At least Arpaio finally got voted out. I guess that'll have to be consolation enough. Well, until Trump appoints him to run DHS... (Or tries)
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PoliGAF 2017 |OT5| The Man In the High Chair
- Thread starter aspiegamer
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The guy's in his 80s. He's really not fit for a new appointment to an office, even if he wasn't a shitburger of a person.
At this point, I imagine Trump would pardon him if only for all the people who advised him not to. Kinda like the recent politico article that said a big part of his motivation for tweeting the transgender ban was people advising him not to, and he felt he needed to show who was boss.
$10 an hour? That's it? That's nowhere close to the SAG rate for background actors. Scale for background actors is $162. Can't even offer $100?
No way this is real. It's too easy to troll. They'll just take the 3 or 4 real people of color Trump supporters from Phoenix and put them behind him.
Also, how do you "show diversity?"
It's not logical, but when has that ever stopped Trump?
Arpaio might be just divisive enough to get blocked in the Senate though.
It just seems like the exact thing he'd try to do with his hardon for immigration.
skullmuffins
Banned
It'll be a huge middle finger to Latinos, the Justice Department, the rule of law, and to the county taxpayers that are on the hook for $70+ million because of that asshole.
So he's doing it then, gotcha
Seriously though, wouldn't him doing that just help the Dems kick Flake out in 2018? Seems moronic.
Aaron Strife
Banned
Mm, I like those Michigan generic ballot numbers. I'd have to see how it stacks up against previous years, but Michigan has the potential for its gerrymander to backfire hard against the GOP.
Good news too for Stabenow, Casey and Baldwin. The MI House is also potentially in play next year.
I'm not really sure this hurts Flake, but I'd love to be wrong. Also, it's not like Trump would put any thought into this move aside from it grabbing headlines and appealing to his anti-immigrant base.
Aaron Strife
Banned
Trump tweeted in support of Kelli Ward so I expect him to endorse her at this rate.
Maybe he can endorse Tarkanian against Heller, too. A year when the GOP should have gained like 8 seats could instead bring them to a tie. How delectable.
Maybe he can endorse Tarkanian against Heller, too. A year when the GOP should have gained like 8 seats could instead bring them to a tie. How delectable.
ShadowSwordmaster
Banned
Heller is a goner no matter what happens. His vote on the healthcare bill is pretty much the final nail in his coffin.
If the approval ratings keep tanking I don't see why we couldn't actually get to 51. I don't see a path yet, but Trump creates self-inflicted crisis after self-inflicted crisis, so it's not unreasonable to think he's even more unpopular come Nov 2018 and we get a state we didn't even dream of.
ShadowSwordmaster
Banned
How are Murkowski numbers these days?
Basileus777
Member
Autodidact
Banned
Probably pretty decent, considering she's built a coalition of Democrats, independents, moderate Republicans, and Alaska Natives - all of whom should be pretty pleased with her vote against the health care legislation.
Right. Maine has semi-open primaries, so she has little chance of losing to someone farther right. Like Murkowski, Collins has created a durable coalition in her state. She'll have an office in Maine as long as she wants it.
whyamihere
Banned
Good numbers for Baldwin, Stabenow, and especially Casey too.
Even "brand name" Senators with great approvals and favorables can get shown the door in a wave election. Just because she survived 08 doesn't mean she'd survive 2020
Anyways, I guess it's all a moot point since Maine vacancies are appointed by governors without special election.
Anyways, I guess it's all a moot point since Maine vacancies are appointed by governors without special election.
Bonen no Max'd
Banned
Autodidact
Banned
ShadowSwordmaster
Banned
That is good to hear for her.
AntraxSuicide
Banned
I do think the odds are better now though. People back then still bought the "not all republicans are bad" thing that Obama was pushing, but I think more people are pushing back now. Probably not enough to win, but if the election looks bloody, maybe she'll back out and take governor instead. She's gotta hate being a senator right now with these people.
We'll see. In this era of hyper-polarization, I don't think she can outrun her party forever and she can't outrun her voting record. How will she explain that she's a vaunted moderate that's going to check Trump's power when she's voted with him 80% of the time?
Just because there are few (no?) analogues to this (other than maybe Chaffee in 06) doesn't mean it's not possible. She hasn't had to defend her seat alongside a GOP incumbent since 02, which (off the top of my head) was the last time she faced a serious challenger?
VendettaRed07
Member
Really democrats need to just roll the dice and do the same thing. Run a crazy celebrity with high name recognition somewhere you would have no chance.
Get the juggalos on the phone
Get the juggalos on the phone
Basileus777
Member
These aren't good numbers for him though. Mediocre favorability mostly bolstered by young voters who won't be turning out to vote for him in Trump's midterm.
VendettaRed07
Member
lol I don't think he cares. The man has no shame.
But seriously let's get John Stockton in Utah, Timberlake in Tennessee. Idk. Try something different because generic Dem doesn't win those senate races anyway. GOP is going for it because they have nothing to lose and a typical republican would have zero chance in Michigan in 2018. Where as Kid Rock has a real chance of pulling it off.
ShadowSwordmaster
Banned
Aaron Strife
Banned
Beyond NV and AZ, we have to look at winning Texas, or picking up McCain's seat in a special election, or a party switch or other unforeseen vacancy (really wish those rumors about Trump appointing Johnson to DHS were meaningful, losing WI really stung and getting another shot at it would be a godsend).
I've long considered bringing the Senate up to a 50/50 tie in Nov 2018 to be a night worth celebrating because I think then we get a party switch, either from Collins or Murkowski. On top of that Collins could very well run for governor and appoint an Independent to her seat. Who knows?
Brawly Likes to Brawl
Member
whyamihere
Banned
I didn't see his name in the poll?
Bonen no Max'd
Banned
just the generic congressional ballot numbers is all I was referring to
I didn't see any specific numbers for the senators so I thought you were just referring to the generic ballot polling
Timberlake as in Justin Timberlake?
I seriously doubt Timberlake will ever run for political office and he'd lose handly if he tried to win statewide.
That's why he's got to ramp up the corruption now. There ain't no market for Trump Tower Des Moines. Try to get all the overseas jobs done while his name carries weight.
eBay Huckster
Member
so basically, try to get the overseas jobs done 3 years ago
ShadowSwordmaster
Banned
Indeed.
We need some more oppo, I can't believe some of the shit I'm reading in here.
EDIT: Yo how did I miss the Sater thread? What a week.
EDIT: Yo how did I miss the Sater thread? What a week.
Yeah. It'll be interesting to see how his business goes in my lifetime.
whyamihere
Banned
Oh there were approvals for all the Senators.
Stabenow: +7
Kid Rock: +2
Snyder: -11
Casey: +12
Barletta: -5 (but only like 25% have heard of him)
Wolf: +10
Baldwin: +5
Walker: -13
Nah, now. Hey Turkey we heard you wanted a cleric, well we got a building we need done.
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
What were Walker's numbers last time he ran for governor?
I still don't see them convincing him to do it. It seems like a publicity stunt. He doesn't seem like the type of person to have any interest at all in doing the job they are actually supposed to do.
I still don't see them convincing him to do it. It seems like a publicity stunt. He doesn't seem like the type of person to have any interest at all in doing the job they are actually supposed to do.
VendettaRed07
Member
It was a joke but yeah, Kid Rock running is also a joke. But you get what I mean. Generic Dems are losing in these areas anyway so why not try to flip a celebrity with some sort of status and name recognition then in a local electionTimberlake as in Justin Timberlake?
I seriously doubt Timberlake will ever run for political office and he'd lose handly if he tried to win statewide.
Those three states don't deserve to feel embarassed. They should own up to their shittiness for putting us into the dankest timeline.
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