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[sonycowboy]

http://biz.gamedaily.com/features.asp?article_id=9533&section=feature&email=

Nice article. Out of respect for GDJustin, I won't copy and paste the whole article this time

...

Pachter clarified his position with GameDAILY BIZ. He said that some media outlets took his statements to mean that Xbox 360 doesn't mark the beginning of the next generation, but he admitted that he probably wasn't as artful with his report as he intended. "I guess the first one to launch is the beginning of the cycle," he told us. "It's just that most people think that the first one to launch marks the end of the current cycle and the beginning of the transition. I actually don't think the Xbox 360 launching is any different than the PSP launching. It's not going to cause PS2 owners to buy less software."

...

Pachter believes that purchasers of the Xbox 360 this year will largely consist of hardcore gamers that own multiple consoles and current Xbox owners that want to upgrade. "I think [Microsoft] is doing the right thing. It's just that I think the impact on current consumer behavior is limited to 30% of all consumers. Among pure PS2 owners (not those who own an Xbox and PS2), no one is sitting around saying, 'Oooh I can't wait for the Xbox 360!

...

It will take a significant investment from MS to include backwards compatibility, but Pachter is fairly sure it will happen, even if it means including the old NVIDIA chip alongside the ATI chip.

 

[GDJustin]

Many thanks, lol. Even though it wasn't me that did this or the last one.

 

[midnightguy]

"I think... in 2010, Sony's going to have 55%, Microsoft's going to have 35% and Nintendo 10%, with all three of those having +/- 5%," Michael Pachter, Wedbush Morgan on next-gen market share

ouch, if that happens, that means Nintendo will, once again, have lost more console marketshare.
Gamecube currently has between 14 and 16 percent of the worldwide console marketshare, lifetime/since launch, unless I am mistaken.

 

[human5892]

Pachter believes that purchasers of the Xbox 360 this year will largely consist of hardcore gamers that own multiple consoles and current Xbox owners that want to upgrade. "I think [Microsoft] is doing the right thing. It's just that I think the impact on current consumer behavior is limited to 30% of all consumers. Among pure PS2 owners (not those who own an Xbox and PS2), no one is sitting around saying, 'Oooh I can't wait for the Xbox 360!

This is an interesting quote. I don't think it's 100% true, conditionally speaking; if Xbox 360 manages to land franchises that those PS2 owners bought their systems for, I'm sure more than a few of them will make the jump (although some will be convinced to wait for the PS3 ala Dreamcast/PS2). I think Madden 360 alone could accomplish some of that.

He does have somewhat of a point, though; I think that a good deal of PS2 owners, unless the 360's library is truly mind-blowing, will wait, especially if Sony reminds them to do so.

 

[Mrbob]

Some good quotes in that article! Here is another one!

"NVIDIA will be very happy to sell Microsoft 5 million or 10 million graphics cards," said Pachter. He added that backwards compatibility is far too important in the mind of the consumer to leave out. "If you're told by Microsoft that your entire Xbox library is worthless, including Halo 2, you're not very happy about that. If they decide not to be backward compatible I question their judgment."