Eh, looking back at some of Ty4on's posts I'm starting to doubt he investigated Style. He warms us to Style as a townie. Initially he voted for PK Gaming. Could he have investigated Sorian? Sure, but reading back through his posts he believes they're town, and I wouldn't think he would waste a night investigating him.
His reads lists are found here. His "Lean Scum" members are Flatearthpanda, StarSketch and PK Gaming.
Really thorough work you've done here. Saves me some time too in hunting down specific instances for a few people. Just to clarify, I knew that scum had a chat from reading through the HP game and half of the volcano afterlife one. What I did not know was when they gain access to it. I just assumed it was at game start but Sorian informed me I was wrong. My impression that the first day is hardest came from those two games because it seemed like a lot of grasping at straws for the most part.I was working on a massive read on everybody (going in alphabetical order) that also included who each person either named as suspicious and who they called town or scum (including all lynch votes). I only got to Sorian when GAF crashed and when I came back to look of GAF was restored, I saw what had happened in the night.
Natiko (24 posts thru day one--post 988)
-Claims to be new, but says "seems like the start of the game is always the hardest part" at post 78. How would you have an opinion like that if you've never played before? Of course, there's the possibility that he's played online mafia elsewhere...until you consider his post at 89 where he sounds as if he has no clue that scum communicate via their own private chat. Still, it's possible he's played mafia in real life. Does say at 185 that he's read thru one and a half gafia games, which does alleviate some of my doubt.
-Suggests he's going to wait a while and then "throw a vote" on someone who's "noticeably late in joining in" (83)
-Possible deflection of suspicion against scum teammates by saying "I'd be surprised if at least one of the people suddenly being aggressive aren't scum." An odd thing to point out in an otherwise empty post unless you're trying to help a scummate who's being aggressive. (454)
-Says if PK Gaming isn't scum, FluxWaveZ is (789)
-At 789, picks Zippedpinhead as scum for inactivity and only giving a single RNG vote early on. Not long after (post 816) Zippedpinhead votes to lynch Natiko. Makes me think Zippedpinhead is scum and pushes Natiko to town for me, for now.
-At 844, wonders if Vanguard is actually scum because of how hard he pushed against Style, then suddenly backing off when he caught flak for it.
-Leaning town. Not super active, but good reads I mostly agree with.
-Lynch votes: Kerned (208), PK Gaming (789)
Wouldn't it make more sense that he would investigate someone neutral or leaning town? Unless he decided to take a big gamble on night one I would think he would look at someone he thought may be cleared of suspicion, not someone likely to get him killed. Especially when we would have no record of who he investigated.Eh, looking back at some of Ty4on's posts I'm starting to doubt he investigated Style. He warms us to Style as a townie. Initially he voted for PK Gaming. Could he have investigated Sorian? Sure, but reading back through his posts he believes they're town, and I wouldn't think he would waste a night investigating him.
His reads lists are found here. His "Lean Scum" members are Flatearthpanda, StarSketch and PK Gaming.
Could he have investigated Sorian?
That was a typo on my part, I mean Style.That's unlikely sorian was town, ty died cause he investigated a scum, the only way i could see that happening is if style killed sorian and ty got NK'd.
Vanguard: Scum (and Sorian agreed)
Care to elaborate. even if sorian 100% thought i was scum that wouldn't make it true, he didn't have powers to check me up, therefore making his allegations baseless(which were mostly about me RNG voting anyways, nothing really damning in my eyes).
i stand by that sorian had nothing to go on me it doesn't matter if he was town or not his read was just gut feeling.It carries weight to me because we know Sorian was town, and we know he had some damn good reads (which makes sense since he has a reputation as a fantastic player).
He had you read as scum from the start, and gave some insights as to why. Also, at post 592, TheExodu5 says that he thinks Sorian is grasping at straws by voting to lynch him (which makes sense. He's trying to save his own skin).
But then he goes out of his way to say that Sorian also grasped at straws when voting to lynch you. He had no reason to say that, and nothing to back it up with. Just a comment thrown to the wind that means nothing--until you discover that TheExodu5 was scum. Then it makes you wonder why he decided to name drop you like that.
I mean, maybe it means nothing. But I doubt it.
i stand by that sorian had nothing to go on me it doesn't matter if he was town or not his read was just gut feeling.
and about TheExodu5 defending me assuming that we were on the same team there was no need for him to do that i wasn't under heavy suspicion only people that were really on me were style and sorian which presented next to no threat.
i suspect he defended me to try and gain my trust which worked to a small extent, not that it matter much now.
Sorian. You were one of the few users who genuinely believed me early on, and that faith genuinely gave me the determination to keep fighting instead of resigning myself to a lynch (i'm dead serious btw).
We'll find the bastards who did this to you. I swear to God, their ass is grass.
Well we know one: Style. We know he's either scum or he's town/neutral who admitted to voting to kill Sorian to save himself.
I made some embarrassingly bad plays early on but I think I started doing okay towards the end. I honestly can't keep playing the newbie card forever.
The game's really starting now (and this totally reminds me of DR2's first case, lol).
How did you not join us in season 3?
You would've enjoyed the danganronpa game....
Really gotta get into that game heard a lot of good things about it.The game's really starting now (and this totally reminds me of DR2's first case, lol).
UNVOTE
Exodus posting a fair amount of fluff "we should do X" "we'll probably hit town". Nothing wrong with it in a vacuum, but I post a lot of that as scum because it's easy and makes me feel like contributing town. Not sure enough to vote tho...
I called him out on it earlier, and I should have stuck with my gut in the first place. Exmachina had had a few strikes: he panicked and flip flopped early game when he had a bit of pressure on him. Almost immediately afterwards, he soft claimed regular townie to regain trust. I don't know why I let this slide. I don't know why most others didn't seem to pick up on it, as FEP pointed out. I think we hit exmachina, he flips scum, and then we take a hard look at those who let his play slide.
Vote: exmachina64
My scum list, in order of gut read:
FEP/franco - I mostly suspect FEP due to him posting a whole lot of nothing, and pretending to contribute by asking us for specific reads. But his own reads are just regurgitations of the same reads everyone has done on Style/PK. Now, I suspect franco for one reason: his confrontation with FEP. They just kind of targetted each other from day 1, then confronted, and then just let the confrontation die. It really seemed like it was for show more than anything.
StarSketch - just been "checking-in" and not really providing any original thought whatsoever...could be a lack of commitment but she seems to imply she's experienced at the game. I think she might trying to avoid being the subject of discussion.
Style - I'm really not quite sure what to think. I don't think his original vote to follow Sorian was a big deal...very common for new players to jump on board with more experienced players. But his play style then has just been weird.
Sorian TOWN - Maybe I'm just not happy about being suspected, but I don't like how Sorian made a big deal about my misuse of the term "bus". Grasping at straws, which is also how he came up with a vote against Vanguard.
-----------------
Inactives who could easily be scum but we have absolutely no reads on:
Rats
-------------------
Townies:
Flux, Verelios, Ty4onTOWN.
-------------------
Neutral:
PK has been a target for all the wrong reasons. But he reminds me a lot of Gorlak who was a neutral in HP Mafia. Opinionated, confrontational. Plays like someone who is trying to make the game interesting.
Don't really have any strong feelings about anyone else.
Is there any chance playing the death Arcanum would be considered a command of some kind? Or do all commands need to be highlighted?
I'm not feeling Style at this point. It's pretty typical for a new player and especially a townie to be indecisive and flip votes a lot in my experience. I don't get a particularly scummy read.
PK Gaming seems a bit more suspect in my eyes. Style seems like the easy vote and it seems overly bandwagonny at this point. Possibly scummy and trying to take attention off of fellow scummates.
I agree.
Vote: PKGaming
I'm inclined to give PK a pass. It was bandwagonny, but I'm not sure it was a scummy vote.
Style...you said Rynam and Rats posted in the last page with reads. I'm not seeing it.
I think Rynam is still suspect #1 for me. He's given himself away easily in past games and he's maintaining his silence this time around... and yet we've still ignored him completely.
Vote: Rynam
There's pretty much no way I'll be able to post my full reads list in time (I'm going to crash, and when I take a nap i'm playing the hell out of Pokemon) but I don't see a problem with posting one section of my reads list + my vote.
18 TheExodu5: I've gotta say, you played an incredibly solid early game. You were active, your logic was sound and you really did give off the "helpful townie" vibe. But nobody can keep up a lie forever and you've been clearly slipping since then. Your recent play has been incredibly scummy, and you overtly tried to save yourself by voting on exmachina64 using some seriously weak ass justification. It's so unlike your earlier posting style which was more reasoned and less nebulous. And you even tried to manipulate us into doing what you want. "I think we hit exmachina?" No, you don't get to tell us what to do. But let me tell what i'm going to do.
VOTE: TheExodu5
DAMN does it feel good to go on the offensive.
I'm giving Style the benefit of the doubt for now with his power role claim and PK Gaming hasn't been around enough for me to strongly suspect him currently. Vanguard, Hyperactive and Exodu5 are my current suspects. In particular, I think Hyperactive and Exodu5 are working together.
Wait!!! I was told that nobody enjoyed the danganronpa game.
Against my conscience, I'd vote TheExodus as I'm more wary of the people trying to lynch Exmachina
You guys are jerks
Vote:TheExodu5
I believe one of these four is the reason Ty4on is dead. At least one of these is scum (I think only one). Why? Well lets get to that..Flux - seemed like a strong contributor early on but he's been far more indecisive ever since PK fought him off. Makes it seem like he tried to get PK lynched and has layed low ever since it failed. Slight scum.
WAMD - really hasn't said much. A lot quieter than in past games from recollection. Seems to be be active and posting about minor things, but avoids giving any strong opinions. Slight scum.
Matt Attack - doesn't post a lot but has been a really strong poster regardless. Seems a lot more confident than in past games...Definitely a shift from his usual town play. Hard to tell if it's because he's more experienced than when I last played with him, or if he's more confident as scum. I'd still lean town. Slight town.
Zipped - as I reach the end of my reads list, I can't even be arsed to find Zipped's posts. I'll guess he's non commited like the others who were replaced. Null.
Where does this all lead us?BlackBuzzard - kind of seems to go with the flow. Might be newbie play and a lack of confidence. Might be scummy. The main thing that makes me lean scum is that he only really seems to post when prodded. Slight scum.
Vanguard - I don't feel the RNG was all that scummy and I believe he was inactive due to outside factors. The fact that he latched onto my exmachina vote without any reasoning of his own was a bit weird. But really I consider it a gut read and I don't think we give enough credence to gut reads. Slight town.
Hyper - doesn't take shit from anyone. Playing far more chaotic than he did in HP GAF. That makes me want to lean town or Neutral.
Style - I still don't have a read on Style. His early shenanigans seemed like newbie play. He's now done an about face which had resulted in him becoming nothing more than a jester at times. Gave away his role way too early....a newbie play but doesn't imply either scum or town. In the end, it doesn't really matter. He either doesn't make it through the night or likely gets lynched in the coming days if he doesn't protect anyone.
End of day 1 vote count:
exmachina64 (5)
(920)
theexodu5 819
starsketch 858
(868)
ii-vanguard-ii 868
franconp 919
(931)
style 930
style (1)
blackbuzzard 535
ii-vanguard-ii (1)
matt attack 802
starsketch (1)
verelios 207
blackbuzzard (1)
wherearemahdragonz 846
pk gaming (2)
plop 439
natiko 789
natiko (1)
zippedpinhead 816
How is SS possibly cleared? If I was scum and a scum mate was brought up on inactivity then I'd comment on it too, so I appeared town.
HyperActivity He helped lynch TheExodu5 but at the same time has defended BB and Vanguard. Perhaps as someone with a good amount of experience he directed our best town player to be killed and is now hoping to steer our discussion and serve as the best town all while being scum and defending his teammates. Maybe I'm off on this but his repeated defense of people that look increasingly scummy is very suspect.
Very good read.
I'd like to mention I've been having similar thoughts about Hyperactivity since day two started. Steering narrative and being so quick to let Style try to explain his actions. Just smells funny.
Maybe I'm off on this but his repeated defense of people that look increasingly scummy is very suspect.
That scum list doesn't alleviate any of my doubts. Outside of franconp, everyone on that list is a safe and obvious choice (in my opinion).
I'm the safest choice.
As scum? I don't personally suspect you. But I can see why someone wanting to lynch you would try to make the case.
To clarify my above post: By "letting Style explain his actions," I guess I more meant kind of hand waving away what happened with a "we're probably going to have to lynch you" before just moving on to name other possible scum suspects.
That scum list doesn't alleviate any of my doubts. Outside of franconp, everyone on that list is a safe and obvious choice (in my opinion).
Maybe I did say that wrong: I would be the most obvious choice.
Nobody enjoyed danganronpa.
*ghosts away*
Good luck town! I'm rooting for you.
Maybe I did say that wrong: I would be the most obvious choice.
THANK YOU!!!!
Exactly. You were Robin to Sorian's Batman, IMO.
Watch I'm wrong and you're king scum and I look like a total jackass at the end of it all.
I need to go to sleep. My thoughts are all jumbled after getting two deaths and one of them being Sorian (an extremely obvious choice, but I figured maybe too obvious).
Sorian died because he was dangerous. Killing him either prevented him from exposing someone, or was in retaliation for already exposing someone (or several people).
Would the mafia be so bold as to kill him after he named correct suspects? They'd know we could just look at his suspect list and work from there.
At the same time, maybe he had named one name too many and had to be killed before he figured out the rest.
That's one reason I heavily suspect Vanguard. Sorian was on him from day one. I think the fact that Sorian was so adamant about Vanguard (and perhaps someone else), and/or he looked like he might be on the right track with others meant he had to be silenced now.
I'm sorry, was there a discussion to be had regarding style's lynch? If someone wants to defend him, than they can be my guess, but I think regardless of even the evidence that's against him his claim alone makes it such that we have to lynch him today
Tell me why I should have more than 4 people on a possible scum list? The vast majority of the players are going to be town, and in this case I find it more productive to eliminate the people I think are safely not-scum.
Actually, yeah, plop, I'm seeing a disturbing trend where you seem to conflate activity and spotlight with towniness and inactivity and coasting with scumminess
Here's a totally bs statement that will make franconp, an active player, look bad: iirc, between all the games franconp has played he was most active and into it when he was scum in Animal Crossing.
High activity and contribution is good because when a player gives more posts, they're more likely to slip up AND they help the town as a whole contribute. But Flux and Sorian and I and most other active players are probably going to be just as active as scum. The reason why giving more is townie is because it means you're more likely to slip up, which in turn REQUIRES that the activity itself not clear you so much as actually looking at their posts
At the same time, there have been so many examples of inactive townies it actually hurts, so I'm going to trust that one of the other vets you trust will back me up on this
I was way more active in Overwatch than in animal crossing:
Overwatch: 212 posts
Animal crossing: 104 posts
And you should reread AC, I played very low key even after roleclaiming cop.