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Predict the biggest B.O. bomb of summer 2014: Jupiter Ascending Delayed
- Thread starter ……forgetit
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I actually don't think there will be a massive bomb this year. Jupiter won't do that well in the US, but I think it'll do well enough internationally, and it has a LOT of international finance behind it.
The market is changing, everything is leveraged internationally much more, and there are fewer, bigger tentpoles, so there might actually be room.
The market is changing, everything is leveraged internationally much more, and there are fewer, bigger tentpoles, so there might actually be room.
……forgetit
Member
That's actually a good point, with movies going international more and more, there's an increased chance of foreign markets saving them, especially china lately, but even with that I don't see Jupiter rising being saved by anyone.
ClivePwned
Member
I don't see GotG being a flop. It will probably do less than Captain America, but that's a sequel rather than something new (for movies).
I'm guessing Dawn of the Rise of the Battle for the Planet of the Conquest of the Planet of the Apes and Jupiter Ascending.
There's a small chance TF4 and TMNT mat not do that well. But that might just be because I don't give a fuck about either.
But then there's a gaping hole because of the World Cup so clustered releases before and after might have some unforeseen casualties like 1989.
I'm guessing Dawn of the Rise of the Battle for the Planet of the Conquest of the Planet of the Apes and Jupiter Ascending.
There's a small chance TF4 and TMNT mat not do that well. But that might just be because I don't give a fuck about either.
But then there's a gaping hole because of the World Cup so clustered releases before and after might have some unforeseen casualties like 1989.
Rookje
Member
It will do as well as Watchmen.
I'd say it would do well to break even, but I don't think its gonna flop like John Carter or anything.
Edit: I think it'll be a mixed bag like Pacific Rim
This one. Unless it gets 90%+ rotten tomatoes or insane word of mouth, I don't see it making that much, 350 mil at most.
Discotheque
Banned
Edge of Tomorrow has Tom cruise who has a little gas left in the box office
Guardians has the marvel logo in front of it
Jupiter ascending will bomb the hardest. It will probably have the coolest action but good lord the trailer was shit, and the sheer indifference you could sense in the theatres when they played it too...
Guardians has the marvel logo in front of it
Jupiter ascending will bomb the hardest. It will probably have the coolest action but good lord the trailer was shit, and the sheer indifference you could sense in the theatres when they played it too...
PhoncipleBone
Banned
As sad as it is to think, Jupiter Ascending will be the big bomb. Of course, it could ride the wave of popularity Channing Tatum has gotten lately, but I doubt it.
Kabuki Waq
Member
The cruise missle still has some pull worldwide.
My vote goes to jupiturd asscending
My vote goes to jupiturd asscending
BronsonLee
Member
This. Real talk, if you're picking GOTG over Edge of Tomorrow/Jupiter Ascending, you are on the yayo. One of those is gonna eat it (my choice is obvious).
ReturnOfTheRAT
Member
I remember a time when we'd have to wait until Saturday at 9AM Pacific to get a hint of how the weekend box office would turn out. Years ago Deadline started posting it Friday evening and now we're getting extrapolations early on Friday afternoon.
SCULLIBUNDO
Banned
Jupiter is going to crater hard and will probably end up being the best tentpole this summer.
BronsonLee
Member
Da fuck Sculli
I liked Cloud Atlas and all but Channing Tatum on Akira rollerblades with a goatee=nobuys
and Sean Bean is in it so I already know he dies in like the first 10 seconds of the movie
Charles Foster Kane
Rosebud
All signs point to yes.
Frustrated_Grunt
Member
God, GotG bombing would suck. I really don't want that to happen.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Da fuck
I liked Bound and all but Johnny Utah and Cowboy Carl doing kung-fu in trenchcoats=nobuys
(Jupiter Ascending probably won't make a ton of money, though)
See You Next Wednesday
Banned
Ted was the highest grossing R rated comedy of all time.
The bombs will be Jupiter Ascending, which will hopefully finally end the Wachowski brothers careers & probably Guardians of the Galaxy, Marvels first mega bomb.
CharminUltra
Member
I dunno if Jupiter Ascending is going to bomb, but the fact that the Wachowskis are behind it is reason enough for me to avoid it.
Lactose_Intolerant
Member
Their whole marketing campaign should have been that Eva poster
Yeah I'm not sure about that one either.
Still, I don't think it will get blown up as bad as Jupiter Ascending in terms of profit.
Exactly...
If it bombs it will be concrete proof that The Lone Ranger killed off the Western genre (even western comedies) once and for all.
Discotheque
Banned
my best blockbusters of the summer prediction tho:
1. X-Men
2. Edge of Tomorrow
3. Jupiter Ascending
4. Guardians of the Galaxy
5. Cap 2
lol. Godzilla
1. X-Men
2. Edge of Tomorrow
3. Jupiter Ascending
4. Guardians of the Galaxy
5. Cap 2
lol. Godzilla
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Besides the fact that a large segment of the moviegoing/television-watching public likes that guy's sense of humor even at it's lowest - the movie only cost $40 million. It's probably going to make $30 in its opening weekend. Even if it drops like a rock in its 2nd weekend, it's going to clear profit by the time it leaves theaters worldwide.
And my earlier guess about Sin City is probably wrong based on the same math. Rodriguez probably didn't go north of 60 mil to make A Dame to Kill For, if that. (Machete Kills cost 20, for example, Sin City cost 40) so it would have to do Grindhouse numbers (30 mil domestic) to be considered a bomb.
I don't think it's going to do well at all, but I don't know that it's gonna open to less than 20 mil opening weekend, either.
Jupiter Ascending looks like its budget is 150mil. Meaning this thing should be well north of 200 in order to be looked at as a success. 200 is lukewarm. 150 is bad. 100 is awful. Anything south of 100 is going to be disastrous.
MrCunningham
Member
If we discount world wide box office, Amazing Spider-Man 2 has been a huge domestic bomb compared to all the other ones.
I would like to say that Transformers 4 will be a box office bomb, but I have this feeling that it won't given that the rest of the series has all managed to make $800 million plus worldwide. Ninja Turtles might be a bomb though.
Not really sure what other movies are coming out this summer, though.
I would like to say that Transformers 4 will be a box office bomb, but I have this feeling that it won't given that the rest of the series has all managed to make $800 million plus worldwide. Ninja Turtles might be a bomb though.
Not really sure what other movies are coming out this summer, though.
James Woods
Banned
dat goalpost
PhoncipleBone
Banned
That's because the first Apes movie was really damn awesome.
It's on track to make 70-80 million this weekend, it's not going to bomb
friskykillface
Banned
its not gonna be a huge money maker so i can see it being a bomb, still gonna see it day one B^)
MrCunningham
Member
I wasn't trying to change any goalpost. The movie still did well enough world wide, even though it is the worst performing Spider-Man movie at the box office to date. But Sony Pictures must not be happy with how this movie is performing in North America, given how much money they sunk into its advertising budget over here. The movie was knocked out of its number one spot by an R rated Seth Rogen comedy after its first week, and has been trailing behind it ever since. I don't think it is unfair to say that ASM2 is a flop domestically, even though it did well world wide.
To Far Away Times
Member
Tom Cruise, Malificent and Guardians of the Galaxy
Bobby Roberts
Banned
A bomb is a major disappointment, but not every disappointment is a "bomb". Bare minimum, a bomb should have a domestic gross less than its budget. That's not Spidey.
SCULLIBUNDO
Banned
A bomb should be any film that fails to make its money back. Domestic takings or otherwise.
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