Super Tuesday 2016 |OT| The Final Incursion is a double Incursion (Mar 5-15 contests)

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So it looks like kasich, trump and cruz(?) are the only ones that are most likely to win a state today on the republican side. Rubio has a good chance of winning Virginia but I don't think he will win it.
 
Five Thirty Eight project that if Clinton and Sanders were heading to a tie, that Sanders would win 5 of the 11 states tonight. Because yes, today favors Clinton.

But if he falls short of that, he's just falling further behind.

538 also said if Bernie pulls 400 delegates he is sitting well and if Clinton pulls close to 500 or more she is sitting well
 
Too close to call for Sanders/Hillary in MA and OK!

oh shit my PredictIt just lit up, everyone getting fired up hahaha

If they're too close to call, they're going to split the delegates either way. Splitting delegates doesn't do anything for Bernie - he needs to win them in convincing numbers, especially since Hillary's absolutely dominating him in other states.
 
hmmm
trump going to announce a VP tonight?
 
These dem competitive states are not winner takes all so Clinton's blowouts in the south will still give her a commanding lead even if Bernie wins a couple
 
538 also said if Bernie pulls 400 delegates he is sitting well and if Clinton pulls close to 500 or more she is sitting well

The polling doesn't have Bernie getting close to that.

He might, but that's why *expected* results aren't good for Bernie.

Don't confuse *need* with what people thought was likely. But again, you know... OK and MA still too close to call but seeming favorable to Sanders based on exit polls.
 
VA looking like it's goign to be the only close state. Everything else is shaping up to be a clean sweep by Trump so far.
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If they're too close to call, they're going to split the delegates either way. Splitting delegates doesn't do anything for Bernie - he needs to win them in convincing numbers, especially since Hillary's absolutely dominating him in other states.

Yep. A win is a win but still, he needs some BIG wins.
 
The polling doesn't have Bernie getting close to that.

He might, but that's why *expected* results aren't good for Bernie.

Don't confuse *need* with what people thought was likely. But again, you know... OK and MA still too close to call but seeming favorable to Sanders based on exit polls.

Based on what polling? Im not confusing likely or what they need. Thats what 538 said so we should actually wait until the night is over to see what marks are hit before we declare one way or another.
 
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