The list of “session based vs long form” MP titles in the OP is funny because the two “long form” MP titles are MMO’s that have been out for 14 years in the case of FF and 20 years in the case of WoW. So this “shift to long form MP” stems from two games that aren’t really traditional MP games and have been out for decades
Solid observation but for the transition to really get into gear, it needed to find a more approachable PvP centered genre. WoW and FFXIV don't really appeal to the types of players who play Fortnite, CSGO, Warzone etc... The Extraction Shooter genre will deliver us.
I also just noticed where OP said the objective in extraction games isn’t to kill other players. That’s false.
Nope. It's to extract from the map safely with new gear in hand. You can chain numerous successful runs together without fighting other players. The level, or temperature, of PvP gameplay is decided on by each games developer. If a developer understands the concept of Bartles Taxonomy of Player Types, as I'm sure Bungie does, they'll provide avenues for different types of players to see success in their game. That's why of all the upcoming ES games, Marathon casts the biggest shadow. Character classes was a brilliant idea.
Extraction shooters are still very much PvP at their core.
Just as Fortnite and CSGO are PvP to their core. Only the ES genre gives players a wider variety of strategies to use to achieve success.
Maybe in the USA where sports teams are just franchises. Here in England, football (soccer) is religion. I'll spend the same money on my CLUB regardless if we're in the Prem or bottom of league 2 fighting to remain a professional team. I've been to away days where it's the equivalent of a war. Phycoloigal warfare with chanting inside the ground and physical war outside. There is no "risk" for me if my club is winning or losing because I'll support my club to the death! No NFL, NBA, NHL or even MLS fan knows what that feels like.
You don't represent the majority though. I can assure you that Premier League teams see an increase in merchandise sales when the team is viewed as moving in the right direction. Human nature doesn't change.
Anyway, this clealry shows supporting a sports team is nothing like playing an extraction shooter. At all.
Both show massive populations are attracted to games of high risk / stakes.
Extraction shooters are a fad. A flash in the pan. Flavour of the month etc. No way is it like the revolutionary change of 2d to 3d gaming.
I'm sure you said this about Fortnite and Battle Royale as well. You should wipe the egg off your face first before you move on to the next big thing. Like BR, the template is too impressive not to explode.