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Wkd Box Office Est. 0518-20 12 Avengers sinks the Battleship & drowns The Dictator
- Thread starter planar1280
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MrPink93485
Member
Memorial Day will help. The only barrier is the loss of theaters, which I'd assume would be higher than Revenge of the Fallen at this point, still, the Hunger Games will probably have a strong dollar theater run.
planar1280
Banned
FWIW, Ep1 (3D re-release) made 316 dollars in all of US last weekend.
That means less than one ticket sold in each state over the entire weekend and yet its still playing in theatres.
SillyEskimo
Member
I'm taking the wife, 2 kids, father in law, sister in law, and her kids to see Avengers this weekend. I hope the rest of America does the same! I can't wait to see how they like it! I hope lots of people do the same and give Avengers another breat weekend.
I mostly agree., though stranger things have happened (look at Gnomeo and Juliet. Disney didn't even bother pushing it the extra $33k needed to break $100M). I do think it will be the lowest grossing movie to cross that barrier though. Even under Revenge of the Fallen.
It earned about $200M in 1977 (Box Office Mojo has it at $215M in April 1978) and the rest in various re-releases between then and the early 80s.
planar1280
Banned
http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=releases&id=starwars4.htm
307 m in 1977
15m in 1982
138m in 1992
There seems to be something missing somewgere
MrPink93485
Member
Yeah that's just weird, but still, it needs to be in a fair amount of theaters if it wants to make decent progress.
Look at the weekend chart for the initial 1977 release if you don't believe me.
EDIT: I am not trying to dispute the fact that Star Wars made ton of money when it was release, but there has been a lot of revisionist history with adjusted for inflation totals. Most of the big movies near the top of the chart were re-released a number of times. Most of those re-releases were not documented like they are now. Some films returned to theatres yearly, or every few years.
Titanic had the largest initial run in movie history, even adjusted for inflation. E.T. is the only other contender.
KuwabaraTheMan
Banned
It's kind of sad to see it out of the Top 5. It will almost certainly get back in there when it is re-released, however.
This year will wind up seeing a lot of changes at the top of the list. Episode I jumping over several films, Avengers entering, and The Dark Knight Rises in a couple of months. It's kind of weird to see so much change there.
planar1280
Banned
Hmmm one of those is wrong.
Hmmmm 214 comes to 816 million
Mgoblue201
Won't stop picking the right nation
This made me laugh a little too much: excerpts from William Shakespeare's Battleship.
lazybones18
Banned
...
$4.9M for the Avengers on Tuesday.
That's a 42% drop from last week. The movie should pass The Phantom Menace on Thursday, and enter the weekend with ~$475M.
$45M+ for the 4-day weekend means that The Dark Knight will be dethroned by June 3rd at the latest. Box Office Mojo's total for Avengers doesn't include overseas Monday and Tuesday, so the movie is likely past $1.2 billion worldwide at this point. Avengers will pass Deathly Hallows 2 worldwide around the same time that it passes The Dark Knight domestically. Maybe a day or two earlier.
And that will be the end of Avengers' climb on the worldwide and domestic charts. It has a shot at $600M domestic and $1.5B worldwide, but it's not going to overtake Titanic in either region.
That's a 42% drop from last week. The movie should pass The Phantom Menace on Thursday, and enter the weekend with ~$475M.
$45M+ for the 4-day weekend means that The Dark Knight will be dethroned by June 3rd at the latest. Box Office Mojo's total for Avengers doesn't include overseas Monday and Tuesday, so the movie is likely past $1.2 billion worldwide at this point. Avengers will pass Deathly Hallows 2 worldwide around the same time that it passes The Dark Knight domestically. Maybe a day or two earlier.
And that will be the end of Avengers' climb on the worldwide and domestic charts. It has a shot at $600M domestic and $1.5B worldwide, but it's not going to overtake Titanic in either region.
The Avengers is the highest grossing movie of all-time in Brazil in BRL -- R$ 105.7 million (not the highest in in USD given the different currency rates).
It's still way behind in attendance: currently 10th with 8.77 million tickets (Titanic is the first with 16.38m tickets on its first release).
Latest worlwide total: $1,219,600,000
It's still way behind in attendance: currently 10th with 8.77 million tickets (Titanic is the first with 16.38m tickets on its first release).
Latest worlwide total: $1,219,600,000
Avengers is also the highest grossing movie overall in Latin America.
Wednesday gross for the Avengers was just under $4M. Down 19% from Tuesday and 37% from last week.
It looks like the Avengers will be about $80M ahead of The Dark Knight after the same number of days this coming Monday. The Avengers only needs to beat TDK by $67M to hit $600M domestically. Seems to be a fairly safe bet at this point.
BOM guesses: http://boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3446&p=.htm
Four-Day Forecast (May 25-28)
1. MIB 3 - $84 million
2. The Avengers - $41.7 million (-25%)
3. Battleship - $15.3 million (-40%)
4. Chernobyl Diaries - $14.8 million
5. The Dictator - $11.5 million (-34%)
BO.com guesses: http://www.boxoffice.com/statistics/long_term_predictions?w=1
Men in Black 3 $73,000,000 --
Marvel's The Avengers $46,000,000 -17%
Battleship $17,000,000 -33%
The Dictator $13,500,000 -23%
Chernobyl Diaries $13,000,000 --
Four-Day Forecast (May 25-28)
1. MIB 3 - $84 million
2. The Avengers - $41.7 million (-25%)
3. Battleship - $15.3 million (-40%)
4. Chernobyl Diaries - $14.8 million
5. The Dictator - $11.5 million (-34%)
BO.com guesses: http://www.boxoffice.com/statistics/long_term_predictions?w=1
Men in Black 3 $73,000,000 --
Marvel's The Avengers $46,000,000 -17%
Battleship $17,000,000 -33%
The Dictator $13,500,000 -23%
Chernobyl Diaries $13,000,000 --
I suggest we give the OP of the next Box Office thread to whichever site was closer in their guess.
Seems like BOM has a considerably lower prediction for Avengers compared to EW. EW has Avengers for $43 million for just the 3 day weekend, while BOM has it at $41 million for the 4 day weekend. Either way that's a pretty small drop, especially if EW is right, should cruise to $600 million with a hold like that.
Me gustaI suggest we give the OP of the next Box Office thread to whichever site was closer in their guess.
lazybones18
Banned
I hope Avengers beats MIB3
ViewtifulJC
Banned
I have to see MIB3 with my mom for her birthday. I hope it's good :/
It won't.
That's... really, really, really unlikely.
If The Avengers can hold to 40-45m next week then it will beat MIB3.
Won't happen but if for some reason it did the rage from Bob would be glorious!
Avengers Thursday was $4.4M, which puts it past Phantom Menace for 4th place domestically.
If its weekend increases follow Iron Man 2, Memorial day weekend will look like this:
Friday: $10.6M
Saturday: $14.7M
Sunday: $14M
Monday: $11M
$39.3M 3-Day; $50.3M 4-Day
That would put Avengers at $528M by Monday. At worst, it will be past $520M.
Box Office Mojo's prediction is way too pessimistic. The weekday drops have been good this week, so I don't see how Avengers drops worse than Thor or Iron Man 2 this weekend. Both of those movies had competition as well. Especially Thor. They have underpredicted The Avengers every weekend so far though.
If its weekend increases follow Iron Man 2, Memorial day weekend will look like this:
Friday: $10.6M
Saturday: $14.7M
Sunday: $14M
Monday: $11M
$39.3M 3-Day; $50.3M 4-Day
That would put Avengers at $528M by Monday. At worst, it will be past $520M.
Box Office Mojo's prediction is way too pessimistic. The weekday drops have been good this week, so I don't see how Avengers drops worse than Thor or Iron Man 2 this weekend. Both of those movies had competition as well. Especially Thor. They have underpredicted The Avengers every weekend so far though.
Escape Goat
Member
Who wants to go see MIB on the Thursday night before Memorial weekend? pffft.
Sho_Nuff82
Member
That's hard for me to answer. I don't know why anyone would be excited to see it at all.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
Josh Brolin. Seriously, that is the only thing making me want to go to a matinee in the middle of the week or something.
immortal-joe
Member
I just came back from the movie a couple of hours ago - he was great in it. Overall a fun movie, and not a "cash-in".
planar1280
Banned
Chernobyl had 556k midnights. Bigger than john carter and battleship
Link
The Autumn Wind
I'd imagine that horror films are more popular for midnight showings.
Sho_Nuff82
Member
I can see Chernobyl outgrossing both in the states.
Hero_of_the_Day
Member
Yeah, seems pretty dumb to even bother with a midnight showing. I'm sure it's going to do great the next few days when entire families pile into theaters for it.
Its exactly like how 18M midnight gross for Avengers had people loling at a 175M weekend number. We all know how that turned out.
Non-event films have insignificant midnight numbers.
Uh, The Immortals did $1.4M Thursday midnight and that opened at 32M for the weekend.
I'm going to call sub $50M 3-day. I've been bullish on this for the past two months, but that's a pretty disappointing midnight number.
MrPink93485
Member
I doubt you can extrapolate much from the midnight number.
It's been a dormant franchise for 10 years and it may skew family friendly (bigger Saturday and Sunday jumps, especially combined with Memorial Day weekend). There's really no idea to tell what it ends up meaning for the weekend really until we get a look at how matinee business is doing, which I suspect won't be that strong today, but will pick up in the night.
It's been a dormant franchise for 10 years and it may skew family friendly (bigger Saturday and Sunday jumps, especially combined with Memorial Day weekend). There's really no idea to tell what it ends up meaning for the weekend really until we get a look at how matinee business is doing, which I suspect won't be that strong today, but will pick up in the night.
Midnight numbers have no baring on the final weekend totals. That's what people are trying to say. This will probably do well over $50 million for the weekend, not even counting Monday's holiday.
R-rated movie versus PG-13? Nice reference point there, just like the disappointing midnight number.
I guess that's the point I am trying to make- the lack of excitement. A few weeks ago I had been expecting an opening of around 100M based on Will Smith's star power and the history of the franchise.
I take the midnight number as evidence of lukewarm interest in the franchise and thus its box office prospects.
Well, we will know in a few hours I suppose.
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