Oklahoma City - Highest STP Tornado warning in history tonight

Buggy Loop

Buggy Loop

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I don't live anywhere near that (Canada yay!), but when I saw that circulating it blew my mind

Normally the Significant Tornado Parameter (STP) is in a scale of 1-10.

During the 2011 Tornado Super outbreak, the highest value recorded for STP was 17.5.

This STP map shows a max = 42.05 43.89 (edit after finding twitter gif)

It's a meteorological first / record



unprecedented-tornado-forecast-in-the-great-plains-normally-v0-i1c271ohdvyc1.png



updated-parameters-for-ok-this-evening-v0-vm3az4nbjvyc1.png


Stay safe whomever is in that region!
 
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Damn… expected to get some bad weather around middle TN at some point from this but this looks scary as fuck.

Stay safe to all gaffers in that area. 😭
 
Weather going absolutely nuts. This is happening while Southern Brazil is going through the worst flooding ever recorded, southeastern Brazil having the hottest April on record and May going the same path. Fuck.
 
The map above btw is predicting for 1am. Shit is happening during the night. Hard to be a worst time for historic storm, in the dark :messenger_hushed:

Following this in the meantime

 
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The energy available for worsening weather systems appear to be increasing alot faster than mentioned.

Stay safe. :0
 
Yeah this is going to be a crazy night. We're on the edge of the storm front but thankfully out of the tornado zone. You could not pay me to live in or near Oklahoma. Scary shit.
 
That storm footage on koco 5 news is insane. HUGE cell.

It's water wrapped so it's even more dangerous, can't really tell where it is and there's not much time for daylight.

Two stormchasers



 
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So far, this has not produced. There are storms that are growing, this is still within the time parameters for the ramp up and tornadic activity to occur, but cell mergers and line forming has really kept this potential at bay, especially after the models all generally lined up on this as far back as 3-4 days ago (which is pretty rare).

There will be tornadoes tonight, in fact currently a couple likely on the ground or close - but this has not been the red letter day that was predicted, yet. The dry cool lines are closing in on each other shortly though, which could change some things.
 
Starting to plant now, not unexpected though a little delayed. The Hominy one looks very... not good.

Edit: First PDS warning dropped. This guy is definitely not good.
 
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Time to dig a bunker under the underground bunker.

Jokes aside. Stay safe my fellow Gaffers in or near that area.
 
0neAnd0nly said:
Starting to plant now, not unexpected though a little delayed. The Hominy one looks very... not good.

Edit: First PDS warning dropped. This guy is definitely not good.
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Hey bro, I hope I don't come across as an ass here but what is PDS? Where are you getting your info from? if you have a link please share it with me. I'm curious to know whats going on
 
Hawking Radiation said:
Hey bro, I hope I don't come across as an ass here but what is PDS? Where are you getting your info from? if you have a link please share it with me. I'm curious to know whats going on
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You're good man! PDS is a "Particularly Dangerous Situation" - meaning a serious, damaging tornado. It's the worst warning given OUTSIDE of "Tornado Emergency".
 
Mark my words, Barnsdall is going to be hit hard by a very strong tornado currently. This thing is flinging debris up WAY high.
 
0neAnd0nly said:
You're good man! PDS is a "Particularly Dangerous Situation" - meaning a serious, damaging tornado. It's the worst warning given OUTSIDE of "Tornado Emergency".
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0neAnd0nly said:
Mark my words, Barnsdall is going to be hit hard by a very strong tornado currently. This thing is flinging debris up WAY high.
Click to expand...

And just like that, Tornado Emergency issued by the NWS. This is going to be serious business, all radar showing bad signs.
 
Hawking Radiation said:
Thanks bro, appreciate the reply and HOLY SHIT at the warning 😱
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Unfortunately as someone who follows this stuff closely, this is a big time tornado that just hit. The Tornado Emergency wasn't issued until it was basically in the town, and the debris ball verticality of debris spread is not a good sign.


We are under the longest modern drought of EF5 (F5, previously) tornadoes in history, and I have felt this year might break it. This tornado I am not saying is THAT, but it is definitely a powerful, powerful look.
 
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Rat Rage said:
Remember, global warming is a hoax.
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Certainly not entering the fight about climate change, but fwiw - most tornado researchers and meteorologist do not consider climate change as a threat to tornadoes (on tipping the scale either way).

On top of that, we are actually in a large drought of no EF5s (since 2013), which is pretty much historic. You could argue the SPC may have underrated a few, but there is definitely a lacking of significant tornadoes in major cities for a decade now.
 
Hawking Radiation said:
Thanks bro, appreciate the reply and HOLY SHIT at the warning 😱
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Dude, any time! This is a hobby of mine, actually was poached fresh out of college for a meteorologist friend to be a chase partner (I declined the 4-5 offers, haha). I have been hit directly a few times, and witnessed a few more. I am fascinated by them, but have no desire to chase them EVER. Went and worked in the game industry instead haha. The NWS does a really good job actually explaining all of this stuff, the media sorely lacks in educating people on it. People diss the NWS, the SPC a LOT - but they are actually pretty good normally and try to be extremely transparent.

This tornado that went to the emergency just now, which is pretty rare and used for substantial tornadoes... it is going to be bad. GAF, pray for the people in those areas. They need it.
 
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Police in the area indicating tornado approximately 1.5 miles wide. A massive nighttime wedge. This is a serious, serious event. Will likely be the worst of the year (this far).
 
Radar scans keep getting worse. This is likely an EF4+ event, without seeing any damage photos or anything yet. You can tell from radar and the debris spread. This is extremely significant.
 
Storm, I believe is weakening, but there are already multiple fatalities being reported on scanners according to some of the weather communities I am in.

Poor people...
 
0neAnd0nly said:
Dude, any time! This is a hobby of mine, actually was poached fresh out of college for a meteorologist friend to be a chase partner (I declined the 4-5 offers, haha). I have been hit directly a few times, and witnessed a few more. I am fascinated by them, but have no desire to chase them EVER. Went and worked in the game industry instead haha. The NWS does a really good job actually explaining all of this stuff, the media sorely lacks in educating people on it. People diss the NWS, the SPC a LOT - but they are actually pretty good normally and try to be extremely transparent.

This tornado that went to the emergency just now, which is pretty rare and used for substantial tornadoes... it is going to be bad. GAF, pray for the people in those areas. They need it.
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Happy to have someone so knowledgable on the subject here in this forum and look forward to you sharing your updates with us. EF4+ is pretty bad. I learned that from watching Twister lol
 
When people diss chasers, remember - not all of them are thrill seekers. Several chasers going into Barnsdall to help, many of which are trained in first aid and response to emergency situations.
 


Saw this earlier but was very pre-occupied watching updates and the radars / scanner to post here at the time. Geez.
 
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Brandon Clement live in Barnsdall helping out first responders and those trapped, and the damage as he entered the town looked... significant.

Edit:
 
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Meicyn said:
The storm will reach my area around 4 AM. Part of me is debating on sleeping in the tornado shelter tonight.

Stay safe, all.
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Is there any reason why you shouldn't or can't sleep in the shelter besides creature comforts.

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Meicyn said:
The storm will reach my area around 4 AM. Part of me is debating on sleeping in the tornado shelter tonight.

Stay safe, all.
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Fucking hell bro, debating?

There's a chance you might be debating from the pearly gates. Get your ass to that shelter. Don't take chances with your life.
 
The cells entering the high risk zone look to be linear without a lot of rotation. That's good news for the people of OKC, if it remains that way.
 
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