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PoliGAF 2011: Of Weiners, Boehners, Santorum, and Teabags

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mckmas8808

Mckmaster uses MasterCard to buy Slave drives
Skiptastic said:
That's exactly why the President should be able to lift the debt ceiling. He can lift it to 500 trillion dollars, but Congress still has either the 2/3 veto or the power of the purse to stop spending. Having that power takes something that people say should not be a political issue and puts it into the hands of the branch which is 'less political' (judicial branch ought to clearly be the least political).


Logistically speaking how would the Congress veto an executive order from the President?
 

Cygnus X-1

Member
mckmas8808 said:
Amtrak Expects 30 Million Riders - All-time Record
July 13, 2011
By: George Dooley


amtrakwiki.jpg

.

Excuse me: where are the electric wires?
 

GhaleonEB

Member
Bulbo Urethral Baggins said:
But, according to the latest gallup poll, only 22% of Americans are in favor of raising the debt ceiling. Why would the public punish those who agree with them? http://www.gallup.com/poll/148454/Debt-Ceiling-Increase-Remains-Unpopular-Americans.aspx
It's all in the wording. The public is uninformed as to the consequences.

Obama first argued that "the public at large" has been paying little attention "to the ins and outs of how a Treasury auction goes." Instead, the president said, "They're worrying about their family, they're worrying about their jobs, they're worrying about their neighborhood. They've got a lot of other things on their plate."

Recent polls support the president on that point. A Pew Research Center survey conducted this past week found that only 18 percent of Americans say they understand very well "what would happen if the government does not raise the federal debt limit." Another 37 percent say they understand it fairly well. That leaves nearly half of Americans who say they don't understand the issue, either not too well (27 percent) or not at all well (14 percent), or who say they are unsure (4 percent).

Obama next turned to the way question phrasing might influence poll results. "f you said to the American people, 'Is it a good idea for the United States not to pay its bills and potentially create another recession that could throw millions of more people out of work?' I feel pretty confident I can get a majority on my side on that one."

While no polls have asked that question exactly, the one that comes closest supports the president's position. The same newly released Pew Research survey finds that 75 percent of Americans say they are very or somewhat concerned that "not raising the debt limit would force the government into default and hurt the nation's economy." And those concerns have increased from 63 percent of people who were very concerned or somewhat concerned in May.


Asking if we should increase the debt limit yields a predictable response from the public. Asking whether the US should default on its debts, spike interest rates and likely spark a new recession, and the answers would be different.

Elected officials should not base their governing on the views of an ignorant public.
 
TacticalFox88 said:
Or they probably don't know what the hell the debt ceiling is/does. Another failure of the American Educational system.

This is the correct answer. If you asked Americans whether they desire the expected consequences of the failure to raise the debt ceiling, the responses will overwhelmingly run in the other direction. The gap between the name of something and the consequences if that something were to come to fruition is where one finds the success of conservative politicians.

Not raising the "debt limit" sounds good, especially to one who has been primed (as all Americans have) to (falsely) believe we have a "debt crisis." It capitalizes on ignorance.
 
Invisible_Insane said:
Just popped up on Reuters that Moody's may cut the US's bond rating.

Sheeeeeeeeeeiiiiiiiiiiiiittttttttttt

Means absolutely nothing.

About as relevant as me cutting my rating for Moodys.

Cygnus X-1 said:
Excuse me: where are the electric wires?

Only a tiny portion of Amtrak runs off electricity.

Silly Cygnus, thinking anything in america can be oil-free.
 
mckmas8808 said:
Logistically speaking how would the Congress veto an executive order from the President?
Hmmm...that is a good question. Meh, fuck it. Take away veto power then. But create the legislation as granting power to the President that can only be overruled by a 2/3 vote in Congress? As in Congress cannot limit the President's ability to set the debt limit without a 2/3 vote. Congressional leaders can propose to limit it as often as they want in the meantime, but a 2/3 required vote to restrict it (and no filibustering to waste the time of the American people) ought to work, right?
 

Averon

Member
http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/...ts-are-holding-debt-limit-hostage.php?ref=fpb

GOP Masks Infighting By Claiming Democrats Are Holding Debt Limit Hostage
This creates an uncomfortable, public tension, for the party, as its top dogs politely try to smother their rank and file members, who think defaulting on the debt is either no big deal or not really going to happen -- who argue that they can force deep spending cuts one way or another by refusing to raise the debt limit. Either Obama caves, and accepts their far-reaching cuts, or the Treasury department will have to start cutting services and payments to meet the borrowing statute.
But they're of a single mind about one thing -- pretty much the only thing holding the party together: Whatever happens to the debt limit, it's President Obama, not the GOP, holding U.S. creditworthiness -- and thus the entire economy -- hostage.

"President Obama is holding the full faith and credit of the United States hostage so he can continue his spending spree," said Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) at a press conference introducing legislation that would force the Treasury Department to prioritize credit and military payments if the debt limit isn't raised. "We're saying, 'President Obama, is your spending spree really that important to you, that you'd put at risk the full faith and credit of the United States?'"

Across the Capitol, the top Republican in the Senate more subtly echoed this view.

"If the White House continues to insist on either tax hikes or default, then we'd send legislation to the President that requires him to propose spending cuts greater than the debt limit increase he requests," said Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) in a Wednesday morning floor speech.
 
jamesinclair said:
Means absolutely nothing.

About as relevant as me cutting my rating for Moodys.
It's not like I think the rating agencies should be the end-all as far as evaluating risk in the markets, given how badly they failed with the financial crisis. But you can't dismiss this as wholly inconsequential--having our debt downgraded is unequivocally bad news.
 

Evlar

Banned
You just gotta love the doublespeak here. The "spending spree" Obama is on is the Administration disbursing the funds allocated by Congress- this Congress- in April.
 
Invisible_Insane said:
It's not like I think the rating agencies should be the end-all as far as evaluating risk in the markets, given how badly they failed with the financial crisis. But you can't dismiss this as wholly inconsequential--having our debt downgraded is unequivocally bad news.

I agree. No point in cracking open Pandora's box even a little bit. Not happy right now
 
Invisible_Insane said:
Just popped up on Reuters that Moody's may cut the US's bond rating.

Sheeeeeeeeeeiiiiiiiiiiiiittttttttttt
Moody's WILL cut the bond rating. It's inevitable...US doesn't get a pass just because we have a pretty big economy.

Republicans know this. They want our ratings to turn to junk so they can blame the black man for screwing up the world. I'm absolutely convinced right now.
 
RustyNails said:
Moody's WILL cut the bond rating. It's inevitable...US doesn't get a pass just because we have a pretty big economy.

Republicans know this. They want our ratings to turn to junk so they can blame the black man for screwing up the world. I'm absolutely convinced right now.
Of course. That's been their goal(s):

1)Screw President Obama in ANY way they can no matter how big or small
2)Take back the White House in 2012
3)Sabotage the economy
4)Blame Obama for said sabotage and take advantage of American People's ignorance.
5)???
6)Profit!
Or not considering they screwed everyone over
 
RustyNails said:
Moody's WILL cut the bond rating. It's inevitable...US doesn't get a pass just because we have a pretty big economy.

Republicans know this. They want our ratings to turn to junk so they can blame the black man for screwing up the world. I'm absolutely convinced right now.
It's pretty tragic, too, because the yield on T-bills was something like 2.9 yesterday. Now would be an awesome time to finance some infrastructure.
 
Invisible_Insane said:
It's pretty tragic, too, because the yield on T-bills was something like 2.9 yesterday. Now would be an awesome time to finance some infrastructure.
Fuck that. Canada looks so much better right now. Universal Healthcare bitches. USA is a lost cause and it's on a downward spiral because no one has the cojones to take on the now mafia-like Republican Party.
 
Invisible_Insane said:
It's not like I think the rating agencies should be the end-all as far as evaluating risk in the markets, given how badly they failed with the financial crisis. But you can't dismiss this as wholly inconsequential--having our debt downgraded is unequivocally bad news.

The ratings are supposedly so people can get an idea of the credit-worthiness of a company without having to do deep reaserch on them.


China isnt about to say "Oh shit, these super reliable Moody people are saying this USA thing we've dumped money into isnt as reliable as we thought they were!"

It means nothing.

It's just Moodys way of trying to appear to be relevant.
 

mckmas8808

Mckmaster uses MasterCard to buy Slave drives
jamesinclair said:
The ratings are supposedly so people can get an idea of the credit-worthiness of a company without having to do deep reaserch on them.


China isnt about to say "Oh shit, these super reliable Moody people are saying this USA thing we've dumped money into isnt as reliable as we thought they were!"

It means nothing.

It's just Moodys way of trying to appear to be relevant.

Man a LARGE percentage of the stock market is perception. So if/when Moody's does this it will affect the market. Regardless of if it should or not.
 
mckmas8808 said:
Man a LARGE percentage of the stock market is perception. So if/when Moody's does this it will affect the market. Regardless of if it should or not.

Yeah, the stock market is about perception, but we're talking about USA, people arent dumb enough to think that a rating has absolutely any affect on anything.

Itll get "lols"

Moody can give USA junk status and the stock market will go up a couple of points.
 

Cygnus X-1

Member
jamesinclair said:
Only a tiny portion of Amtrak runs off electricity.

Silly Cygnus, thinking anything in america can be oil-free.

But is this train a really old model, right? RIGHT??

Because I weekly use the following train, which already is 10 years-old:

bahn021.jpg


bahn024.jpg
 

HylianTom

Banned
PantherLotus said:
I do think we're nearing a HOLYCRAP moment.

The next one of many to come. When I think of the unavoidable challenges that await us, the society-changing issues that are already baked into the cake.. I sometimes wonder if Obama is crazy to want to stick around for another term.
 

gkryhewy

Member
The Moody's thing is a nonissue. They are considering downgrading the US credit rating not because of our long term creditworthiness, but because of the chance that no deal is reached by August 2. If the ceiling is increased, all is well.

jamesinclair said:
Yeah, the stock market is about perception, but we're talking about USA, people arent dumb enough to think that a rating has absolutely any affect on anything.

Itll get "lols"

Moody can give USA junk status and the stock market will go up a couple of points.
You're out of your mind.
 

PantherLotus

Professional Schmuck
HylianTom said:
The next one of many to come. When I think of the unavoidable challenges that await us, the society-changing issues that are already baked into the cake.. I sometimes wonder if Obama is crazy to want to stick around for another term.

The funny part is that he may not want to!
 

Averon

Member
RustyNails said:
Fuck that. Canada looks so much better right now. Universal Healthcare bitches. USA is a lost cause and it's on a downward spiral because no one has the cojones to take on the now mafia-like Republican Party.

I'm pretty much at the point where whatever happens happen. And we're just going to have to suck it up and face the consequences. No more excuses for the electorate. In other words, we get what we deserve. That's happening as we speak in FL, OH, and WI. I have no pity for those people.
 

Jackson50

Member
Invisible_Insane said:
Just popped up on Reuters that Moody's may cut the US's bond rating.

Sheeeeeeeeeeiiiiiiiiiiiiittttttttttt
I imagine this is a response to the debt negotiations. If they raise the debt limit punctually, it should not be a problem.

Evlar said:
I wasn't aware, though I'm not surprised; a consequence of our inconsistent and self-serving response to the Arab Spring, I suppose.
Additionally, our unabashed, unflagging support of Israel. As it became painfully clear that the U.S. would not apply even negligible pressure, their disapproval increased. Moreover, I think our unpopularity is a function of general Arab dissatisfaction. They are suffering economically and politically. And as a traditionally unpopular actor, our standing will suffer.

I think an important point in the data that has been ignored is the popularity of Turkey. This could have fairly serious implications for geopolitics. As Turkey attempts to balance its Western and Eastern inclinations, it will be enticed to pursue its regional hegemony. And Turkey, as should be expected, has begun to embrace their power in the region; this is especially true regarding the Palestinian issue. And given U.S. intransigence, this could distress relations with the U.S and its role as a NATO state. Currently, I think they strike a delicate, effective balance. But the situation warrants watching.
 
TacticalFox88 said:
Of course. That's been their goal(s):

1)Screw President Obama in ANY way they can no matter how big or small
2)Take back the White House in 2012
3)Sabotage the economy
4)Blame Obama for said sabotage and take advantage of American People's ignorance.
5)???
6)Profit!
Or not considering they screwed everyone over

Oh, they can still make a profit, but it takes a certain kind of evil:
They just have to short indexes that have high correlations with the economy like the Wilshire 5000, S&P 500, and Safian Benchmark. They gain politically AND financially by fucking the country.
 

HylianTom

Banned
Averon said:
I'm pretty much at the point where whatever happens happen. And we're just going to have to suck it up and face the consequences. No more excuses for the electorate. In other words, we get what we deserve. That's happening as we speak in FL, OH, and WI. I have no pity for those people.

I've been there for a while now. While I still pay attention to national politics, and still vote, and still sympathize with the left on many issues, I treat it more like a spectator sport and am personally preparing for the worst.

On a bright side, I've been paying more attention to local politics. It seems that efforts on this level are more productive, hopes are more realistic, and goals are more attainable.
 
Averon said:
I'm pretty much at the point where whatever happens happen. And we're just going to have to suck it up and face the consequences. No more excuses for the electorate. In other words, we get what we deserve. That's happening as we speak in FL, OH, and WI. I have no pity for those people.

I can never bring myself to get behind the bolded---as it belies the fact that much of what has been wrought was INTENTIONALLY wrought on the public over decades of messaging and other shit to take advantage of the same generally unsuspecting folks you'd find in any country in the world.

I know "why" the notion exists and is at times valid, but the whole "incompetence, not malice" angle will never stop rubbing me the wrong way as an all too readily acceptable patsy nowadays. : /

It'd be great if more people in Fl, WI, my own state of GA, and so on snapped to it and spontaneously generated the critical thinking/sense of civics that many of them were never taught in their formative years and said "no more"---but such a thing is tricky/semi-magical, especially given the "desperation" level isn't there yet in terms of real deal civil implosion.

Social engineering can be a force for good or ill, and when enough powerful folk choose to think short term and reckon they can just fuck off to elsewhere or get Rapture-ported or some such instead of playing long ball---things get worse before they get better.
 
Cygnus X-1 said:
But is this train a really old model, right? RIGHT??

Because I weekly use the following train, which already is 10 years-old:
http://www.swisstravelsystem.ch/fileadmin/bilder/fotogalerie/low-72/bahn021.jpg
http://www.swisstravelsystem.ch/fileadmin/bilder/fotogalerie/low-72/bahn024.jpg
Our train systems is a neglected mess. With a near zero gas tax, everyone drives cars. We have built up an infrastructure that is almost completely car and oil dependent to operate. Then oil went from $20/barrel in 2000 to $100/barrel now with nearly 2/3s of it being imported oil . . . . and we all scratch our heads trying to figure out why our economy no longer works. Duh.

But sadly, there are no easy fixes.
 
In what was described as tense meeting on the debt ceiling, President Obama repeatedly clashed with Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA) while giving both sides a Friday deadline on whether to go for a long-term reduction in deficit-spending or find a way simply to avoid a default.

At one point, Cantor pushed for a short-term extension of the Aug. 2 deadline for Congress to raise the nation's borrowing rate, a request Obama shot-down, according to a Democrat familiar with the discussions. He also told the group of Congressional leaders that they can't accomplish anything if everyone keeps sitting in their own corners refusing to budge and move beyond their political comfort zones.

After the the closed-door session at the White House, Cantor told Fox News that Obama ended the meeting by abruptly walking out of the room and all progress thus far had been erased in the Wednesday meeting.

Both sides are scheduled to return to the White House Thursday. On the table are: talks on cuts in discretionary vs. mandatory spending; enforcement mechanisms to ensure the spending cuts continue beyond the first year; and whether to extend a payroll-tax break for workers and create another for employers aimed at spurring job growth and the economy.
http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/2011/07/president-obama-gave-both-sides.php

Cantor left the meeting, went on Fox, and accused the president of angrily leaving the meeting. Regardless of whether it's true, it's clear this guy has no intention of negotiating anything.
 

slit

Member
You really gotta love the irony at play here. The very underwriters of a lot of Tea Party activity have now created a monster they cant control. Wall Street knows what will happen if we default but the idiots they rabble roused are now the ones that stand between them and economic ruin. The GOP has backed themselves into a corner and now each of them are going to have to take a bite of the shit sandwich they helped make. Obama played this like a pro. He dangled a carrot in front of them and took it away at the last minute making them scurry to figure out what to do. The GOP is getting exactly what they deserve by playing both sides of the coin and watching them squirm is just so funny.
 

Deku

Banned

Kosmo

Banned
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