Ok
1. Lynch SS
2. Scum nightkills a cleared result
= 2 dead town, 1 cleared town.
vs.
1. Lynch OA
2. Scum nightkills SS
= 2 dead town, 2 cleared town WORST CASE (OA somehow town)
= 1 dead scum, 1 dead town, 2 cleared town. BEST CASE.
2 cleared town result from not lynching SS.
We lynch
TownCop Sketch, Mafia NKs one of her results. The resulting list of uncleared persons is this:
2. [m] StanleyPalmtree
3. [m] Karkador
4. [m] nin1000
6. [m] OceanicAir
8. [m] Kyanrute
13. [-] Christina Mackenzie
18. [m] CornBurrito
20. [m] El Topo
8 people left uncleared
We lynch
ScumCop Sketch, Mafia will likely not touch her results. They NK some rando. The resulting list of uncleared persons is this:
2. [m] StanleyPalmtree
3. [m] Karkador
4. [m] nin1000
5. [f] Sawneeks
6. [m] OceanicAir
8. [m] Kyanrute
13. [-] Christina Mackenzie
14. [-] SalvaPot (Replaced WhereAreMahDragonz)
18. [m] CornBurrito
20. [m] El Topo
10 - 1 NK on the list = 9 uncleared
We lynch
TownRoleCop Oceanic, Mafia NKs
TownCop Sketch. The resulting list of uncleared persons:
2. [m] StanleyPalmtree
4. [m] nin1000
6. [m] OceanicAir
8. [m] Kyanrute
13. [-] Christina Mackenzie
18. [m] CornBurrito
20. [m] El Topo
7 people left uncleared
We lynch ScumWhatever Oceanic, Mafia NKs TownCop Sketch. The resulting list of uncleared persons:
2. [m] StanleyPalmtree
3. [m] Karkador
4. [m] nin1000
6. [m] OceanicAir
8. [m] Kyanrute
13. [-] Christina Mackenzie
18. [m] CornBurrito
20. [m] El Topo
8 players left uncleared
We lynch
ScumWhatever Oceanic, Mafia leaves comrade
ScumCop Sketch alive, and NKs some rando. The resulting list of uncleared persons:
2. [m] StanleyPalmtree
3. [m] Karkador
4. [m] nin1000
5. [f] Sawneeks
8. [m] Kyanrute
10. [f] StarSketch
13. [-] Christina Mackenzie
14. [-] SalvaPot (Replaced WhereAreMahDragonz)
18. [m] CornBurrito
20. [m] El Topo
10 - 1 NK = 9 players left uncleared
Basically, the only way we get the optimal result here (7 players left uncleared) is if we assume both Oceanic and StarSketch are both Town and telling the truth. We really shouldn't even BE making information lynches this late into the game, but if we're going to waste a day on this, why are we going for the player that offers the lesser amount of information?
Mafia isn't going to give us the most optimal situation. They will likely gamble leaving Sketch alive, because they have to survive what, today and two more days?
assuming 3 mafia left:
D5 11 total, 6 majority, 3 mafia
D6 9 total, 5 majority, 3 mafia
D7 7 total, 4 majority, 3 mafia
and that's not counting any sort of extra game-threatening chaos happening with the items