Support NeoGAF

[Kyanrute]

What do you all think, are the contestants chosen randomly or not?

 

[*Splinter]

Re: Dusk Soldier.

1. Dusk is scum and wants to get rid of the apparent winner because he either knows the Xbox is bad for the scum team of Sony fanboys or he is guessing this to be the case.
2. Dusk is town and spells out one of the many possible options (50/50) about Blarg and the price. There should be scum or two throwing shade at Dusk for free #townpoints.

I'm leaning 2 because Dusk's 50/50 makes sense, although it is impossible to prove it correct. Dusk also mentions that it would be very strange indeed for scum to push a lynch this early. The shade-throwers should be looked at after we get few days of votes and whatnot behind us.

50/50 doesn't make sense though. Just because there are 2 options doesn't mean both are equally likely.

That's like saying we could all be town, scum, or neutral, so it's 33/33/33.

 

[*Splinter]

Looking again at the opening Post it mentions the following names :



So did i make the same mistake *splinter by counting 4 players ?

Nah I was definitely counting CornBro so I don't know what I was doing.

Also forgot to mention:

First i was confused about the claim that blarg is the actual winner of the Xbox, but since no one else claimed to have won the prize for now i am inclined to believe him. Furthermore this has to be his most well versed way of playing so i am very happ about that ( not saying that he could not be scum but i just want to give him credit for not blowing or minds already). About what info he got while recieving the item. I think Blarg wont reveal a thing and it will be a wasted effort *splinter, we will have to wait and see what it will do. ( you can keep trying though i would love to know what it will do )

Not sure what you are referring to, but I never tried to get info from Blarg? I just wanted him to explain his question to me

 

[Kalor]

What do you all think, are the contestants chosen randomly or not?

I think it's random. The fact that it happened on Night 0 makes me lean towards that. If the contestants were chosen manually by a player they wouldn't be picked and then get the message to bid in the same night.

 

[OceanicAir]

sry I was lying

I actually bid $343.42

I didn't win the Xbox, someone else did

Oh Blarg, why do you lie so much? You must realize by now that if you're town then doing so on Day 1 is not what most consider helpful.

Also, if I'm in the dang crowd why the heck don't I know who's in contestant's row and what they bid? What kind of Price is Right is this?

 

[nin1000]

Nah I was definitely counting CornBro so I don't know what I was doing.

Also forgot to mention:

Not sure what you are referring to, but I never tried to get info from Blarg? I just wanted him to explain his question to me

I read that question of yours as a question about the xbox.

 

[melonrabbit]

Catching up.

Page 4 is curious.

It's a lot less random that it looks, with the people on the edges allmost guaranteed to be safe (for example, I was ruled out by the 3rd move).
That's kind of scummy, especially if there happen to be no scum in the middle of the board.
It could also be argued that it gives us a starting point. Will people vote magnum or choose to defend him. The defense is easy ("this game is bullshit") but becomes interesting later if magnum does in fact turn out to be scum. The problem with this is we already have a starting point with both Dusk and Blarg under fire (and a good ol' scum slip from WAMD), so I'm questioning Kark's motivations here.

It was in order of sign-up. For whatever that is worth.

Re: Kark's motives:

I don’t see him make a case against Magnum, at the moment it seems like lighthearted fun during a lag in activity. However, I could also see that Kark is using it to deflect some of the attention away from either Dusk or Blarg. Or both perhaps.

Making our scum team Kark, Blarg and Dusk. Pure speculation but am interested rereading the thread with that in mind.

I guess? I mean as a general rule fluff is fluff, we would only know the contestants if it was in red text. It's become even more obvious now that we know all 4 contestants, although to be fair Blarg's question was before that.

So we have our contestants.

1. Blargonaut
2. Kawl
3. CornBro
5. CM

Was it just coincidence that Blarg was in the fluff piece and also randomly chosen? I believe all of the players have at least checked in, so we may as well assume Blarg has the Xbox. Is on stage.

 

[Blargonaut]

I happen to have circumStantial evidence that the 4 players mentioned in the Item Bid fluff (Kawl, *Splint, Blarg, Stan) are indeed the first 4 contestants on Contestants' Row, and that *Splitner is lying about his non-participation

 

[Blargonaut]

but first-

"Actual retail price is.... $459!"

*snip*

The contestants begin to look around in their seats, and the muttering begins. Kawl looked down at Blargonaut, who seemed deattached from this world as he quoted lovely, if bizarre, poems. *Splinter started glancing everyone a dirty look. Stanley grinned, taking almost joy in the instanity. Nobody had paid attention during the commotion, so nobody was certain... but at least one of them was actively trying to ruin the show.

*snip*

food for thought

 

[melonrabbit]

Go on.

 

[StanleyPalmtree]

I happen to have circumStantial evidence that the 4 players mentioned in the Item Bid fluff (Kawl, *Splint, Blarg, Stan) are indeed the first 4 contestants on Contestants' Row, and that *Splitner is lying about his non-participation

Spoiler

heh, its catching on

Does this mean you think im lying about it as well?

 

[WhereAreMahDragonz]

Maybe I missed it again, but does anyone know why the contestants would lie about playing? Like what do they need to hide?

 

[Blargonaut]

*puts on sleazy unethical lawyer tie*

ahem

*snip* Blargonaut, who seemed deattached from this world as he quoted lovely, if bizarre, poems. *snip*

This line in particular, is a practically irrefutable sign that the Day 1 fluff post contains the correct identities of all four 1st Round contestants, as it directly references the 'good fortune appeal' poem that I included in my Bid PM to Sophia last Night, which was:

By the bovine swill of Sorian's tongue!​

By the IRL shill of Ourob's pun!​

By the cosmetic will of players cowed!​

By the singular Bill of Microsoft Cloud!​

RNGsus, dispel my dread,​

For I invoke words of the hooded red-​

O "bold predictions", whether thou​

Bring rags or riches from yonder crowd,​

Spare me Night's change of living state​

And bring me Tomorrow with pocket weight:​

​

<my bid ($343.42)>

The fact that the fluff directly references what transpired in the Bid PM exchange between me and Sophia (the poem), means that it likely also directly references what transpired in the Bid PMs between Sophia and the other contestants, hence it likely references their identities, hence a goodly confirmation that the listed 4 are indeed the 1st Round bidders.

Ergo, one of us 4 has the Xbox, and it definitely isn't me, because I bade too low

 

[CornBurrito]

So this is a bit off the wall but

13. [-] Christina Mackenzie
14. [f] WhereAreMahDragonz
15. [m] Dusk Soldier
16. [m] Kawl_USC
17. [f] melonrabbit
18. [m] CornBurrito
19. [m] Blargonaut
20. [m] El Topo

13 + 3 = 16
16 + 2 = 18
18 + 1 = 19


That would be the 4 claimed contestants. +3, +2, +1.

 

[melonrabbit]

TY for the prize btw

(You know who you are)

We do pricing games during night phase it seems? Dunno what winning does. Perhaps the items give one-shot role powers?

Day phase is probably still standard Mafia.

Yeah, I was a contestant

I bid $444.43

What did you get?

Why are you lying?

I didn't bid, didn't have an invite.

Either fluff is fluff or someone stole what's rightfully mine }

Are you asking me about what's in my pocket?

Scum team is going to target power roles, he just made himself their number one target.

He either has some sort of immunity protecting him from being NK, or he's part of the scum team and knows he doesn't have to worry about it.

Don't over think this.

I know you guys want to consider all options and everything, but Blarg has a 50/50 chance of flipping scum.

It's day one, let's not waste it on an inactive as per usual gafia tradition.

Really interested in hearing about your theory and methodology on RNG and target selection probability.

You want me to explain how RNG works?

*puts on sleazy unethical lawyer tie*

ahem



This line in particular, is a practically irrefutable sign that the Day 1 fluff post contains the correct identities of all four 1st Round contestants, as it directly references the 'good fortune appeal' poem that I included in my Bid PM to Sophia last Night, which was:



The fact that the fluff directly references what transpired in the Bid PM exchange between me and Sophia (the poem), means that it likely also directly references what transpired in the Bid PMs between Sophia and the other contestants, hence it likely references their identities, hence a goodly confirmation that the listed 4 are indeed the 1st Round bidders.

Ergo, one of us 4 has the Xbox, and it definitely isn't me, because I bade too low

How you explain CornBro and CM claims they bid also?

 

[Blargonaut]

How you explain CornBro and CM claims they bid also?

They're lying and they're probably 2 of 3 scum (#3 being one of the 4 bidders, if we take that fluff line of "but at least one of them was actively trying to ruin the show." literally)

 

[melonrabbit]

So we have 2 of the fluff opening the contestants claiming they were selected (blarg, Kawl) and two of them denying it (Splinter and Stan)

And two others also claiming to be involved in the bidding (CornBro and CM).

 

[melonrabbit]

They're lying and they're probably 2 of 3 scum (#3 being one of the 4 bidders, if we take that fluff line of "but at least one of them was actively trying to ruin the show." literally)

If either is scum why bring it up at all? Why not hide in obscurity?

 

[Blargonaut]

so, my Stance thus far:

CM - scum?, bid lie
Corn - scum?, bid lie

Blarg - 30% odds of scum (+5% for erratic behaviour)
*Split - 30% odds of scum (+5% for indulging it)
Kawl - 20% odds of scum (-5% for being my ex-Friend)
Stan - 20% odds of scum (-5% for Grunkle)

Kark - 50% odds of scum (his Plinko for D1 lynch target = disruptive, manipulative chaff grenade)​

 

[Blargonaut]

If either is scum why bring it up at all? Why not hide in obscurity?

we're on TV

 

[Karkador]

so, my Stance thus far:

Kark - 50% odds of scum (his Plinko for D1 lynch target = disruptive, manipulative chaff grenade)​

RIGHTwrong

 

[Blargonaut]

none of this matters at the moment anyway; what we should be doing is Running Man'ning an inactive Today

who's been the most inactive so far

 

[Blargonaut]

fuck I said that word live again

It's a downward spiral from here on out

 

[Karkador]

I had nothing to do with the night bid, by the way. If everybody reports in on that, I guess it could be helpful

 

[Blargonaut]

none of this matters at the moment anyway; what we should be doing is Running Man'ning an

Spoiler

redact'd

SMPSNS_Poochie.jpg Today

who's been the most

Spoiler

redact'd

SMPSNS_Poochie.jpg so far

thank the old gods and the new for the Director's Cut

 

[melonrabbit]

Our most inactive player is LP.

Blarg, what are your thoughts on Dusk?

 

[Blargonaut]

I had nothing to do with the night bid, by the way. If everybody reports in on that, I guess it could be helpful

You'd like that, wouldn't you

 

[Karkador]

You'd like that, wouldn't you

Papers please

 

[Karkador]

I would like everybody to speak up, one way or another. We end up in trouble down the road if we don't have input from players to look at.

 

[Blargonaut]

Our most inactive player is LP.

TY

Kark, vote for LP if you want Townie points

Blarg, what are your thoughts on Dusk?

it's a rather obscure synonym for Twilight

 

[Sophia]

Stepping in real fast because this is partially my fault, but I need to clarify that the flavor in the Day 1 post is just that: Flavor.

The relevant bits are either in potential PMs (which, as per usual rules, you may not directly quote), or highlighted in the opening post.

That is all, sorry for the confusion. Carry on!

 

[Karkador]

I knew the prizes on these shows were fake

 

[Blargonaut]

I would like everybody to speak up, one way or another. We end up in trouble down the road if we don't have input from players to look at.

no

everyone shut up, I got this

save the banter for Jeopardy

 

[StanleyPalmtree]

well you wernt kidding about it being circumstantial.
i wasnt involved in the bid thingy, but by all means, have fun with the goose chase, certainly better than most of the bs people bring up day 1


side note
having googled what grunkle is, somehow this has finally motivated me to watch gravity falls.
so hey, thanks for that!

 

[Blargonaut]

Stepping in real fast because this is partially my fault, but I need to clarify that the flavor in the Day 1 post is just that: Flavor.

The relevant bits are either in potential PMs (which, as per usual rules, you may not directly quote), or highlighted in the opening post.

That is all, sorry for the confusion. Carry on!

Spoiler

*Flavour

 

[StanleyPalmtree]

oh well nevermind.

everyone,
find a new goose to chase,
imma go be unconscious for about 9 hours.

 

[Ynnek7]

Just wanted to let everyone know that last night I had my first Mafia dream/nightmare! Dreamed that the day phase ended today and I had missed my chance to vote.

I've never even had one of those "back in college and I forgot about my final!" type of dreams, so that was new.

Not much to add on the current situation, unfortunately. Has it been determined if those involved in the pricing game knew who they were bidding against?

 

[Blargonaut]

Just wanted to let everyone know that last night I had my first Mafia dream/nightmare! Dreamed that the day phase ended today and I had missed my chance to vote.

I've never even had one of those "back in college and I forgot about my final!" type of dreams, so that was new.

Not much to add on the current situation, unfortunately. Has it been determined if those involved in the pricing game knew who they were bidding against?

Well, I didn't, therefore whoever we is, didn't, probably

 

[nin1000]

Boom ! There you have it Day 1 Flavor was just

Flavor​

 

[Kyanrute]

Blarg's fluffhunting looks silly to me no matter what his alignment. I lean bit more towards scum because fluff speculation is a easy way to appear more present. But it is Blarg so it could be and mean anything.

 

[Kyanrute]

Oh and for the record, I did not have anything to do with the bidding last night.

 

[Kyanrute]

OK, let's get started.

So blarg has the Xbox...I think?

We haven't heard from the other contestants yet, but I'm more inclined to believe that blarg is telling the truth since lying about getting an item would just lead to a thunderdome situation. I am curious though...how important are the items in this game? Are they just helpful tools for scum hunting, or could they possibly be the replacement for the traditional power roles?

I might be over thinking this but since items are integral to the price is right, I think they might be the same for this game.

If I did not miss anything, Magnum is the one who speculates about the prizes in the clearest terms, when others (like myself), prefer to avoid concrete things or the discussion altogether. I get a vibe from this message: either Magnum knows something about the nature of the prizes or he is just straight out power fishing.

 

[Blargonaut]

 

[Blargonaut]

Blarg's fluffhunting looks silly to me no matter what his alignment. I lean bit more towards scum because fluff speculation is a easy way to appear more present. But it is Blarg so it could be and mean anything.

I get it, it's a gift pun!

*zing*

O U

 

[Blargonaut]

no

everyone shut up, I got this

save the banter for Jeopardy

or Fear Factor

 

[*Splinter]

but first-



food for thought

Are you fucking kidding me?

They're lying and they're probably 2 of 3 scum (#3 being one of the 4 bidders, if we take that fluff line of "but at least one of them was actively trying to ruin the show." literally)

Are you fucking kidding me??

So your theory, before being quashed by Sophia, was that the scum team was me, Corn, CM, and Stan, identified as a full team on day 1 through a combination of fluff hints and pointless lies?

And you believed this?

 

[*Splinter]

Ok sure, I see where your coming from, but seriously? Hints from the moderator? Is this your first game?

 

[*Splinter]

Blarg's fluffhunting looks silly to me no matter what his alignment. I lean bit more towards scum because fluff speculation is a easy way to appear more present. But it is Blarg so it could be and mean anything.

Baring in mind the stupidity of Blarg's arguments, this is an overwhelmingly neutral response.

Kyan is anyone anything other than a null read to you?

 

[*Splinter]

Baring? Bearing?

 

[*Splinter]

none of this matters at the moment anyway; what we should be doing is Running Man'ning an inactive Today

who's been the most inactive so far

This was before Sophia's (not even needed) correction.

Blarg, why lynch an inactive when you've already identified 4 liars working in tandem?

Blarg? Blarg pls