It is all tainted at the very least because China doesn't allow more than 50k to leave the country. So by _definition_ the money being liberated to buy overseas property is against the capital control rules in China. Of course there are many ways to escape these rules such as going to hong kong and running credit cards through machines literally 100s of times over in order to move funds. Or using the informal banking system. Or mis-pricing imports and exports to shift capital outside the borders. Whatever it takes. There are also a certain number of families that are actively being chased by Chinese party officials who don't regard their overseas assets as untouchable. Whether bribery charges are trumped up or real or whatever who knows but a good deal of the cash is far from clean. Its a similar situation to the russian money that floods London property and buys mayfair apartments that remain dark.
I don't agree that it is tainted simply by being over $50k. There are many ways to move funds out legitimately and I know many people that are slowly building up overseas savings by using the $50k limit each year. A family can move money out within that limit and get a lot of money out within a couple of years. If they sell a house to a foreigner they can asked to be paid in an offshore account, if they work for a foreign company they can ask to be paid into an overseas account, and if they get stock options from that foreign company the stock gains from sales go into a foreign account.
The Chinese who move their money into overseas property are not the 1% they are the 0.01%, people connected to the communist party at the highest levels, who got ownership of state industry at key moments, and generally used their political connections to build up family wealth in construction, resources, and so on. Not all of course. But many. One might call them savvy business people, but the facts of the matter are their purpose is to buy insurance policies for a possibly future where China turns ugly internally or difficult for their wealth. They've done surveys and among this group. The desire to hold an overseas passport, and relocate, is off the charts. Property helps with this. If not for them, then for their offspring. I imagine while they can continue to make money in China and liberate it to the west, they stay. But with their passports and tickets ready.
Because of the wealth disparity between subsistence farmers and those that work in the city, its likely that 0.01%, which is 13 million people probably isn't far off the mark (my rough guess would be 0.5, given the size of the overseas Chinese community), but I think you have a misunderstanding of the urban population.
I am a foreigner that lives and work in Beijing and the small 100 square meter apartment that I rent from a regular Chinese guy would go for over USD 1 million on the market here. The price per square meter where I am is about $12000/square meter, and there are places even more expensive. The Beijing average is about $6700/square meter--when you compare it to Vancouver, which ranges from $500-$2000/square meter, Vancouver is cheap to the average Beijinger, it doesn't take "people connected to the communist party at the highest levels" to want to invest or move to a cheaper area with a higher quality of living. I see ads all the time regarding investing or moving overseas, including touts on the street passing out flyers for buying overseas property. The phenomenon is way too widespread, and Chinese urbanites are too rich off of Chinese property, for it to realistically be simply corrupt party officials.
From my personal experience, I work in a law firm in China where the people I work with and for have salaries ranging from $100,000 to $1.4 million (based on their years of work). There are also people I know working in investment banking, consulting, hedge funds, and also people that have started up successful restaurant chains, etc. There is plenty of legitimate wealth earned without being "people connected to the communist party at the highest levels, who got ownership of state industry at key moments".
They don't pick cities based on prospects they pick cities based on whether there is an existing chinese community that can guide them, introduce them to property and connections and banking and help with the cultural and language barriers. In Australia that city is Sydney and to a lesser extent Melbourne. So the money hits unequally and warps the market out of recognition. In Canada it is Vancouver and Toronto. In USA it is west coast and new york, etc. But the list of cities is small. This isn't some kind of global capital move driven by economic principals of investment and return but cash looking for security rather than being used for re-investment back home.
If they were simply looking for Chinese guides to property investment, it is fairly easy to find them everywhere. The reason why many pick these specific cities is because they want to live there--that's why there's an existing Chinese community in the first place, because Chinese wanted to move there. If it is just cash looking for security, there are many more places that are more secure and anonymous.
And as for reciprocation
read this and tell me its equitable:
http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/942587.shtml
First off, I think the article exaggerates and gets many things wrong. I do not hear of Shanghai foreigners paying taxes to Beijing instead of Shanghai--Beijing actually makes you pay roughly $200 more in taxes for social insurance, while Shanghai exempts foreigners from the tax.
Even then, I don't think it is as bad as it sounds:
Shanghai issued its first restrictions on property purchasing back in 2011, which stated that non-Shanghai hukou (household registration) families, including foreigners, have to provide proof of income tax or social insurance to the local government.
That means that the restriction applies to all non-Shanghai families, which would include Beijingers and other Chinese from outside of Shanghai as well as foreigners. Again, it is more restrictive for non-Shanghai Chinese, as they need to live in Shanghai longer than 1-year to buy a property, but the cities are removing the 1-year limit already.
http://www.ibtimes.com/china-relaxe...ore-real-estate-attempt-boost-slowing-2072571
Rules that required foreigners to live in the country for a year before they could invest in property are to be abolished, the countrys commerce ministry said late Thursday. Limits on the number of properties foreign indviduals and businesses can purchase will also be relaxed, according to state media. Since 2010, foreign buyers have only been allowed to own one property for their personal use.
https://www.thebeijinger.com/blog/2016/02/17/working-foreigners-may-now-buy-property-beijing
Foreigners working legally in Beijing may now buy property with an immediate effect, the Beijing Municipal Commission of Housing and Urban-Rural Development announced, in a move anticipated since the summer of 2015.
Previously, non-Chinese citizens were required to be resident in Beijing for a year in order to become eligible to purchase real estate. Now, a legal work permit (and a fair bit of money) is enough to buy the Beijing home of your dreams or the rental property you've always been eyeing.
But for non-Shanghai Chinese wanting to buy in Shanghai, the rules are tightening:
http://www.shanghaidaily.com/busine...ghtening-policy-for-home-market/shdaily.shtml
In addition, non-local residents will only be qualified to purchase a house if they could provide tax or social insurance certificates to verify their length of stay in the city exceeded five consecutive years. Previously, they would be entitled to a home buying right if they could verify their length of stay in the city exceeded 24 accumulated months over three years as required by the government.
in particular, China being China, if they don't like something they just seize it. That alone makes foreign owners based overseas reluctant to consider investments. There are many stories of Australian business people who under-estimated the risk of growing a business in China: thinking a local partnership was worth the paper it was written on, losing everything and getting jailed too.
There are stories of people entering into partnerships to streamline the process of getting in, but not looking at what they are agreeing to. As someone that works everyday to help foreign companies invest in China, I think your statement is overblown. China is the largest or second largest market for everything from iPhones, American cars, American fast food, etc. There are lots of foreign companies investing into China.