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The UK votes to leave the European Union |OUT2| Mayday, Mayday, I've lost an ARM

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Fantastapotamus

Wrong about commas, wrong about everything
Now in all seriousness, there have to be some Brexit voters here on gaf, right? I really want to know what they think about this.....situation.
 

Oriel

Member
That's good stuff. Juncker and Schultz are poison. Even as someone who wants to stay and has a lot of respect for Merkel; Juncker and Schultz are the personification of aloof, unelected career bureaucrats that are an anathema so many in the UK.

I'm very very glad there are still sane, strong leaders in Europe that can stand against them.

Edit: I do know the irony of calling him 'unelected' given his Luxembourg history but I'm talking about the council presidency and his lack of direct mandate from European voters.

If Juncker is an "unelected career bureaucrat" then so too is Merkel. Both were elected to their positions by their respective parliaments. Only one country in Europe (Cyprus AFAIK) actually directly elects their head their government. Can people PLEASE start informing themselves on how the European Union works?
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
If Juncker is an "unelected career bureaucrat" then so too is Merkel. Both were elected to their positions by their respective parliaments. Only one country in Europe (Cyprus AFAIK) actually directly elects their head their government. Can people PLEASE start informing themselves on how the European Union works?

I think you can at least say the chains of accountability are less direct for Juncker.

Here's how David Cameron is elected:

Voters vote for their local MP. MPs then give confidence to whoever can form a government.

So it is voters ---> MPs ---> Prime Minister.

Here's how Juncker is elected.

Voters vote for their local representatives. Their local representatives then form a government. That government then nominates a commissioner. All of the governments together select a candidate by qualified majority. That candidate then requires the support of the European Parliament.

So it is voters ---> representatives ---> governments ----+----> President
voters ---> European representatives ---------------------------|
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
Is it still too soon to come up with "Best Korea" jokes adapted for Great Britain?

Wait until Scotland and the North secede together and we have The People's Democratic Republic of North Britain and Her Majesty's Disunited Kingdom of South Britain.
 

klonere

Banned
Plenty on the Daily Mail website. Ask'em there. Outside of your security blanket.

Please provide sources that do not conflict with my existing worldview or that are in anyway challenging to read (lack of pictures, no 72pt headlines, no huge bolded words in paragraphs).

"Informing" oneself nowadays is more a matter of adding more agreeable white noise to ones Facebook feed.
 

accel

Member
What specific regulation are you referring to that the EU imposed upon the British economy so onerous such that leaving the yoke of Brussels will transform the UK back into a manufacturing and agricultural trading powerhouse, to offset the loss of financial services trade.

You keep asking this question after I already answered it (I think twice, but at the very least once - you are *quoting* the answer). Here's my answer again - it's a wrong question to ask. There is *no* small set of regulations from the EU that, once they are removed, would promote growth enough to offset other losses from leaving the EU.

The benefits come in a thousand small pieces, a small piece here, a small piece there, all over the economy. Example: fishing.

The benefits coming in the short term are *not* enough to offset, say, demotion of trade with the EU to WTO rules. It is the long term benefits that are enough to offset and surpass that - in so far as we can reason about the future. Examples: the Financial Transaction Tax (managed to escape it after a great deal of bickering), the port services regulation (delayed for after the referendum in order to not affect it too much, still to land).
 

Joni

Member
Yes, people should at least get the basics right and, even though I think the EU is a little too passive in "promoting" itself, it's still ridiculously easy to obtain information on how it works:

https://bookshop.europa.eu/en/home/

I even remember writing them a letter when I was younger and getting three huge packages with information.

Now in all seriousness, there have to be some Brexit voters here on gaf, right? I really want to know what they think about this.....situation.

Look for the banned tags in the previous topic.
 

kmag

Member
CmgcS24WYAAlwvz.jpg
 

smudge

Member
Now in all seriousness, there have to be some Brexit voters here on gaf, right? I really want to know what they think about this.....situation.

While I didn't vote leave, I did give it considerable thought. My constituency voted around 70% in favour of leave. Plenty of my friends voted leave. I believe the reasoning was based around a feeling of being disenfranchised by the ruling classes and damned be the consequences.
 

hodgy100

Member
it's annoying how many people have just replied with "oh" after claiming the EU is undemocratic and then I go through with them the different bodies of the EU and how they are elected / selected.

the only time i didn't get that reaction was they pivoted to a different argument which was much less extreme than "the EU is undemocratic" (Transparancy and accountability) at which point I agreed with them but disagreed that it was a reason to leave the EU over.

Its amazing that when you sift through the bullshit voice clips how you can actually find out their real reasoning for thinking something and then explain your positions a lot better.
 
You keep asking this question after I already answered it (I think twice, but at the very least once - you are *quoting* the answer). Here's my answer again - it's a wrong question to ask. There is *no* small set of regulations from the EU that, once they are removed, would promote growth enough to offset other losses from leaving the EU.

The benefits come in a thousand small pieces, a small piece here, a small piece there, all over the economy. Example: fishing.

The benefits coming in the short term are *not* enough to offset, say, demotion of trade with the EU to WTO rules. It is the long term benefits that are enough to offset and surpass that - in so far as we can reason about the future. Examples: the Financial Transaction Tax (managed to escape it after a great deal of bickering), the port services regulation (delayed for after the referendum in order to not affect it too much, still to land).


You realise that fishing represents an incredibly small part of our economy, employing only a few thousand people? It will continue to be a totally insignificant industry post Brexit.
There is no chance that a small boost in shipping (or a multitude of other similar industries) will compensate for losing thousands of financial services jobs.
 
You keep asking this question after I already answered it (I think twice, but at the very least once - you are *quoting* the answer). Here's my answer again - it's a wrong question to ask. There is *no* small set of regulations from the EU that, once they are removed, would promote growth enough to offset other losses from leaving the EU.

The benefits come in a thousand small pieces, a small piece here, a small piece there, all over the economy. Example: fishing.

The benefits coming in the short term are *not* enough to offset, say, demotion of trade with the EU to WTO rules. It is the long term benefits that are enough to offset and surpass that - in so far as we can reason about the future. Examples: the Financial Transaction Tax (managed to escape it after a great deal of bickering), the port services regulation (delayed for after the referendum in order to not affect it too much, still to land).
Because your answer hasn't been an answer.

"Lots of small regulations" is basically the equivalent of "closing loopholes" to fund the economy in the vernacular of waffle.

The UK will become a great fishing exporter in the long-term, thus off-setting and surpassing the loss of financial services exports to the EU?

Do you realise how fancifully ridiculous this assertion is?
 

Goodlife

Member
While I didn't vote leave, I did give it considerable thought. My constituency voted around 70% in favour of leave. Plenty of my friends voted leave. I believe the reasoning was based around a feeling of being disenfranchised by the ruling classes and damned be the consequences.
Seeing as leave was headed up by Boris and Gove, I just don't get that pov
 

accel

Member
Now in all seriousness, there have to be some Brexit voters here on gaf, right? I really want to know what they think about this.....situation.

Example opinion:

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=209110650&postcount=5507

You realise that fishing represents an incredibly small part of our economy, employing only a few thousand people? It will continue to be a totally insignificant industry post Brexit.
There is no chance that a small boost in shipping (or a multitude of other similar industries) will compensate for losing thousands of financial services jobs.

Yes, I realise this, that's why I am talking about "a small piece here, a small piece there".

Yes, it won't compensate.

Read my post in full, you are replying to one word.

Because your answer hasn't been an answer.

"Lots of small regulations" is basically the equivalent of "closing loopholes" to fund the economy in the vernacular of waffle.

The UK will become a great fishing exporter in the long-term, thus off-setting and surpassing the loss of financial services exports to the EU?

Do you realise how fancifully ridiculous this assertion is?

As above.

I don't know how else I can explain myself, you ignored 90% of what I wrote.
 

Goodlife

Member
You realise that fishing represents an incredibly small part of our economy, employing only a few thousand people? It will continue to be a totally insignificant industry post Brexit.
There is no chance that a small boost in shipping (or a multitude of other similar industries) will compensate for losing thousands of financial services jobs.
Also, if fishermen (fisherpeople??) Are given back "control" I'd wager there'd be a few good years for them, followed by decimated fish stocks and a bankrupt industry
 

Uzzy

Member
Wait until Scotland and the North secede together and we have The People's Democratic Republic of North Britain and Her Majesty's Disunited Kingdom of South Britain.

I think you'll find that Hull recognises no King but the King in the North, who's name is Bean.
 

accel

Member
You literally just linked to one of your own posts that said "reasons".

I swear all Brexiters have one thing in common - being bloody vague.

He wanted to know what Brexiters think, I linked what I think. Now you complain that my opinion is not this or that, Jesus.
 

Joni

Member
Funny. Greenland might want to come back.
http://www.politico.eu/article/gree...rexit-eu-referendum-europe-vote-news-denmark/


Will McCallum, head of oceans at Greenpeace UK, pointed out that the Westminster government, rather than Brussels, was in charge of allocating the EU-agreed fishing quota, and had chosen for years to give most of it to a handful of large corporations rather than to the smaller fishermen who have most to lose.
But everything will go great now.

Many fishermen currently benefit from EU subsidies to help them buy better boats with new nets that help to preserve fish stocks, for instance by allowing juvenile fish to swim clear.
Oops.
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
Your full answer was:

"I won't name any specific regulations."

This tells us you can't think of any regulations that would have a large impact either way.

"I'll assert there are hundreds of small pieces of regulation."

Fine, but this is an assertion. We have no reason to believe it without evidence. Can you cite any economics papers about the beneficial effects of leaving the European Union on our economy due to a reduction in regulation? Because if you can't, this is just complete hot air designed to disguise the fact you don't know what you're talking about and are hoping that saying "oh, there's hundreds of pieces" in a vague hand-wave covers your ass.

"I'll give one example - fishing."

You're right to get mocked for this, because a) fishing is less than a tenth of one percent of the UK's economy, and b) as I've cited above, is unlikely to change substantially anyway.

"The FTA and PSR would have been really bad."
These are two examples of things that *never happened*, precisely because we had the political influence to block them. However, if we want single market access, we will have to obey single market rules. The PSR will likely be part of the single market because it concerns competition policy. That means we still have to be affected by it if it potentially happens, only now we can't veto anything or change anything (a.k.a. "the Norway model"). The only other alternative is not accessing the single market. I'm giving you credit here and supposing you're not seriously advocating that.
 

Clear

CliffyB's Cock Holster
Even if we dismiss all of this, it's an extremely weak bargaining chip, considering we are talking about sending a relatively small % of the UK population back to 27 countries, which means the amount of "damage" to each country is really quite minor.
Assuming ofc this wouldn't be a net positive for quite a few of those countries.

The point is that it would very likely trigger tit-for-tat responses across Europe because to do anything other would be prejudicial to any non-UK migrant in Europe.

Its a shit-storm in the making.

The larger issue however is that noone is in a position to make unilateral assurances, not the UK government or the EU. In order to do that discussions/policy would have to be set prior to the enactment of art. 50. Something that is "impossible" according to the EU, and a neccessity according to the UK govt. Ergo, its a point of leverage.
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
I think you'll find that Hull recognises no King but the King in the North, who's name is Bean.

Rowan Atkinson is naught but a bastard born in the South.
 

Riddick

Member
Except none of this is true. I have a master's degree in economics, I can assure you that nobody talks about neoliberalism and it is not a branch of economics. Nor was it invented in America. The term first appears in Germany in 1938; where it was used to describe a political ideology and not an economic school. Nor was it a pro-free market term, originally neoliberalism was used to describe "third way" politics that melded free markets and state interventionism, because it recognised that classical liberalism didn't actually tend to lead to greater freedoms. This use of the terminology persists through to the 1960s and even early 1970s, the main neoliberal (against as a political term) theorists are Röpke and Rüstow; the latter being well-remembered for writing a series of rather scorching articles against free market failings.

After the 1970s, the phrase became subject to a backlash because leftists felt that the movement was being co-opted from trying to synthesize socialist and capitalist principles to being a disguise for free-market reforms without upsetting socialists (see Barbara Castle and Denis Healey being tarred with the label). After this point, the word becomes somewhat meaningless. By the 1980s, neoliberal encompasses everything from Thatcher to Peters (see Peters' 1983 article A Neoliberal's Manifesto, where the third part is dedicated to attacking the very corporatocracy you ascribe to neoliberalism). The term is now essentially just a generic pejorative for "any idea I don't approve of", and largely died out in academic use in the early 1990s at the latest. You will look far and wide to find anyone who self-describes as a neoliberal; the term is just hot air.

What you're trying to describe (something like laissez faire fundamentalism) doesn't apply to the European Union in the slightest. The European Union has no independent ideology because all of the constituent parts of the EU (the Council, the Commission, the Parliament, etc) are all dependent on their composition from the states that comprise the EU. The EU's ideology is therefore reflective of these states. The majority of these states are not laissez faire fundamentalists; the closest European state to being as such is the United Kingdom - so you've actually removed one constraining factor on the United Kingdom being more "neoliberal". Congratulations, you ass. I hope an unrestrained Theresa May is just what you wanted.

Finally, the Euro isn't some evil scheme to protect bankers or such nonsense. There are a number of advantages to a currency union, the main three being a reduction in transaction costs (which is an advantage to the consumer, not banks, because banks are the ones charging the transaction costs), no more intercurrency instability (again, pro-consumer, because consumers typically have less time and resources to invest into determining what exchange rates are likely to do in the future than specialized institutions like banks), and price comparison transparency (again, very much pro-consumer not pro-bank).

The downside is that you lose control of monetary policy. This is obviously not intrinsically bad. I very much doubt things would be significantly better for Cornwall if they had monetary sovereignty. However, you need a fiscal union to go with the monetary union - you need to be able to tax areas for where the currency is overvalued to spend in areas where the currency is undervalued (so, as an example, in the UK London is a net contributor and Hull is a net recipient of govt spending, reflecting relative productivity in those areas). The Euro does not have this. If you look at early sentiment regarding the Euro, governments thought you'd need a monetary union in place before you could implement a fiscal union, which is true - it's quite difficult to tax in francs and spend in lira. They also expected that once the monetary union was in place, fiscal union would follow quite shortly. This did not happen, but has nothing to do with "neoliberalism". Rather, it was prevented by us, as the electorate of these national governments, who have been rather sour on the idea, largely because nationalistic sentiment is still relatively high.

This is also the same reason that Germany didn't contribute more to Greece. It had nothing to do with "neoliberalism", and everything to do with the fact Germans (working class Germans, at that, displaying all of the political influence you don't seem to think they should have given "neoliberalism") would have voted her out of office if she tried. The Euro's main failing is that it was born too soon - European sentiment is too weak to put in place the necessary institutions. However, none of this affected us anyway, because the UK was not and never had to become a Eurozone member. So it ends up being an utterly facile reason to vote Leave.

All in all, I think you have only a very basic and limited understanding of political ideology, economics, the workings of the Eurozone, and indeed the entire spectrum of the debate over Europe.


First of all, the history of the word neoliberalism when it used to have a different meaning is completely irrelevant to the discussion, what it means and is now is what I described. And yes that fucked up system was created by American economists, Milton Friedman was the scumbag that popularized it and his mentor, whatever the fuck his name was, was the one who basically created it (even though you could argue otherwise since most of the ideas were already there). And I know what you're going to say, laissez faire is what they created not neoliberalism the way I'm using the word, yes in theory, in practice though even when Friedman was directly involved in neoliberal governments' policies it was always used to benefit corporations and banks with its principles being ignored for the benefit of the ruling class.

If you think that EU doesn't stand for corporatocracy maybe you haven't read enough about how Brussels works nowadays or the army of corporate lobbyists that are basically running it. Here, read an article I found from a quick google search to start you off: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/may/08/lobbyists-european-parliament-brussels-corporate

As for your last paragraphs, there are no words. You claim to have a masters in economics and you downplay the enormous advantage of a country having control of its economy and being able to devalue its currency in a time of need. The Euro is often compared to the gold standard because that's what it is for many countries and the reason why the European South is still being pillaged. As for the myth about the creators of Euro actually wanting a true fiscal union, it's complete bullshit. Germany, France and other powerful nations at the time would never tax their citizens to support poor nations. It basically comes down to this, the ruling class of powerful European nations created the EU free market and monetary union to sell their shit much much easier but NEVER wanted a fiscal union because that would mean actually paying for the enormous benefits for them of this union. Ever since, they have either decimated or taken over a large part of the competition in most nations with weaker industries and they continue to sell their shit to weaker european nations creating there huge deficits which must be "corrected" by pillaging the populations and national wealth of those nations.

I also find it ridiculous how you blame The German working class for this when they have been subjected to years of racist propaganda against the European South because their systemic media wanted to divert attention from the complete and utter incompetence and greed of the German banks which afterall were the ones that were bailed out in 2009, amongst others. Sure, this has nothing to do with neoliberalism, it's just a coincidence that the European ruling class keeps benefiting from this EU monstrosity over and over and over again while decisions that would require them to actually contribute for having these benefits are being postponed... indefinitely.
 

Croyles

Member
Rowan Atkinson is naught but a bastard born in the South.

Sean Bean or Mr Bean, that is the question!

Yeah. But it's hardly a "stick it to the man" vote as the other man is just the same as the first man

In their mind it was, and in the end that's what mattered I guess. They'll feel good about their poorly timed anti-establishment vote for a while. I'll give it a year or two.
 

StayDead

Member
I think people voted leave regardless of those.

YEEEAH STICKING IT TO THE MAN!

*digs a bigger hole for self*

All those people have done have made it worse for themselves and everyone else. Politicians and "the man" won't feel any fallout from this at all. Every other person in the country will.
 

Croyles

Member
YEEEAH STICKING IT TO THE MAN!

*digs a bigger hole for self*

All those people have done have made it worse for themselves and everyone else. Politicians and "the man" won't feel any fallout from this at all. Every other person in the country will.

I never said it was a good reason haha.
 

smudge

Member
Yeah. But it's hardly a "stick it to the man" vote as the other man is just the same as the first man

I do agree, which is way I ultimately chose to vote remain. However, when the remain campaign was telling voters that the safer option was to vote remain, voting leave became about sticking it to the man. And looking at the aftermath, it was.
 

Uzzy

Member
Now in all seriousness, there have to be some Brexit voters here on gaf, right? I really want to know what they think about this.....situation.

Which situation? People resigning? I'm not too bothered, except for Cameron's resignation, as he's the one with the power to actually do things. I feel we should have a general election ASAP and that the various political parties should put forward proposals on how to move forwards, see what they come up with.

As for why I voted Leave, it's simple. I think this article is pretty much on point.

Interesting article (with an Irish slant to the situation) on getting rid of the Euro, from a self-professed federalist.

http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/w...g?shareToken=8f44a595236352e03f0a49ffff95b781

The EU is stuck, unwilling to go forward into what's needed (a federal European state), but with no support for that we're left in this terrible mess where Greek misery props up the German economy. The brutality that was inflicted upon Greece and the trampling of democracy there was utterly disgusting, and I believe that showed the true face of the EU now.
 

Zaph

Member
I do agree, which is way I ultimately chose to vote remain. However, when the remain campaign was telling voters that the safer option was to vote remain, voting leave became about sticking it to the man. And looking at the aftermath, it was.
If "the man" is each and every British citizen, sure.
 
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