Xbox One will be Number One in Sales

No way
Kinect 2.0
Power of Dudebro
Marketing
Exclusives
Innovation
Kinect 2 only proved that it's like the 1 but now can switch to full screen, something I bet it also can be done in Kinect 1 and PS4 Eye if desired.

Dudebros can watch football in their TV, in fact to use cable/satellite/etc Xbox features you still need to pay these subscriptions, and watch them in your tv using your remote. And these features will be USA only so all the dudebros outside this country (which are a ton more than the US ones) won't care about it. The dudebros games showcased there (EA Sports and CoD) are multi so will be on PS4 too. And PS4 will have GT (99.999%) instead of Forza, which sells more. Regarding non-dudebro exclusives MS only shown the Remedy one, and PS4 shown more, and Sony has very likely more studios working on next gen.

Regarding marketing, yes MS will spend a lot more than Sony, if we see the Kinect vs Move case. But if you see the worldwide Move vs Kinect sales, or the PS3 vs 360 since they were released not sure if it's good or bad.

Regarding innovation, 360 added something key like it was the crossgame chat an achievements. X1 didn't announced something with a similar potential applied to games. You may say X1 innovation is the non gaming TV/Movies/Music features, but the important ones will be in PS4 too. Remember that PS3 was kay to win the Blueray war (remember the Xbox 360 HDDVD add-one), and PS3 is the top Netflix device worldwide. Regarding the cloud and social features we know how are they going to be in PS4, and may be a good push. But doesn't know how are they going to work on X1.
 
I'm very surprised with the concept of xone, really, nearly everyone I met do not have any cable company hired. Mostly of them make their own schedule through internet even people who is "old" o have some difficuties with internet world, they download or stream the show they want. People only bring together to watch some sport matches.
Why would you want to stop watching something when you want (the way Ms showed during the announcement). You just use your phone or your tablet while some show is sharing if you want to surf, people can do two things or more at the same time. Many people have a PC and a HDTV in their bedrooms and go to the living room few times.
I see xone just focused to a not pretty wide market share.
 
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Don't think so, early years of new consoles are powered by gamers, do these gamers like the following:
Online once every 24 hours
No used games
Inferior multiplat games
Kinect stalking their every movement
Having to pay to be online.
etc etc
 
XBO will do just fine, if anything they'll reach new markets and make gamers out of a percetage of those.

Sony will also do fine. I expect similar share, with Nintendo getting destroyed between the two (unfortunately), unless MS 'Entertainment' move booms in growth unexpectedly.
 
more predictions:

-WiiU will rebound to eventually surpass or at least come very close to gamecube lifetime numbers

-PS4 will have similar DRM to XB1.

-XB1 will bow to pressure and require games to "check in" to their servers about once a month (instead of every 24hrs) sort of like steam does. PS4 will follow suit.

-After strong initial backlash against XB1/PS4 DRM, most will forget about it like DLC this gen because most gamers won't be willing to abandon "next-gen" and go PC only

-PS4 will have gold/silver plans with online multiplayer falling under the gold charged plan. The gold plan will include free games and other features like PSN+ so not so bad

-PS4 will come out with their own "surface" app (not vita). Surface will be pretty big and innovative

-TV will eventually be transmitted almost entirely over the internet (iptv) and MS is positioning XB1 to be a trojan-horse provider, worldwide. No extra equipment required. May not explode, but I see it happening in a few years and could be a big selling point.
 
-TV will eventually be transmitted almost entirely over the internet (iptv) and MS is positioning XB1 to be a trojan-horse provider, worldwide. No extra equipment required. May not explode, but I see it happening in a few years and could be a big selling point.

That's an interesting prediction. We must not forget that those things are supposed to last for 5 years.
 
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