The Force Awakens OW tracking @ 170-220M, BO.com predicting to outgross Avatar
- Thread starter wachie
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Pretty much everyone other than Gambit predicted Ultron to be the biggest movie of the summer. Even if they were firmly in the "Star Wars will crush it" camp.
I basically love you.
Been saying this for years and years. This is what needs to happen. This is how it went before and hopefully this is how it'll go again.
Note, of course, that CBS is helming a new Trek show now, that The Expanse is premiering this week and looks solid, that SpikeTV of all places is ordering JMS' Red Mars direct-to-series.
Networks know. They know.
Based on his OW prediction I just can't conceive how he came up with 500 mil over 600. Those numbers just don't add up and is baffling me...
JimmyRustler
Member
Yes, but it was already at 2,4 billion when it was re-released in cinema.
I seriously doubt that Star Wars will get anywhere near that. There is a lot of hype right now and it's sure to have a massive start but I don't think that Star Wars will have the legs that Avatar had. I just doesn't have that mass appeal imo.
Still better than the guy who predicted an Incredible Hulk like performance out of the Avengers due to the presence of Joss Whedon. Also most likely closer to reality than those 4.5B predictions from the previous Star Wars box office speculation thread.
The Avatar "re-release" only made $33M worldwide.
Charles Foster Kane
Rosebud
Yeah, the "re-release" is completely irrelevant.
CassidyIzABeast
Member
Hero_of_the_Day
Member
My random guesses...
Domestic: $710,000,000
Foreign: $1,200,000
WW: $1,910,000,000
Going really optimistic, but shy of fully insane.
Domestic: $710,000,000
Foreign: $1,200,000
WW: $1,910,000,000
Going really optimistic, but shy of fully insane.
Dash_Riprock
Member
NO ONE thought TPM would beat Titanic, not even Lucas himself.
Star Wars doesn't have that mass appeal? Really?
It has the mass appeal, but most likely not the legs to beat Avatar's WW gross.
It also has a pretty damn high male-to-female attendance rate given that people were saying before it came out that the fandom ratio was pretty much 50:50, if I recall. I dunno if that works in its favour or not.
Ha. Let's not get into revisionist history:
http://www.teako170.com/lucas.html
http://money.cnn.com/1999/05/17/bizbuzz/starwars/
http://articles.latimes.com/1999/may/24/entertainment/ca-40355
Not everyone thought it was a lock or anything, but pretty much every article leading up to TPM's release talked about its chances of beating Titanic.
SCULLIBUNDO
Banned
Revisionist history is GAF's favourite game.
SCULLIBUNDO
Banned
I don't know why you've been all over my dick this past week and keep trying to frame my posts as something they're not. But if it helps, I've noticed you. You have been noticed. I hope you don't feel the need to try so hard anymore.
TheKaeptain
Banned
Excuse me but I always believed.
The simple reason why Star Wars may not beat Avatar or before it Titanic is due to piracy.
People went to see Avatar multiple times due to the 3D effect they couldn't get at home.
A different demographic of people went to see Titanic multiple times.
A good majority of the people wanting to see Star Wars multiple times are internet savvy enough where they won't bother seeing it more then a couple times at most because there will probably be a decent version available from piracy.
People went to see Avatar multiple times due to the 3D effect they couldn't get at home.
A different demographic of people went to see Titanic multiple times.
A good majority of the people wanting to see Star Wars multiple times are internet savvy enough where they won't bother seeing it more then a couple times at most because there will probably be a decent version available from piracy.
Are you talking about now or 1999? Movie piracy existed, but was pretty niche in the largely dial-up world of 1999. If you are talking about The Force Awakened, it's pretty much a sealed deal that it will pass both of those films domestically. The only question is whether it will end up over or under Titanic Worldwide.
The effects of movie piracy on films that aren't garbage is overrated. DVD quality screeners of awards films leak every year, sometimes before the films have even had a chance to go wide. People still go to see them.
SCULLIBUNDO
Banned
Except Avatar was the most pirated film of all time.
I agree with the piracy thing, I really doubt that it'll impact this film much. People are just far too invested in this franchise.
Easy dude, its going to be a few rough weeks ahead
Dash_Riprock
Member
Well I'll be damned.
We have plenty of movie piracy in US yet it is going not only beat Avatar but crush it (by as much as 100 mil) domestically. How do you explain that?
Worldwide it is beating Titanics worldwide original gross. Easily. This post reads like one before we saw the insane box-office gross and legs of TFA.
The Force Unleashed?
Qwerty710710
a child left behind
Good Avatar fucking sucks hopefully TFA kills it.
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