radioheadrule83 said:What are you basing that belief on? Have you got anything to back any of that up?
AV would lead to more Libs as they are quite often the second choice in most constituencies.
radioheadrule83 said:What are you basing that belief on? Have you got anything to back any of that up?
louis89 said:Saying your vote is wasted in FPTP in a safe seat is like saying that if you voted for McCain in the US, your vote was wasted. The majority of people around you wanted something else. That sucks for you, but just because your vote wasn't taken into account in the composition of the government doesn't mean it was "wasted". You just lost.
louis89 said:The major issue I have with PR is that every election will turn out like this one. This hung parliament bollocks is total shit and I don't want it to ever happen again. In FPTP a hung parliament is the exception rather than the rule. If I vote for party X, I want party X in power. I don't want party X plus party Y in power. I don't want parties to have to compromise on their policies with other ideologically separate parties in order to be able to govern at all. I don't want to have smaller parties acting as kingmakers with disproportionate amounts of power. And I don't want the BNP and all kinds of other loonies in the house of commons, which you can pretty much guarantee will happen.
Saying your vote is wasted in FPTP in a safe seat is like saying that if you voted for McCain in the US, your vote was wasted. The majority of people around you wanted something else. That sucks for you, but just because your vote wasn't taken into account in the composition of the government doesn't mean it was "wasted". You just lost.
Kowak said:Your vote wasnt ignore, its just the guy you voted for wasnt the person with the most votes. Thats fair to me. By voting for your candidate you gave him a chance of being elected, that isnt wasted.
radioheadrule83 said:edit: regarding the comment about loonies and fringe parties, in a democracy I thought it was standard practice to allow freedom of expression and freedom of speech. Better to argue/campaign against the things we disagree with than ignore them. Ignoring the issues people seem to feel strongly about in this country and refusing to contest those views is the whole reason the BNP have a following to begin with.
It went towards giving your guy a better chance at getting into the commons, and therefore increasing your party's chances of getting a seat. Again, you just lost. That doesn't make it unfair.Mr. Sam said:Well, the electoral system is very different in the US, so let's not go down that dead end.
I'll just ask you this - what did my vote go towards, if I didn't vote for the winning party in my constituency?
louis89 said:It went towards giving your guy a better chance at getting into the commons, and therefore increasing your party's chances of getting a seat. Again, you just lost. That doesn't make it unfair.
radioheadrule83, I'm just saying what I think. I'm not claiming to know what the rest of the country thinks or anything.
The problem with your 'ha ha stfu you lost' argument is that in most constituencies over half the voters 'lost'. Elections aren't about choosing a winner, they're about electing representitives that reflect the opinions and interests of the electorate.louis89 said:It went towards giving your guy a better chance at getting into the commons, and therefore increasing your party's chances of getting a seat. Again, you just lost. That doesn't make it unfair.
radioheadrule83, I'm just saying what I think. I'm not claiming to know what the rest of the country thinks or anything.
They're only defending it because they're Tories, desperate to maintain any chance of power for their preferred tribe. They don't actually support FPTP; it's just that the current system is the only way that their party can possibly be elected, given the overwhelmingly centre-left political make-up of the country. They're fighting for their ideological survival, and we all know it.Dr Zhivago said:Good article from New Scientist about the problems with various voting systems:
http://www.newscientist.com/article...sfunction-why-democracy-is-always-unfair.html
FPTP is about the worst though, surprised people are defending it.
Dr Zhivago said:Good article from New Scientist about the problems with various voting systems:
phisheep said:I found that sort of interesting, but like all the mathematical treatments it falls a long way short of political reality.
It all depends on what you mean by each vote being 'worth' the same, and there are too many contradictions in our political system to make votes 'worth' the same for all the different purposes.
If all it was about was getting a proportional representation of peoples single positive choices equitably represented in a chamber then it would be easy, but:
If it is about influence over policy, then proportionately-represented minorities and single-issue parties would have disproportionate influence over the majority.
If it is about holding the government to scrutiny and making it stick through legislative amendments, too fragmented an opposition will be weaker than a united opposition.
If it is about creating reform, special interest groups would block reforms creating no-go areas (think of the old Fleet Street unions).
The maths doesn't help with any of those things. That's why it needs a political settlement - the current negotiations look like they might get part way there.
Unless you have a crystal ball, there is no way you can 100 per cent say that this country would always elect a centre-left coalition under PR. In every single country, there is a political grouping that represents the right side of the spectrum and a grouping that represents the left side. Plenty of countries with PR have elected right-wing governments, when the centre-left coalition inevitably fails, the electorate will turn to an alternative. The real danger is that a right wing government might be forced cobble up a deal with fringe parties like UKIP and the BNP in order to gain seats needed for a majority. An example is Italy where the mainstream left was completely annihilated after the Italian voters turned against the corruptions scandals and gave Berlusconi a foothold on power. Now Berlusconi is an amusing guy, but he is not in the long term interest of Italy.Dambrosi said:They're only defending it because they're Tories, desperate to maintain any chance of power for their preferred tribe. They don't actually support FPTP; it's just that the current system is the only way that their party can possibly be elected, given the overwhelmingly centre-left political make-up of the country. They're fighting for their ideological survival, and we all know it.
They fly in the face of logic and popular opinion at their own peril, methinks.
An elected HoL would be a better system of checks and balances on the government. The government controls parliamentary time, and has a very effective whipping system. I suspect the Digital Economy bill would have been passed through even with a Labour and Lib Dem coalition. The Liberal Democrats leadership would have not brought down the government and forced a new election if they didn't want to, and they would have got their whips to act accordingly. Elections around the world shows that the electorate punishes parties that bring down governments and forces an election not that long after the previous one - no doubt the Lib Dems would bear this in mind.freethought said:I like how you offer no evidence, not even a logical framework for any of your criticisms. I want you to explain how special interest groups are unable to block reform under this system, I want you to explain to me, as we wait for the Liberal Democrats, who have the minority of votes, to choose our next government, how FPTP prevents minorities wielding influence over the majority and I would really love it if you would explain how under the current system Parliament is ever under any fucking scrutiny. How'd that strong opposition go for the DE Bill?
Er... what? Firstly, Obama did not trademark the change message. If anything Obama plagiarised Blair in 1997. Secondly, Obama and Cameron apparently had a better meeting when he visited London a year or so again than he did with Brown. Thirdly, who cares what Obama thinks, if in the extreme unlikelihood that he isn't busy enough running a government? I would have thought that it would be obvious that political leaders usually have bigger things to worry about than fret over election campaigns in foreign countries...Veidt said:Culminating Obama's early run-in with Cameron and how Cameron plagiarized Obama's Change campaign. I imagine Obama must have a deep hatred for Cameron right now. hehe
freethought said:I like how you offer no evidence, not even a logical framework for any of your criticisms. I want you to explain how special interest groups are unable to block reform under this system, I want you to explain to me, as we wait for the Liberal Democrats, who have the minority of votes, to choose our next government, how FPTP prevents minorities wielding influence over the majority and I would really love it if you would explain how under the current system Parliament is ever under any fucking scrutiny. How'd that strong opposition go for the DE Bill?
Senior Liberal Democrats today warned that the Tories must give ground on the issue of voting reform if they want to strike a deal on the formation of a new government.
As the negotiating teams from the two parties were beginning a new round of talks, former Lib Dem leader Paddy Ashdown said that there was 'a mountain to climb' if they were to get an agreement.
'I don't believe that anybody can now establish a new government who is deaf to the calls from the British people for reform to our political system and part of that is electoral reform,' Lord Ashdown told BBC1's The Andrew Marr Show.
He pointed out that Mr Cameron's offer was no better than that made by Conservative Prime Minister Edward Heath to Liberal leader Jeremy Thorpe when he was trying to form a coalition after the 1974 general election.
'We have to assume that was an opening bargaining position. I am sure the Tories realise things have moved on from then,' he said.
His comments were echoed by senior Lib Dem MP and energy spokesman, Simon Hughes.
'I can't imagine that a review would be enough to be honest,' he told Sky News's Sunday Live programme.
'We've been there before, we were there at the 1997 election, Labour came into office promising an inquiry. We had an inquiry, a referendum was promised, there wasn't a referendum.
blazinglord said:An elected HoL would be a better system of checks and balances on the government.
Dani said:Murdoch/Tories Link
Last summer, as the media regulator gathered evidence for its pay-TV review, Conservative leader David Cameron said that Ofcom "as we know it, would cease to exist" if his party came into power
Accusations - hotly denied by the Tories - have been made that Conservative media policy is in effect being written by Rupert Murdoch and his son James - the chairman of BSkyB, chief executive of the Sun's owners News International, and not a fan of Ofcom.
Labour claimed there'd been a deal on media policy after the Sun newspaper switched its allegiance to the Conservatives.
curls said:If true - lunatic fringe party confirmed.
Do you see, Dr. Zhivago? This sort of negative guff is what I mean.phisheep said:I found that sort of interesting, but like all the mathematical treatments it falls a long way short of political reality.
It all depends on what you mean by each vote being 'worth' the same, and there are too many contradictions in our political system to make votes 'worth' the same for all the different purposes.
If all it was about was getting a proportional representation of peoples single positive choices equitably represented in a chamber then it would be easy, but:
If it is about influence over policy, then proportionately-represented minorities and single-issue parties would have disproportionate influence over the majority.
If it is about holding the government to scrutiny and making it stick through legislative amendments, too fragmented an opposition will be weaker than a united opposition.
If it is about creating reform, special interest groups would block reforms creating no-go areas (think of the old Fleet Street unions).
The maths doesn't help with any of those things. That's why it needs a political settlement - the current negotiations look like they might get part way there.
Yeah, you'd think they'd know better by now. Their favourite party certainly does.Zenith said:Are people seriously denying that newspapers can shape and reinforce the narrative of a situation? Are they dumb?
The Guardian said:Ever since, Putin has declined offers to meet senior British representatives. There has been no formal meeting with Gordon Brown over the past three years. Kremlin politicians today expressed a clear preference for a new Conservative or Conservative-led administration in Downing Street.
"I think the Conservatives will not escape a review of relations with Russia. And the review as such will lead to healthier relations between Britain and Russia," Gleb Pavlovsky, an analyst closely connected to the Kremlin, told the news agency Interfax, adding that Labour had "aggravated" ties with Russia.
curls said:If true - lunatic fringe party confirmed.
Mecha_Infantry said:
phisheep said:Here we go then. I should point out first that Im not putting this up as a defence of FPTP as you seem to think, but only to point out that the political reality is more complex than the mathematical approaches to fairness suggest.
phisheep said:Lets take control of legislation to start with. One of the main mechanisms for that is putting down amendments to Bills before Parliament it is an essential part of the process of restraining the excesses of government. The difficulty is in framing an amendment that will sufficiently wide support in Parliament to win a vote on the amendment. A fragmented opposition is less likely to be able to do that. Result, the government more or less gets away with whatever it wants to.
phisheep said:As to policy and reform, you need look no further than the proposed rainbow alliance where the price of nationalist interests would be to create no-go policy areas for the government and confine any radical change to England.
Apparantly SNP are heading to London as well!Brown's agent has just said he is heading back to London. Resignation today now possible.
gofreak said:Lord Ashdown and another senior Lib Dem has said a committee won't be enough.
The Lib Dems seem to have stepped up their public 'talk' to try and squeeze more out of the Tories.
http://www.rte.ie/news/2010/0509/ukelection.html
12.40pm: Malcolm Wicks, the Labour MP for Croydon North, has come out against a Lib-Lab pact. The former energy minister told the Press Association:
Any prospect of a Labour government staying in power with support from the Liberals in a ragbag coalition depending on assorted nationalists is, I think, ridiculous.
I don't think that appeals to common sense; neither, in my judgment, would it be accepted by public opinion. We have lost. I think we need to accept the logic of this and we need to prepare ourselves for a dignified and principled opposition. I think it would look very, very shabby for us to be seen hanging on to the doorknob of No 10.
Dambrosi said:The people are mostly perfectly rational, just uninformed, misinformed or just apathetic due to disgust with politicians. Unfortunate, but as Dagenham proved, not necessarily true at all. Greater levels and amount of debate will inform us; the media's willful misinformation must be confronted and contained by various means, such as (maybe) legally obligating news outlets to only report on verifiable facts, not opinions; and a new voting and electoral system that keeps politicians "honest" (or as "honest" as is possible) would do wonders to restore people's faith in politics in general, which is the main point of electoral reform. It's a pity that, for the present, that would put the Tories at a disadvantage, but such is the (current) will of the people, and I see no reason to deny them their preference. Thy People's Will Be Done.
Dambrosi said:Phisheep: I know it may just be the humanism in me talking, but I tend to trust the people to make the right decisions regarding our country, as long as they are properly informed and empowered. Look at what happened in Dagenham - when the populace was properly informed about the BNP's true beliefs and policies, their support dropped like a rock. This clearly shows that an informed voter is an active, moderate voter, and that such people are the best ones to decide the direction of the country.
You don't seem to believe that, for some reason. You seem to believe that the British people are foolish children who need to be led by the hand by Papa Tory towards a righteous Conservative future, despite their recorded insistence that that's not the future they want. Mind you, the Tories have always been the types to think that they know better - that they are better - than everyone else, so I suppose that attitude doesn't surprise me. However, it speaks to a nihilism and disbelief in people's innate rationality that I can't subscribe to.
freethought said:So you agree that FPTP is an unfair system?
It strikes me that we should strive for mathematical fairness and then deal with the political realities as dictated by the voters as opposed to a mathematically unfair system which is still afflicted by most, if not all of the problems you've outlined.
Sorry, before I continue, you need to explain to me why PR is only fragmenting the opposition, yet government power would be unaffected. Seems to me you're only adding PR to one side of the debate. Oh, and you'd also have to explain why government doing whatever the hell it wants is any different from the past thirty years of our political history under, wait for it, FPTP.
So Labour don't already rely on Scottish MP's to pass legislation? The SDLP don't already follow the Labour whip? The Tories haven't been making overtures to Unionists? You're discussing a situation we're already in, without PR. So why is it you only see the problem existing as part of PR?
RedShift said:So what are the best bets on a timeframe until the next election? Are talking 6 months, a year, or is there actually a chance of Cameron managing to last longer?
Will any reform of the electoral system even be put in force in time?
Empty said:i think unless we get a really amicable and good deal with the tories that leads to a very stable government, we'll have another election within the year (maybe 18 months at the most) which would be too soon for electoral reform.
DECK'ARD said:http://cgi.ebay.co.uk/ws/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewItem&item=290433096884#description
Bid quickly if you want to form a Government!
industrian said:Glorious.
phisheep said:Too soon for deficit and debt reduction as well, and for credibility in the markets.
I reckon that there will be a formal coalition capable of lasting out a full Parliamentary term.
DECK'ARD said:If a Lib/Lab/everyone else coalition that just scrapes a majority falls to bits (which it will), Labour and the Libs dems will be absolutely crucified at the resulting election, we'll have a Tory landslide and them in power for an eternity.
.
So what's the solution? "Better to risk it and let the Tories discredit themselves over the next year than to harm the progressive parties with a ham-fisted coalition"?Empty said:not only that, but cameron will be forced much further right by his party to maintain his grip on leadership and we'll get a landslide tory majority on a very damaging right-wing platform.
phisheep said:Meanwhile, I am a bit bemused about this so-called 'progressive alliance'.