September 2015 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes October 13th

All the indications of a price drop, yet Sony hasn't announced one. Seems like if a price drop is indeed happening, it will be at PGW.

Aye. Makes sense for retailers (if in the loop, but they seem to be imo) to offer some $50 incentive so that when the hammer drops they don't see an influx of customers returning to the store saying that they paid $50 more a few days/ weeks ago.

I could see the price drop made official any time between now and PGW at this point.

Phil was right!!

/s
 
Well, a price drop would be most welcome. Best part is, guessing that wouldn't even be the most exciting part of the conference.

Should be fun, err interesting.
 
The $50 "price drop" isn't a price cut at all. Best Buy's Destiny bundle for $350 is a "deal of the day" and ends tonight at 1:15am while Target's $50 price drop is just a weekly sale. Neither is confirmed beyond what they're listed as.
 
Well, a price drop would be most welcome. Best part is, guessing that wouldn't even be the most exciting part of the conference.

Should be fun, err interesting.
What would be the most exciting part in your opinion? "Just" games or you sense a special thing like announcing ps vr launch lineup including no man's sky, dreams and gran tourismo?

Also, i try to remember those who said a price drop this year would never happen...
 
That's odd. Is it not selling as well as last year?
I think it is mostly flat or ever so slightly up YoY. Either way, it is just time for it. Next month will be two years since launch. Sony has big holiday bundles coming and a flood of first party content coming next year. A small price cut would greatly support both and significantly raise the PS4 baseline.
 
What would be the most exciting part in your opinion? "Just" games or you sense a special thing like announcing ps vr launch lineup including no man's sky, dreams and gran tourismo?

Also, i try to remember those who said a price drop this year would never happen...

I doubt we'd hear about PS VR this early. In fact I woudn't expect Sony to talk much about the launch until either PSX or at an event next year.

That's odd. Is it not selling as well as last year?

Why won't you admit you're an alt account?
 
I doubt we'd hear about PS VR this early. In fact I woudn't expect Sony to talk much about the launch until either PSX or at an event next year.
Agree, but that's why I asked Mr. Queso. Maybe he has an idea. Price drop announcement isn't nothing. so what would be better?

Why won't you admit you're an alt account?
Let him keep his little secret. Maybe he is no alt account, maybe he is. Does it matter?
And if it's his job and he has hungry mouths to feed at home?
 
Ehhh it shouldn't. No need for it. But if they do it, great. Always said I'd be happy to be wrong about that one. Even offered my avatar up, no one took the bet.
I am so happy you are the astronaut again. Keep it.
Also, the drop is not announced yet. So you are still right.

If they announce it, it seems they do not do the same mistake as MS, announcing a drop weeks in advance and killing off all sales until then.
At the moment it looks as if the retailers prepare secretly and put in gift cards to avoid angry customers, everyone (except Spencer) keeps his mouth shut and the drop might come right away with the announcement.
 
Agree, but that's why I asked Mr. Queso. Maybe he has an idea. Price drop announcement isn't nothing. so what would be better?


Let him keep his little secret. Maybe he is no alt account, maybe he is. Does it matter?
And if it's his job and he has hungry mouths to feed at home?

What kind of job revolves around tainting every NPD prediction thread? And seemingly only this topic every month?
 
Well, he has been laying low for quite a while and it's pretty obvious why. This is the longest he has gone without getting the hammer in quite a while.

Keep making things up I've been posting in many threads across the site for a long while now, I haven't been laying low, I've not talked to Zhuge for over a month and the first thing he does when I post in the same thread as him is derail the thread.

I am so happy you are the astronaut again. Keep it.
Also, the drop is not announced yet. So you are still right.

If they announce it, it seems they do not do the same mistake as MS, announcing a drop weeks in advance and killing off all sales until then.
At the moment it looks as if the retailers prepare secretly and put in gift cards to avoid angry customers, everyone (except Spencer) keeps his mouth shut and the drop might come right away with the announcement.

Problem with this is retailers reveal deals with or without Sony's permission, Leaks may also come out (if there is a price drop) as well. But it probably won't effect momentum too much,.
 
This is an NPD thread, not a meta thread on alts. If Polip Fawn was an alt, I would think he would've been banned by now, especially since der_feine_herr did not last too long
 
I am almost ashamed to ask the question, but here it is anyway : How do you proceed to access Amazon monthly chart, instead of the hourly one?
 
Problem with this is retailers reveal deals with or without Sony's permission, Leaks may also come out (if there is a price drop) as well. But it probably won't effect momentum too much,.
sure. if there is a price drop coming without any leaks this would be very well executed, and highly unlikely. but not impossible. we'll see.

And of course retailers can make deals as they want. but if suddenly several add 50$ gift cards this could be smoke.

I am almost ashamed to ask the question, but here it is anyway : How do you proceed to access Amazon monthly chart, instead of the hourly one?
Log in every hour and add all results together constantly. It's a lot of work, but it's worth it.
 
When was this last updated?

I'm sure it will closer to release, but Halo 5 doesn't seem to have moved too many consoles yet?

The bundle sold really well on amazon in its debut month. Those sales will all fall in October but as far as amazon is concerned the purchases counted for a different month so the listing is a bit deceptive for that reason. Unless I'm mistaken in which case feel free to correct me.

Sorry but, since i'm here by only 2 months, what alt should be Polip Fawn?
Just asking.

CrazyProfessional/HermainCain etc etc. Basically a user who is infamous for making countless alt accounts and posting some truly ridiculous comments in NPD threads in an effort to mislead or muddy the water. Personally, I'm not convinced though. PF hasnt quite shown the vigor for ineptitude that was on display by all the aforementioned accounts. Yall should stop bullying him. If he is actually who you think he is he will reveal himself before too long. If he isn't then good we have another regular NPD poster which is consequently something we should all be happy for seeing as these threads have been moving slower than molasses for months now.
 
Almost forgot:

[XB1] 275K
[PS4] 310K
[3DS] 105K
[WiiU] 50K

Now the only question left is if MGSV or Destiny did better, I know that the U.S. did not get the bundle but I wonder if Destiny still has the pull it used to?

I think Wii U will get a boost.
 
CrazyProfessional/HermainCain etc etc. Basically a user who is infamous for making countless alt accounts and posting some truly ridiculous comments in NPD threads in an effort to mislead or muddy the water.

That's DOCTOR Professional to you, sir!

He didn't go through 10 years of middle school to be called "crazy."
 
Now the only question left is if MGSV or Destiny did better, I know that the U.S. did not get the bundle but I wonder if Destiny still has the pull it used to?
I think Wii U will get a boost.
I would go for MGS.

But it's not the only question.
How will mario maker chart might also be of interest.
Top 3? Top 5?

And another question for debate in this slow-going circle:
What do you think will be the best-selling bundle in 2015 after all is said and done?
Fallout? Halo5? Star wars? COD? Uncharted collection? Lego movie? Kinect?
Just make a guess.
 
The $50 "price drop" isn't a price cut at all. Best Buy's Destiny bundle for $350 is a "deal of the day" and ends tonight at 1:15am while Target's $50 price drop is just a weekly sale. Neither is confirmed beyond what they're listed as.

Targets is even less of a price drop, you get a gift card and you buy more stuff from target which they sell you at 40-60 percent above cost, meaning they are losing all of about 20 bucks on that "price cut".

However it does point to no 100 dollar price cut is coming this holiday, as many of us predicted
 
That's DOCTOR Professional to you, sir!

He didn't go through 10 years of middle school to be called "crazy."

HAH! True story. You the real MVP.

I think Wii U will get a boost.

[WiiU] 40K

I just finished telling them to leave you alone and you go and do this

giphy.gif
 
Yeah, Xbox One the winner in october is not a certainty anymore.

Let's wait if Microsoft will respond to the PS4 price cut. (Pretty sure it will, value perception of new Xbox One bundles change with new PS4 bundles prices).
 
There will be a lot of talking about October in this September thread

Very well executed price drop. Keeping everyone silent all through the industry (minus one) is masterful.
I would love to know if abdiel knew in advance. But he doesn't have to answer.
 
I miss the old on stage announcements.

This whole press release thing sucks.

Also where is Cosmic when you need him :P We need to decide what will happen to his avatar when he loses the 30m bet lol
 
Damn, if Sony cut The Price in October, next is gonna be one of The most legendary NPD ever!


LOL, I guess you got your wish..



Layaways? Isn't that what poor people did to buy stuff they could not afford back in the 80s? This is still a thing?

Oh yeah; it fits perfectly with the average demographic the stores serve. Think of it like having pre-orders for the holidys...



What store are you with?

Wally World
 
Even with the price cut I'm still not feeling too confident in my bet with welfare. :)

:)

I'm still confident. Halo brand is bigger than some think, even after MCC. Also MS have 3 other bundles launching this month, with 2 being released on the same day as Halo.

Both will do amazing numbers though.
 
Top Bottom