Yes, and they tend to be rather bullish on him, do they not? And by that I mean a few points higher than other mainstream polling outfits.
Not particularly, according to 538. Quite a few are in the 40s.
Yes, and they tend to be rather bullish on him, do they not? And by that I mean a few points higher than other mainstream polling outfits.
Really not the case. Ed Miliband was one of my favourite politicians, and he simply doesn't have it. Farage is one of my most despised politicians, and he definitely does.
I can't imagine thinking Bernie Sanders is charismatic.
So like a make believe Obama then.See, the thing you like about Bernie is the thing I don't like about him. It's not really charisma, Bernie's not going to convince you to change your stance on something, not like Obama could and does, but Bernie preaches to his choir with a conviction that he's absolutely right about things. It works if you're a part of the choir, but if you're not it won't. Personally I like my political figures to come with a good dollop of intellectual curiosity, of a willingness to admit they're wrong and change their views based on new information, to question themselves and their assumptions about the world, I don't want them to continue to hold a view if they're wrong.
See, the thing you like about Bernie is the thing I don't like about him. It's not really charisma, Bernie's not going to convince you to change your stance on something, not like Obama could and does, but Bernie preaches to his choir with a conviction that he's absolutely right about things. It works if you're a part of the choir, but if you're not it won't. Personally I like my political figures to come with a good dollop of intellectual curiosity, of a willingness to admit they're wrong and change their views based on new information, to question themselves and their assumptions about the world, I don't want them to continue to hold a view if they're wrong.
it's one thing to dislike Bernie Sanders, but I don't understand how people can look at how he's consistently polled and be incredulous that others find him charismatic, or believe that his messaging only works on the level of preaching to the choir
See, the thing you like about Bernie is the thing I don't like about him. It's not really charisma, Bernie's not going to convince you to change your stance on something, not like Obama could and does, but Bernie preaches to his choir with a conviction that he's absolutely right about things. It works if you're a part of the choir, but if you're not it won't. Personally I like my political figures to come with a good dollop of intellectual curiosity, of a willingness to admit they're wrong and change their views based on new information, to question themselves and their assumptions about the world, I don't want them to continue to hold a view if they're wrong.
I mean, I don't think you're right - Sanders obviously 'converted' an enormous, astonishing number of people; I can dig up Democratic primary polls from July 2015 if you want proof of the impact. He's the most popular national politician in America, quite comfortably.
I didn't get the impression Sanders doesn't change his mind on policy issues - his discussion about Brexit was interesting because he actually went back and forth a bit in the discussion, I don't think he's really considered it very deeply before (which is fair). That's in terms of methods, though. If you're talking goals, I don't think he has changed in decades, no.
Again, it's easy to be popular when no one's hit you and when you're filling a gap created by the lack of a primary field.
Sanders is constantly accused of costing Clinton the election, dividing the party, throwing women and POC under the bus, using phony math in his campaign, etc., but sure, those attacks don't count.
Right, which is why O'Malley is America's most popular politician.
Honestly, I don't think I'm the one affected by partisan blinkers here. With respect, I think you might need to try thinking about how Sanders appears to middle America and why.
Yes, people espouse strong convictions as a way of signalling trustworthiness. It's why your priest that's secretly hooking up w/ guys on craigslist is so fervently anti-gay. And why I learned to absolutely not trust it whatsoever as a method of evaluating someone.Right, which is why O'Malley is America's most popular politician.
Honestly, I don't think I'm the one affected by partisan blinkers here. With respect, I think you might need to try thinking about how Sanders appears to middle America and why.
Not particularly, according to 538. Quite a few are in the 40s.
O'Malley isn't popular because he's a charisma vacuum
So you're saying right here the significant difference between O'Malley and Sanders is that O'Malley doesn't have charisma and then you're simultaneously trying to argue that Sanders doesn't have charisma? Come on, B-Dubs. Pull the other one.
538 has a good article on this:It's really concerning to me that even with 4 months of L's and embarrassing self inflicted scandals he's still hovering around 40%. Imagine what will happen if he just keeps his mouth shut and lets Ryan/McConnel do their thing.
538 has a good article on this:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trumps-base-is-shrinking/
His "strong approval" margins are cratering, while "strong disapproval" has spiked.
By who? Randoms online? That ain't shit and you know it. I'm talking real political attacks. I'm talking reporters digging up dirt (or taking random shit and blowing it out of proportion) and writing damaging articles, FOX making random shit up and pushing it to make him look bad, rival politicians giving speeches about how shit he is. He hasn't gotten an iota of the shit Obama or Clinton or Kerry or pretty much anyone else got when they ran and you know it.
Sanders has been publicly attacked by plenty of people with actual power and influence within the Democratic Party. Media, donors, think tanks, elected officials, etc. And yet they've completely and utterly failed to dent his standing with the party rank and file.
That's not what I'm saying and you know it. Stop misrepresenting my argument and actually read some posts for once.
I am reading your posts.
I said: "Sanders has charisma, an ability to persuade people."
You said: "He doesn't have charisma, and the evidence is that he's never persuaded people, only kept people who already agree."
I said: "No, he has persuaded many people, see the difference between July 2015 and now." (implicitly: therefore he does have charisma)
You said: "That was only because he was in an uncontested primary and because he was never seriously attacked." (implicitly: therefore he does not have charisma)
I said: "O'Malley fits both of those characteristics and did not significantly improve."
You said: "Yes, but that's because O'Malley has no charisma", which means you have conceded that the significant factor is Sanders' charisma, which was where our conversation started.
Yes, people espouse strong convictions as a way of signalling trustworthiness. It's why your priest that's secretly hooking up w/ guys on craigslist is so fervently anti-gay. And why I learned to absolutely not trust it whatsoever as a method of evaluating someone.
That's a real big simplification dude, also those asides are putting some words in my mouth I never said. I was explaining that Bernie had no charisma and his popularity was due to other factors.
Bullshit and you know it. What scandals did he have during the primary? How often was he asked about them during the debates?
Crab, less fighting, more transcribing!
ty for doing this friend
It's really concerning to me that even with 4 months of L's and embarrassing self inflicted scandals he's still hovering around 40%. Imagine what will happen if he just keeps his mouth shut and lets Ryan/McConnel do their thing.
Feels like we are back in the primaries again
very interested if there's a longer answer, love me some Anglosphere politics (except Australia because I don't know anything about them)He thinks that we do have an important international and moral duty, and that the American government ought to do more to invest in developing countries and to redistribute wealth globally (this was part of a longer Brexit answer, not sure how interested you are in Britpol).
Then I asked about the tension between getting back suburban ex-Democrats and keeping minoritty voters. He fundamentally disagrees with the analysis the white working class and black America are necessarily opposed. He argued that the New Deal was wildly popular with black Americans and significantly increased black American employment and decreased black-white inequality.
very interested if there's a longer answer, love me some Anglosphere politics (except Australia because I don't know anything about them)
also can't believe you left out my question of your three, I'm taking this as a personal affront
do we need a #BernieWouldaWon and #StillWithHer schism and never the two shall meet?
pigeon can have #MartinO'MalleyO'Mentum
Republican candidate recruitment for Senate races has been pretty poor this cycle, only Brown has a real opponent and he's a pretty poor one (Mandel). This might help explain why:
There are ten Trump state Democrats running, so it'll still be an incredible feat if Democrats run the tables, but they have history on their side.
For those wondering, those incumbents are/were: (losses in bold)
2014 - Susan Collins (ME)
2010 - Chuck Grassley (IA)
2006 - Jeff Bingaman (NM), Robert Byrd (WV), Kent Conrad (ND), Ben Nelson (NE), Bill Nelson (FL)
2002 - Max Cleland (GA), Mary Landrieu (LA), Max Baucus (MT), Tim Johnson (SD), Jay Rockefeller (WV)
1998 - John McCain (AZ), Chuck Grassley (IA), Al D'Amato (NY), Arlen Specter (PA) (Harry's chart seems to be off here)
1994 - William Roth (DE), Conrad Burns (MT), John Chafee (RI), Jim Jeffords (VT)
1990 - Howell Heflin (AL), David Pryor (AR), Joe Biden (DE), Sam Nunn (GA), Paul Simon (IL), Bennett Johnston, Jr. (LA), Carl Levin (MI), Max Baucus (MT), J. James Exon (NE), Bill Bradley (NJ), David L. Boren (OK), Al Gore (TN) (off again, I count 12 to his 10)
1986 - Dale Bumpers (AR), Alan Cranston (CA), Chris Dodd (CT), Daniel Inouye (HI), Alan J. Dixon (IL), Wendell H. Ford (KY), John Glenn (OH), Ernest Hollings (SC), Patrick Leahy (VT) (I count 9 to his 5... ok)
1982 - Dennis DeConcini (AZ), Lawton Chiles (FL), Ted Kennedy (MA), Donald W. Riegle, Jr. (MI), John C. Stennis (MS), John Melcher (MT), Edward Zorinsky (NE), Howard Cannon (NV), Daniel Patrick Moynihan (NY), Quentin N. Burdick (ND), Howard Metzenbaum (OH), Jim Sasser (TN), Lloyd Bentsen (TX), Henry M. Jackson (WA), William Proxmire (WI) (no idea how this count got so off)
Edit: oh nvm it's based on the last two elections. I'm not figuring that shit out
Why is this giant gap a thing? In large part because the FHA refused them loans, which allowed white Americans an investment base that black ones did not have access to that they were able to pass down to generation after generation!Aaaaand he hasn't changed and continues to drum the class-first, income-redistribution-as-a-panacea. Black Americans' incomes rose in the '50s and '60s, but they still enjoyed less prosperity than their white counterparts and faced unbelievable discrimination. Fixing income inequality alone only means that black folks have more money for a funeral when their son gets shot.
Anyway, thank you for your reporting.
I got two questions in the end for lack of time. So I asked about his role in future elections. He says that he wants his role to be primarily transforming the Democratic Party. He thinks it would be unhealthy for the Democrats to rely on him to be the sole frontman, and that they need new talent, but currently the Democratic party kills talent and blocks grassroots engagement, both intentionally and unintentionally. So his goal is to try and bring in that new blood; although he will also have a prominent campaigning role.
EDIT: Oh, and he linked this back to 2020. He wouldn't confirm either way, but I got the impression he is not interested in running in 2020.
Then I asked about the tension between getting back suburban ex-Democrats and keeping minoritty voters. He fundamentally disagrees with the analysis the white working class and black America are necessarily opposed. He argued that the New Deal was wildly popular with black Americans and significantly increased black American employment and decreased black-white inequality. The white working classes are being won over by Trump's xenophobia because the economy isn't growing and they're having to fight to defend 'their' share; if the economy grows, then everyone can benefit and it's not about competition but co-operation.
Other questions were more boring because I am a tremendous questioner, the best, and I know the top questions, but outline:
He nudge nudge wink wink endorsed Corbyn.
He's concerned about gerrymandering and wants to work closely with President Obama at addressing it.
He spat some supah hot fiah at Trump. Absolutely lambasted him. Talked about the importance of winning in 2020 to win back the Supreme Court.
He thinks that we do have an important international and moral duty, and that the American government ought to do more to invest in developing countries and to redistribute wealth globally (this was part of a longer Brexit answer, not sure how interested you are in Britpol).
Aaaaand he hasn't changed and continues to drum the class-first, income-redistribution-as-a-panacea. Black Americans' incomes rose in the '50s and '60s, but they still enjoyed less prosperity than their white counterparts and faced unbelievable discrimination. Fixing income inequality alone only means that black folks have more money for a funeral when their son gets shot.
Anyway, thank you for your reporting.
I was just using a hashtag slogan as a stand in for each camp, not trying to make a statement about Bernie's electability.arguing over whether Bernie would have won is dumb. I bring up his post-primary polling mainly because it's useful in illustrating just how removed various online, institutional, and media bubbles affiliated with the Dems are from both the general public and the party they claim to represent.
Right, but his point was that the gap narrowed. The black-white income gap trended down between 1945 and 1980, and then started expanding again after 1980 (no idea how accurate this is, it was the statistic he used, although this seems to corrborate the last part). The gap was being addressed better then than it was now; whatever we're doing now isn't effective.
IIRC, the end of the draft hurt this, w/ the GI bill and such. (not the only factor, of course.)Right, but his point was that the gap narrowed. The black-white income gap trended down between 1945 and 1980, and then started expanding again after 1980 (no idea how accurate this is, it was the statistic he used, although this seems to corrborate the last part). The gap was being addressed better then than it was now; whatever we're doing now isn't effective.
Right, but his point was that the gap narrowed. The black-white income gap trended down between 1945 and 1980, and then started expanding again after 1980 (no idea how accurate this is, it was the statistic he used, although this seems to corrborate the last part). The gap was being addressed better then than it was now; whatever we're doing now isn't effective.
Thank you for asking my question Crab.
What was this for? Was this an event he was hosting? Are you a journalist? Will this be published anywhere?
I know Sanders travels pretty frequently (he was in Portland, Maine not long ago and I could have gone to see him) and I'm curious of the context for the interview. Was it something like that?
I won't deny that the economic gap narrowed even though minorities still lagged far behind.
The social gap never closed and cannot be closed through economic means alone. He regularly fails to grasp this point.
It's not necessarily a good trait. For example, Nigel Farage definitely has it too and I despise the man - I'm obviously not his target crowd. I think it's an absolutely iron sense of self-belief, something like that. There's no doubt at all about what they think and believe and it doesn't leave room for you to doubt either. Compare that to Clinton or Ed Miliband, who I think both suffered from a kind of insecurity about their position and beliefs.
Thanks. That is...not the answer I was looking for :/Then I asked about the tension between getting back suburban ex-Democrats and keeping minoritty voters. He fundamentally disagrees with the analysis the white working class and black America are necessarily opposed. He argued that the New Deal was wildly popular with black Americans and significantly increased black American employment and decreased black-white inequality. The white working classes are being won over by Trump's xenophobia because the economy isn't growing and they're having to fight to defend 'their' share; if the economy grows, then everyone can benefit and it's not about competition but co-operation.