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Wkd BO 0505-0717 - Baby Groot & fam show IRL Groot & fam who's Boss
- Thread starter xaosslug
- Start date
Obliterator
Member
broncobuster
Banned
I'd say possibilities are Deadpool 2 if it gets a China release, Spider-Man Homecoming's sequel if the first is good and they find a hook, and Batman (more than JL). For MCU movies, Thor is the last big opportunity of the decade, I guess. Maybe there's a third 2019 release I'm forgetting.
Sibersk Esto
Banned
Black Panther's performance will be interesting.
Biggest-Geek-Ever
Member
BATB is starting to perform like the first Hunger Games, which stabilized and ended up having a series of 20-30% declines throughout the whole summer. It should be able to get to $500M before a second-run theater expansion even happen. I'd say a total around $505M looks good.
The Incredibles 2, if I wanted to be pedantic.
I see Deadpool 2 dropping from the first. If China gets a release, it wouldn't be enough of a boost to get it anywhere near $1B.
I forgot that the Spider-Man Homecoming sequel was in 2019. I was thinking 2020 for some reason.
The Incredibles 2, if I wanted to be pedantic.
After Dory, I very much doubt it. Maybe if currencies have a major rebound by next summer. Toy Story 3 would have been somewhere around $925M with current exchange rates as well.
I don't see Deadpool dropping domestically. Just that little short they released a little while back got a ton of views. Only thing is the Han Solo film releasing the week before might hurt it but who knows.
Han film is probably also going to play to the "humor in my action film" crowd, so despite them being rated differently, the audiences will overlap a ton
Biggest-Geek-Ever
Member
I'm looking at the release schedule for that summer and...
Untitled Han Solo Star Wars Anthology Film (BV) - 5/25
Deadpool 2 (Fox) - 6/1
Ocean's 8 (WB) - 6/8
Transformers 6 (Par.) - 6/8
The Incredibles 2 (BV) - 6/15
Jurassic World Sequel (Uni.) - 6/22
What the hell? Deadpool 2 I would assume is eventually going to move if the Han Solo film stays in May, but still.
Obliterator
Member
I'm not sure Deadpool 2 significantly out grosses the first
hodayathink
Member
Okay, what's the record for consecutive weeks with a 75 million plus opener? Also, of that slate I would think Oceans would move, but then again being female-centered they may be positioning it like Bridesmaids?
Transformers 6 is actually the Bumblebee spin off. I doubt that opens over $75M domestic given where the main series is domestically.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
I think just as the last few years have tested (and proven) the notion that films have to be released in "seasons" in order to succeed, we're going to find out that movies "getting bites taken out" by other movies isn't as pronounced as we're thinking.
That the competition might actually prolong these films' box-office life, as the wealth of new films all at the multiplex makes the multiplex more inviting a destination, not less. Which would lead to more tickets being sold.
Maybe.
We'll see.
That the competition might actually prolong these films' box-office life, as the wealth of new films all at the multiplex makes the multiplex more inviting a destination, not less. Which would lead to more tickets being sold.
Maybe.
We'll see.
BronsonLee
Member
I know the budget for both movies was similar, but while I think GOTG 1 was a better movie proper, holy shitsnacks does the 2nd one just crush it visually
The new cameras doing work.
This was the first Marvel movie that actually looked like a movie.
They also don't track international weekends on a movie by movie basis for some reason.
If I want to look up what Jurassic World made overseas on its fifth weekend, I have to go searching through old threads, and even then we usually only have the estimates on hand.
EDIT: Also, their method of converting international takes to USD is completely backwards.
Triggerhappytel
Member
Huh?!
BronsonLee
Member
I thought Civil War looked alright, but this one definitely has blown the doors off. I can't wait to see how Ragnarok goes in visually too
BronsonLee
Member
I now think GOTG2 looked like shit
in all seriousness though, what I saw of Tarzan looked real stunning too
How do they convert?
Also, what do you mean you can't see the weekend foreign totals?
Biggest-Geek-Ever
Member
Maybe I'm not clear on what you mean, but is this not it? http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&view=byweekend&wk=2015W28&id=jurassicpark4.htm
Also, http://www.insidekino.com/BO/WWTopI2017.htm is my go-to site when I want to find international box office in local currency and international weekend charts. BOM's international page has been kind of fucked since around 2014.
Glass Rebel
Member
If you don't count the first two Iron Man movies then that statement would be correct.
Glass Rebel
Member
ryutaro's mama
Member
You gotta make sure you read EXACTLY what K-Swizzle​ was saying before you point to it, Glass Rebel.
IM1, Cap TFA, Dr Strange, and the first Guardians say hi
Dude seems talented. Hope he gets more high profile work after this. His two biggest movies before this one were Legend of Tarzan and The Golden Compass.
TWS says hi too.
Biggest-Geek-Ever
Member
I've got that horrible feeling this will be another thread where we're told $200M movies look like direct-to-video garbage.
Somehow I have managed to go 15 years without noticing the by weekend option in the foreign tab :/
Thanks for the other link. I will bookmark it and check it out later.
They readjust the entire total every week, instead of adding up the USD weekends/weekly grosses to get a total.
Here's the Force Awakens in the UK at the end of May 2016: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&view=byweekend&wk=2016W22&id=starwars7.htm
Here's the Force Awakens in the UK after a very limited re-release at the end of August 2016: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&view=byweekend&wk=2016W35&id=starwars7.htm
So based on their method, the film magically lost close to $20M in the UK because the exchange rates were difference. The messed up total is what shows up when you look at the foreign page for TFA by country.
The May total was already messed up for the same reason.
did I hit a nerve? I want good movies (in my opinion) to succeed, it's not petty at all.
Really the only MCU films that looked off visually was Avengers 1 and Ant-Man.
Glass Rebel
Member
Nah but Vin must have hit a nerve with you.
ryutaro's mama
Member
Your perspective of what is good is not a fact of what is good.
Affeinvasion
Member
I noticed today when I went to see GotG that Cinemark is charging less for tickets right now. I paid 3.99 per ticket. Has that had any real effect on domestic box office since they've been doing that?
The the Fate of the Furious opening weekend thread where someone said that they thought that the series was direct to video?
It's the BO GAF equivalent of "It looks like a PS2 game."
ryutaro's mama
Member
Holy fuck. $3.99 for a theater ticket? Where did you see it?
Affeinvasion
Member
Crap-ass Pennsylvania and it was matinee price but it's supposed to be a company wide thing.
So you should be happy that F8 hit a billion so quickly.
Civil War was a bit hit and miss for me too.
Actually, it's only the airport battle that I thought "looked" bad
BronsonLee
Member
I'm moving back to Philly and a 10 minute walk away from one in two months
God bless America
Thanks for pointing that out. Very strange
Affeinvasion
Member
Good ticket prices don't really make up for living in Erie, tbh.
Wait, why does the studio think it's going to increase 34% today? Is there a holiday today or something?
At least you are in driving range to Cedar Point. Could be worse.
ryutaro's mama
Member
Duuuude, had I have known, I would have snuck in an early matinee today for another viewing.
Any word on how long this will last?