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Maybe I'm wrong, but I feel like Sarah doesn't have a big chance at winning. She's been playing both sides and doesn't have much of an alliance. Seems like she's only around because she's the swing vote. People tend to not like it when people play both sides like she is doing.

If she gets to FTC with Brad or Tai and maybe even Troyzan, I don't see her winning. She'd have to show up there with Cirie and Aubrey, I think.

 

[Mega Man's Electric Sheep]

Maybe I'm wrong, but I feel like Sarah doesn't have a big chance at winning. She's been playing both sides and doesn't have much of an alliance. Seems like she's only around because she's the swing vote. People tend to not like it when people play both sides like she is doing.

If she gets to FTC with Brad or Tai and maybe even Troyzan, I don't see her winning. She'd have to show up there with Cirie and Aubrey, I think.

I think you're 100% wrong. People don't like it when people betray them and defect from their alliance, ala Cochran 1.0. But people like Sarah are more like Sandra, who are opportunists who just maneuver through making allies when they need them. The hurt feelings aren't the same because there isn't a longstanding relationship trust broken. I think Sarah would destroy everyone left except Cirie (who might not beat her after that stupid move in front of the jury, but the lady has a silver tongue and can explain her moves well) and maybe Culpepper, but he's rich and famous and that might hurt his chances. I think it's crazy to suggest that Troyzan would get a single vote, let alone beat Sarah. Tai will never win this game based on his Final Tribal Council performance last time. He cannot sell himself well. I'm not sure what Aubry would say to sell herself, she was on the wrong side of the vote practically every time. I would rank the chances of winning, of course depends on who's there:

1.Sarah
2.Cirie (I don't think anyone would take her though)
3.Culpepper
4.Tai
5.Aubry
6.The dead mother goat they totally killed off camera
7.Troyzan

 

[#sorrynotsorry]

1.Sarah
2.Cirie (I don't think anyone would take her though)
3.Culpepper
4.Tai
5.Aubry
6.The dead mother goat they totally killed off camera
7.Troyzan

I think this is 100% correct. If Sarah gets to the end, she'll have to make more big moves along the way. It's not possible for anyone to beat her in votes moving forward. Which is why she'll likely go home. If she doesn't, she deserves the win.

Cirie took a huge hit with her stupid play in front of the jury. That damned her game right there. I'd still put her above the rest, but only because none of them have any control at all.

If those two go, Brad definitely gets the nod as he's the leader of the minority alliance. And that's better than nothing.

Tai basically can't win unless he goes up against Troyzan (who's a non-issue) and Aubry (who was simply always getting backstabbed and never made a move).

I do wonder what happens off camera though with Aubrey. It seems like she thinks she's doing pretty well, but the edit doesn't show that at all.

 

[kirblar]

Brad can't win due to his career and money and his weird edit is likely because they dont want to go into why he can't win, because they like their stuntcasting.

 

[RepairmanJack]

Brad can't win due to his career and money and his weird edit is likely because they dont want to go into why he can't win, because they like their stuntcasting.

I don't think returnees are going to care at all about someone career and money. They're just going to vote for him because he's more liked. You think his alliance would vote for anyone over him just because he has some money?

 

[kirblar]

I don't think returnees are going to care at all about someone career and money. They're just going to vote for him because he's more liked. You think his alliance would vote for anyone over him just because he has some money?

Yes. Brad can never, ever win Survivor in a season where people know who he is.

 

[RepairmanJack]

Yes. Brad can never, ever win Survivor in a season where people know who he is.

I think that's insane thinking for a returnee season where everything gets more personal or players feel more jaded when they're on that jury.

If it was someone like Russell(besides his whole persona) was out there and talking about all the money he makes, yeah I'm 100% with you, but Brad who has had some really tight relationships this season? I think that's crazy.

 

[kirblar]

I think that's insane thinking for a returnee season where everything gets more personal or players feel more jaded when they're on that jury.

If it was someone like Russell(besides his whole persona) was out there and talking about all the money he makes, yeah I'm 100% with you, but Brad who has had some really tight relationships this season? I think that's crazy.

The problem is that $500K after taxes is a drop in the bucket for him while it's lifechanging for someone else. He can't get further than second place. And he's never played on a season where that wasn't public knowledge.

 

[RepairmanJack]

The problem is that $500K after taxes is a drop in the bucket for him while it's lifechanging for someone else. He can't get further than second place. And he's never played on a season where that wasn't public knowledge.

That's all fine and good, but I just don't see people like Debbie, Troyzan or Sierra giving a shit about that normally, not even taking into account how Sierra and Debbie went out. But I just can't see people putting their problem with money over their butthurt or anger over being sent out of the game.

I could see them having more a problem of handing money to a kid like Spencer or Hali than they'd feel about handing more money to someone they really like.

 

[kirblar]

That's all fine and good, but I just don't see people like Debbie, Troyzan or Sierra giving a shit about that normally, not even taking into account how Sierra and Debbie went out. But I just can't see people putting their problem with money over their butthurt or anger over being sent out of the game.

I could see them having more a problem of handing money to a kid like Spencer or Hali than they'd feel about handing more money to someone they really like.

I mean, yes, people like Spencer and Hali need to eliminate people like Jeremy. Going to the end w/ parents is a bad idea.

 

[Catvoca]

One thing we can all agree on: The only way Troy wins is if everyone else on the island is medevaced

 

[Merchandise]

But like why Michaela though. Just as a haha to Cirie after she made an idiotic move?

 

[kirblar]

But like why Michaela though. Just as a haha to Cirie after she made an idiotic move?

The no-second vote rules really encourage "safe" votes. I really hope they don't stick w/ them.

 

[RepairmanJack]

One key thing I'm going into the finale with in mind is that 100% Cirie or Aubrey are going to get completely screwed over by something. Either one of them by there being 20 idols in play or Aubrey getting to the FTC and not winning again. Their edits this whole season has just put me in mind of people the editors are scared to really show much of because how their season ends out will not be well liked.

 

[Mega Man's Electric Sheep]

One key thing I'm going into the finale with in mind is that 100% Cirie or Aubrey are going to get completely screwed over by something. Either one of them by there being 20 idols in play or Aubrey getting to the FTC and not winning again. Their edits this whole season has just put me in mind of people the editors are scared to really show much of because how their season ends out will not be well liked.

Oh I absolutely expect Cirie or Aubry to get screwed over in the final 6 tribal council. There's an immunity challenge winner. Troyzan's idol. Tai's 2 idols. He might use one for Culpepper too. Sarah's legacy advantage. So the ones most in danger are Cirie and Aubry, which might be true even without all the idol garbage due to how last week's tribal council played out.

 

[Krogan]

But like why Michaela though. Just as a haha to Cirie after she made an idiotic move?

Could be because Michaela is more likely than Cirie to win Immunity.

 

[Merchandise]

I guess that makes sense, though Michaela is a lock vote for Cirie.

It's too bad Cirie had to make that dumb move though. She had the narrative up until then but now just looks stupid. Hope she can still make it or maybe convince Tai to give her an idol

Edit for tonight: So this is my first Survivor season. How does it end? Are they really going to vote off five people in two hours?

 

[hoverboarder]

For those having viewing parties or even for someone who wants to just play alone, I made a Survivor finale plus reunion bingo game. Enjoy! Happy Survivor finale night to everyone!

 

[Krogan]

Edit for tonight: So this is my first Survivor season. How does it end? Are they really going to vote off five people in two hours?

3 vote outs with 3 left for Final Tribal Council where the Jury asks questions to determine who they want to vote for the million.

 

[_Nemo]

My final prediction going in is Sarah.

 

[vypek]

I'm rooting for Tai. But the preview didn't make me confident

 

[BTM]

My final prediction going in is Sarah.

I'd be surprised if it's anyone but her. Guess we'll find out in 2 hours

 

[Grexeno]

Probst outright telling us that everyone will be immune at Final 6

 

[UberTag]

Probst is really excited about all of the crap idols and powers everyone has stockpiled heading into tonight.

 

[SecretMoblin]

for the record I've been against idol and "advantage" spam for years!


I miss when finales were national events :/

 

[Grexeno]

for the record I've been against idol and "advantage" spam for years!


I miss when finales were national events :/

That literally hasn't been the case since The Australian Outback.

 

[UberTag]

Incidentally, I think it's poetic that the advantage Michaela casually ignored sitting beneath her on that perch during the water challenge she sat out on was ultimately what did her in when Cirie attempted to misplay it.

 

[SecretMoblin]

That literally hasn't been the case since The Australian Outback.

yes I've been missing that feeling for a long-ass time

 

[kirblar]

for the record I've been against idol and "advantage" spam for years!


I miss when finales were national events :/

The problem is the Legacy Advantage. Three Idols + IC neck still gives you a vote/possible firemaking challenge.

 

[Merchandise]

I can't wrap my head around the logic that it was supposed to be good for Sarah that Cirie took her vote. What was she thinking? She really does deserve to go home for that move, but I still want her to win

Cirie why couldn't you be smarter?

 

[Chase17]

So who is the odd one out with immunity? Aubrey?

 

[UberTag]

No surprise that Aubry and Cirie are in dire straits here.

 

[The Last Wizard]

Dude out here bossing people😂

Oh shit

 

[Chase17]

What kind of deal is that lol

 

[Merchandise]

Tai just needs to scrape by here and then he's in the final three. Don't listen to Brad here. If Aubry's going home, don't waste an idol!

Hypothetically, can't Tai give Aubry an idol to play right now, and then the three of them (with Cirie) vote out Troyzan (of course they'd actually vote for Sarah who has the advantage so it'd go to the 2nd most votes, which would be ????)

 

[lamaroo]

Missed the first half hour, anything interesting happen?

 

[Merchandise]

Missed the first half hour, anything interesting happen?

Typical drama, Culpepper being particularly mean to Tai.

 

[DopeToast]

Damnit. There's a tornado warning in Dayton and the I've barely watched any.

Anything interesting happen on the reward? Anything else?

 

[The Last Wizard]

Damn

 

[Grexeno]

Cirie noooooooooooo

she had no chance

 

[redhood56]

Bruh this is nuts.

 

[UberTag]

No need to count votes. Bye Cirie.

 

[vypek]

This is bullshit

 

[Merchandise]

Alright that was stupid AF. They should be forced to revote or something.

 

[Chase17]

Poor Cirie

Nothing you can do about that lol

 

[lamaroo]

Stupid as hell.

Eliminated with no votes cast against her

 

[Zalasta]

Well, that means Tai and Aubry are still on the bottom, so they'll still get picked off unless Sarah flips.

 

[SecretMoblin]

what a wonderful game

 

[_Nemo]

Fucking hell lol

 

[BTM]

Well at least all the idols are gone now