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Will the USA eventually "fall"?

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Catalyst

Banned
I'm sure there could be plenty of reasoning as to why it eventually will, or could...but what do you guys think? And...how?
 

LakeEarth

Member
All other great empires fall eventually. I'm thinking it may not always be 'first', but the US should survive. England did.
 

Socreges

Banned
Yes, of course. Though they're doing their damndest to suppress rising powers and maintain hegemonic rule.

Let's just say, once the USA "falls", whether it's in our lifetime or not, it won't be pretty.
 

Catalyst

Banned
Tenguman said:
And I thought I was the only one who's read that and have thought about it..hahaha, one can realize so many things on a simple messageboard.

But I'm a bit too perplexed to submit a definitive opinion. England survived. Gaul (France) survived. Russia survived. A few others did. But America is a particularly young country...it's a country that has rushed itself in the history of man...and there are so many things wrong with our country it's sickening...although many other countries are screwed up as well. What it boils down to is our leaders' decisions.

So let the Freemasons take over...bahahaha. I dunno. The USA can fall. It might fall. Ever see Red Dawn?
 

Socreges

Banned
When you say "fall", do you mean just from the top? Or altogether into tragedy? If nuclear bombs aren't involved, they'll become another Britain.
 

GaimeGuy

Volunteer Deputy Campaign Director, Obama for America '16
Mark my words: Within the next fifty years, China will become the most powerful country in the world.
 

SlickWilly223

Time ta STEP IT UP
Yah, USA won't be a Superpower for all eternity, but it isn't going to be wiped off the face of the Earth anytime soon.

I honestly think that the fall of the US Superpower will happen sometime towards the end of my life, especially the way things have been going lately but hey -- as of right now we're doing better than most countries.
 

Anthropic

Member
A lot of previous empires rose to power because they were extraordinarily good at invading and exploiting other nations/peoples. However, that kind of expansion can't go on for ever and at some point the whole thing collapses.

The US, on the other hand, seems to be unique in the fact that we suck at imperialism. Early on, our economic prosparity did depend on exploiting the Native Americans and the African Americans. However, the explosive growth in the US's power and prosparity in the last 100 years seems to have been driven mostly by exploiting trade relationships and technology. Our sucesses have come when we've used military power as a bargining chip, rather than as a means for forced expansion. Our attempts at imperialism have consistantly blown up in our faces.
 

Fatghost

Gas Guzzler
China's GDP is set to overtake the US's in aggregate terms by 2030. However, this assessment is often considered to be conservative.

In per capita terms, I think China may need 60 years or so to exceed the US.
 

Cimarron

Member
Anthropic said:
A lot of previous empires rose to power because they were extraordinarily good at invading and exploiting other nations/peoples. However, that kind of expansion can't go on for ever and at some point the whole thing collapses.

The US, on the other hand, seems to be unique in the fact that we suck at imperialism. Early on, our economic prosparity did depend on exploiting the Native Americans and the African Americans. However, the explosive growth in the US's power and prosparity in the last 100 years seems to have been driven mostly by exploiting trade relationships and technology. Our sucesses have come when we've used military power as a bargining chip, rather than as a means for forced expansion. Our attempts at imperialism have consistantly blown up in our faces.


Economic imperialism is still imperialism you know.....
 

Socreges

Banned
Anthropic said:
A lot of previous empires rose to power because they were extraordinarily good at invading and exploiting other nations/peoples. However, that kind of expansion can't go on for ever and at some point the whole thing collapses.

The US, on the other hand, seems to be unique in the fact that we suck at imperialism. Early on, our economic prosparity did depend on exploiting the Native Americans and the African Americans. However, the explosive growth in the US's power and prosparity in the last 100 years seems to have been driven mostly by exploiting trade relationships and technology. Our sucesses have come when we've used military power as a bargining chip, rather than as a means for forced expansion. Our attempts at imperialism have consistantly blown up in our faces.
I think the most important factors, in the past century, came when Europe was crippled by war and the USA reeped the benefits.
 

Anthropic

Member
Cimarron said:
Economic imperialism is still imperialism you know.....

Well, yes and no. The problem that empires from the British all the way back to the Romans had was that they were literally running every place they invaded. They were the government. The problem there is two fold...First, there's little chance an imperialist government will actually work for the needs to the people it rules. Second, it's likely that the regime will end in a violent overthrowing of the imperialist government.

That's what gets these empires into trouble. Even the most well-organized government will eventually crack under the strain of all of these administrative duties, compounded by the fact that the locals don't want them there in the first place. That's what causes these old empires to fall.

Now, the reason why these empires formed in the first place was that it was realized that there are huge economic benefits to be had in large-scale/worldwide trade. So, what they did was engineered it themelves by invading nations and forcing the locals to trade with the empire, usually in ways that were not beneficial to the residents.

In the case of the US, there are very few places where we actually run the government, and yet we enjoy the same economic benefits of large-scale/worldwide trade as the old empires. In fact, in the cases where we've tried to run the government, we usually get our asses kicked.

"Economic imperialism" is going to look very much the same as running a global economy, but it's not going to look like the traditional kind of imperials where you run a bunch of far flung countries.
 

Anthropic

Member
Socreges said:
I think the most important factors, in the past century, came when Europe was crippled by war and the USA reeped the benefits.

I think you're missing the real success here. The triumph wasn't picking up the ball Europe dropped, it was being able to run with the ball for so long.
 

xexex

Banned
the USA will fall probably after the war that kills 1/3 of mankind. the USA will probably be hit somewhat. enough so to allow the EU to take the leading role in the world. but that's just what I heard. who knows. but I don't think the USA will be on top for more than a few more than another decade or so.

now if you're talking about the USA falling morally, that already happened decades ago.
 

maharg

idspispopd
Eh, I think the difference is far less significant than you make it out to be. And strictly speaking, the US controls about as much territory as the old Roman Empire did at its peak, and it wasn't all gained through trade. Also, as I understand it, the early roman empire (while it was still a republic) allowed quite a lot of autonomy.

At any rate, I don't think that difference will save the US. Whether it has been through the force of arms or through the use of arms as a bargaining chip, much of the world is unsettled by the level of control the US has over it. Not to mention that the US absolutely DOES exploit foreign resources, whether direct imperial control is placed over them or not. Outsourcing isn't such a hot topic for nothing. It's basically exploitation, and even Americans don't seem to like it much at this point.
 

Cimarron

Member
"Now, the reason why these empires formed in the first place was that it was realized that there are huge economic benefits to be had in large-scale/worldwide trade. So, what they did was engineered it themelves by invading nations and forcing the locals to trade with the empire, usually in ways that were not beneficial to the residents."

..... We essentially do this now.... yeah we don't absorb nations into our country but we do bitch them economicly by cutting sweet deals for the ruling class/goverment. I fail to see how we are much different than Rome or Britain.
 

maharg

idspispopd
belgurdo said:
Empires last for thousands of years before they fall.

The US is barely over 200 years old

Er, actually I don't think there's an empire in history that lasted a thousand years, let alone thousands. Alexander's Macedonia (Greek) empire barely lasted his lifetime. The Mongol empire broke up fairly quickly (not sure how long). The Roman Empire was halved in about 500 years from it actually becoming an empire. The other half (Byzantine) lasted considerably longer but I'm not sure if it was considered much of an empire at that point. Russia was an empire from about the 1700s to the early 20th century. England as a world spanning empire was about 500.

I think it's safe to say the average lifespan of an empire is considerably less than thousands of years.

[Note: I am not a historian. Everything I know about this stuff I know from encyclopedias and the web. Anyone who knows better, feel free to correct me :p]
 

Socreges

Banned
Anthropic said:
I think you're missing the real success here. The triumph wasn't picking up the ball Europe dropped, it was being able to run with the ball for so long.
There wouldn't be a ball unless it was dropped! That's why I think the World Wars were the most important factors.

belgurdo said:
Empires last for thousands of years before they fall.

The US is barely over 200 years old
Aligning such history with the present is kind of silly.
 

lachesis

Member
When there's nothing else to "spend" or "consume", we shall fall and we deserve to do so.
It just seems like we are not really preparing when that happens, and I just feel very guilty for mother-nature and future generation for all the things we consume and waste.

Believe me, I am not a die-hard environmentalist, but when compared to other nations regarding where they teach the value of "saving" and "preservation", it's outrageous. - this country, we have more shit than we ever needed - with so much power and all, we are not doing shit about it, and I am concerned, confused, and worried. I create so much garbage myself, and where do they go? Alas, we have vast land to be filled up with garbage, but how long it will take? I know I'm very pessimistic about it, but I just cannot help worrying about it and I don't believe that one day some miracle invention will solve everything we've done wrong and remedy the pollution we've caused in USA.

and.. in 50 years, China might be the strongest country, but they won't have no Hooters worth any hoot... so I don't really care. ;)

lachesis
 
If it does...it will have to be a civil war type setting. I can't see any outsiders winning a war against us. Heck we outspend the entire world combined in military budgets(very sickening)...I really wonder if a US army would fire on its own people though...in the case of a civil war. I'm sure they would but if they did...they'd also be destroying the country too. They should be held to a higher standard then average joe and jane america, with no affiliation, who believe taking out a high politician or two will help change things.

Once you get the police state in place though...this country will be torn in two...and well there are signs that is not far away. The way the leaders of this country love to overreact to everything...I'm sure it will only take one guy trying to assasinate the president to put a lockdown on just about everything. Titor may be right.
 

Anthropic

Member
maharg said:
Eh, I think the difference is far less significant than you make it out to be. And strictly speaking, the US controls about as much territory as the old Roman Empire did at its peak, and it wasn't all gained through trade.

There's a huge difference. "Rome" proper was the size of a city, but it's empire encompassed much of Europe. The problem is that any physical "empire" has to constantly policed to maintain control. It was the same with the British Empire where "home" was simply the UK and the empire that need to be constantly policed was 1/4th of the world.

"Home" requires a lot less effort to run than the "empire". Incidentally it's the policing of these places that made old-style imperialism so morally repugnant.

The US, on the other hand, hasn't had problem with really serious internal strife at "home" since the Civil War. Physically, we have very little empire and a lot of "home".

At any rate, I don't think that difference will save the US. Whether it has been through the force of arms or through the use of arms as a bargaining chip, much of the world is unsettled by the level of control the US has over it.

There's a huge gulf between people being "unsettled" and being literally ruled by an empire as say, India was under the British. That's the difference.

Not to mention that the US absolutely DOES exploit foreign resources, whether direct imperial control is placed over them or not. Outsourcing isn't such a hot topic for nothing. It's basically exploitation, and even Americans don't seem to like it much at this point.

You see "exploitation", I see trade. Civilization requires trade. A technological civilization, no matter who runs it, requires worldwide trade on a vast scale. Any technological civilization is going to have certain goods that it needs to keep the lights on, and it will be especially interested in keeping the trade in these goods open at all costs.
 

Cimarron

Member
"

You see "exploitation", I see trade. Civilization requires trade. A technological civilization, no matter who runs it, requires worldwide trade on a vast scale. Any technological civilization is going to have certain goods that it needs to keep the lights on, and it will be especially interested in keeping the trade in these goods open at all costs."

:D

Ladies and Gentlemen... here you have it! The exact attitude will bring bring the US of A to its knee's one day.

Nothing is wrong with trade of course but come on. The U.S. doesn't know how to play fair or nice. Everyone is greedy when it comes to money but we are absolutely ridiculous.
 

Anthropic

Member
There's no question there are some situations where we could be more fair, but in discussions like this people seem to forget (or not understand) how much trade is perfectly legitimate, as opposed to the smaller portion of it is that's unfair.
 

Cimarron

Member
Anthropic said:
There's no question there are some situations where we could be more fair, but in discussions like this people seem to forget (or not understand) how much trade is perfectly legitimate, as opposed to the smaller portion of it is that's unfair.

NEWSFLASH!!! Just because a goverment has a law about someting and its legal doesn't means its fair. Jim Crow anyone?
 

Mugen

Banned
before then we would have alternative source already like Hydrogen Fusion Engine or something like that.
 

iyox

Member
In per capita terms, I think China may need 60 years or so to exceed the US.

Unless the US per capita some how decreases to allow this to happen, then this would be the end of the world as we know it. Sorry to say the earth(natural resources) can't support 1 billion people living the excesses of an american lifestyle.
 

way more

Member
Maybe not. China has been mentioned already as rising above us, but as someone famous said, "Countries with Hooters in them don't attack eachother." Maybe the rest of the world will follow suit, and then there would be no more conflicts. I think the question is whether the rest of the world can accept western democracy.
 

RiZ III

Member
I don't think the US is going to fall anytime soon. Great nations/empires usually last for a while. Im no history buff so correct me if Im wrong, but empires usually just outstretch themselves or end up collapsing from the inside due to corruption.
 

Fatghost

Gas Guzzler
iyox said:
Unless the US per capita some how decreases to allow this to happen, then this would be the end of the world as we know it. Sorry to say the earth(natural resources) can't support 1 billion people living the excesses of an american lifestyle.


Tree hugger.

:D
 

iyox

Member
but empires usually just outstretch themselves or end up collapsing from the inside due to corruption.


So in other words, everything that is happening in the U.S. right now?
 

Willco

Hollywood Square
United States will never fall. It just won't happen. Empires won't exist. We'll just evolve to the point where we're operated by some big company.
 
China will never become the most powerful country in the world ever.


The reason why the USA will never fall is mainly because of Europe, sure they have their disagrements, but they are all cousins and in no way would they just sit there and allow China to take over, are you crazy? Even Japan would continue to make sure the US stays on top due to the fear of chinese dominance...............i'm sure theres hate in there somewhere :D
 

mashoutposse

Ante Up
Hournda said:
Two words, my friends: Peak Oil. The US will fall surprisingly soon.

This is why we need someone in office who realizes that a viable alternative must be developed sooner rather than later.

I don't think hydrogen is the answer. Personally, I've always thought that we should figure out a way to harness the energy of the sun through biological means, not man-made materials. I have zero expertise in this area, but instead of solar panels, how about photosynthetic organisms that naturally create substances that can be used as fuel?
 

maharg

idspispopd
Willco said:
United States will never fall. It just won't happen. Empires won't exist. We'll just evolve to the point where we're operated by some big company.

Such a shift would mean a fall for the US government. The new empires would be MS and Sony.
 
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