predictions, I think yours falls within the latter.
titiklabingapat
Member
doomed1 said:
If you predicted that Wii is up due to increased supply, shouldn't your figures be over 500k because September is a 5 week month?
Absinthe (Permed)
Banned
Five week month? The Wii has a legitimate shot of hitting at or near 600,000.
titiklabingapat
Member
I got the feeling that you're not the only one who failed to take that into accountAbsinthe said:
JoshuaJSlone
Member
As the original post says, you might want to put software stuff in a quote. WIth the brackets like that, it could try reading them as the final word on your hardware estimates.doomed1 said:
Sure seems that way. If weekly sales were completely flat from last month, things would end up liketitiklabingapat said:I got the feeling that you're not the only one who failed to take that into account
Wii: 504,500
GBA: 86,875
DS: 479,125
PS2: 252,500
PS3: 163,250
PSP: 189,000
X360: 345,875