You don't think either of the Illumination films has a shot at $500 million? It's tough to project films that aren't part of an existing franchise, but that seems premature.
I forgot about that pets movie. I suppose it has a shot too, though a lot of new animation IPs fail to hit that mark on their first film.
The other film comes out Dec 23rd, so no, that isnt making $500M this year.