Godzilla might be the first movie with a $90M+ opening to fail to reach $200M domestic. It will be close.
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Predict the biggest B.O. bomb of summer 2014: Jupiter Ascending Delayed
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Godzilla might be the first movie with a $90M+ opening to fail to reach $200M domestic. It will be close.
Mister Wilhelm
Member
Looks like it's going to Pacific Rim the road to recovering the budget.
Bel Marduk
Banned
Rocket Raccoon is an alien. Also, please remember that all Marvel movies take place in the 1999 universe not the 616 universe.
gets me every time
That movie kind of suffered from lack of Godzilla, in a movie that was suppose to be about Godzilla. However, it will sell like gangbusters when it's released on blu ray/dvd.
Chezzymann
Member
I could see Hercules bombing
Overseas will save it.
GoTC is typical Marvel crap, so will do well. Just like TMNT will be typical Bay crap, will also do well.
Hercules, well now that could be a good candidate.
AmuroChan
Member
Some updated numbers
Transformers: Age of Extinction
Budget: $210M
Domestic: $227,157,000 Worldwide: $886,257,000
X-Men Days of Future Past
Budget: $200M
Domestic: $230,475,000 Worldside: $736,306,000
The Amazing Spiderman 2
Budget: $200M
Domestic: $201,597,000 Worldwide: $705,717,000
Maleficent
Budget: $180M
Domestic: 228,367,000 Worldwide: $697,167,000
Godzillla
Budget: $160M
Domestic: $198,504,000 Worldwide: $490,504,000
How to Train you Dragon 2
Budget: $145M
Domestic: $160,672,000 Worldwide: $384,572,000
Edge of Tomorrow
Budget: $178M
Domestic: $96,625,000 Worldwide: $357,925,000
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Budget: $170M
Domestic: $138,953,000 Worldwide: $240,497,000
Transformers: Age of Extinction
Budget: $210M
Domestic: $227,157,000 Worldwide: $886,257,000
X-Men Days of Future Past
Budget: $200M
Domestic: $230,475,000 Worldside: $736,306,000
The Amazing Spiderman 2
Budget: $200M
Domestic: $201,597,000 Worldwide: $705,717,000
Maleficent
Budget: $180M
Domestic: 228,367,000 Worldwide: $697,167,000
Godzillla
Budget: $160M
Domestic: $198,504,000 Worldwide: $490,504,000
How to Train you Dragon 2
Budget: $145M
Domestic: $160,672,000 Worldwide: $384,572,000
Edge of Tomorrow
Budget: $178M
Domestic: $96,625,000 Worldwide: $357,925,000
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Budget: $170M
Domestic: $138,953,000 Worldwide: $240,497,000
Edge of Tomorrow is the closest to bomb status this summer, but we don't really have any Lone Rangers or Battleships yet. If Guardians is successful, we might get through the entire summer without a true big budget bomb. I can't see Hercules doing poor enough overseas to really bomb, regardless of the domestic tally.
alfredofroylan
Member
Edge of Tomorrow is getting pulled out of teathers, go see that one first.
but which ones the best?
BronsonLee
Member
Edge of Tomorrow is superior to both
alfredofroylan
Member
Edge of Tomorrow is a great SciFi movie that'll touch the heart of many gamers because the concept is quite similar to a videogame.
Planet of the Apes is good, but it's going to be on teathers at least a month so you still have plenty of time to see that one.
The Purge is a horror-thriller about a group of people running of chaos and anarchy, great concept, some scenes are cringe worthy and the action sequences are well done, but is just released so you still have plenty of time to see it.
alfredofroylan
Member
There's a group of children that are not interested in this movie at least.
Yeah why interview little girls? I mean TMNT is for boys!
D
Deleted member 13876
Unconfirmed Member
The black girl is hilarious and somewhat profound.
……forgetit
Member
Hey OP, dinner is ready
I ate the the crow a long time ago, but yeah, looks like there won't be a bomb this summer at all, I'm a little disappointed.
alfredofroylan
Member
There's still "hope"
July 25
Hercules Action Nationwide
Lucy Action Nationwide
The Fluffy Movie Comedy Nationwide
August 1
Guardians of the Galaxy Action Nationwide
Get On Up Drama Nationwide
August 8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Action Nationwide 3D
Into the Storm Action Nationwide 2D; IMAX
The Hundred-Foot Journey Drama Nationwide
August 13-15
Let's Be Cops Comedy Nationwide
The Expendables 3 Action Nationwide
The Giver Drama Nationwide
August 22
If I Stay Drama Nationwide
Sin City: A Dame to Kill For Action Nationwide
When the Game Stands Tall Drama Nationwide
August 27-29
November Man Drama Nationwide
As Above, So Below Thriller Nationwide
Jessabelle Horror Nationwide
Aquamarine
Member
TheSadRanger
Banned
Hrmmm based on what's left from the list, I wouldn't be surprised if Let's be Cops bombed. I could see a ton of people being turned off from it's premise. The movies bad marketing could make some people view it as "tacky" or "distasteful". This could be another "30 Minutes or Less" but worse.
I think Guardians of the Galaxy will maybe bomb domestically as well, all the comic movie die hard fans will see it but I don't know if it appeals to the masses outside that demographic. It might be successful as a film parents will take their kids to go see during the summer, I could see it being a huge success with the 8-14 demographic. It's hard to say since GotG doesn't have anywhere near the mass recognition as Marvel's other characters. This could be a film where we start to see diminishing returns on comic book movies.
Dunno about TMNT, we live in a world where 4 Bayformers movies have been released.
I think Guardians of the Galaxy will maybe bomb domestically as well, all the comic movie die hard fans will see it but I don't know if it appeals to the masses outside that demographic. It might be successful as a film parents will take their kids to go see during the summer, I could see it being a huge success with the 8-14 demographic. It's hard to say since GotG doesn't have anywhere near the mass recognition as Marvel's other characters. This could be a film where we start to see diminishing returns on comic book movies.
Dunno about TMNT, we live in a world where 4 Bayformers movies have been released.
GitarooMan
Member
I think it's going to bomb, the commercials/trailers don't look interesting in the least and I'm not noticing very much buzz at all; for a summer release it looks cheap IMO and they've done nothing to explain why anyone should see it other than "Hey it's the Rock and he's Hercules" which isn't enough nowadays.
EDIT: Yikes, I didn't even realize it was a Ratner film (they seem to be keeping that quiet): Interest -> 0.
You could say that about all Marvel films and look how that turned out. Iron man was B-tier at best when his movie came out, same with Thor. There's almost zero chance of this movie bombing with Marvel and Disney pushing the hell out of it.
TheSadRanger
Banned
I wouldn't say that about all Marvel films. Marvel has established brands that have been around for decades. Even Thor and Iron-Man have existed in some form or fashion outside of the comic books for a long time. Rather it be cartoons, action figures, kids clothing, or videogames. Many people still knew who Thor and Iron Man were before the movies were around without ever reading their comics. While might be considered "B Tier", they've still had a shit ton of exposure for decades.
You could argue that point by mentioning Fantastic Four. Well the FF movies looked like ass even in trailers. I read comics as a kid and I didn't know of anyone that was a comic reader that actually liked Fantastic Four either.
I think GotG might bomb domestically because I don't think it's going to catch that nostalgia that even Iron Man or Thor bring to attract older audiences. I still think it could be very successful though with the younger demographic with children.
edit: I would also say that Iron Man has RDJ, and Thor has Chris Hemsworth whom women love. I would argue that GotG doesn't have near the same star power.
Robot Pants
Member
I'm goin with Herc. Bombin
RDJ was still struggling with his drug image when Iron Man came out, and who had heard of Hemsworth before Thor? I just think people are really under estimating Marvels pull right now. Cap 2 gave them a huge bump, and I think it's going to carry over to GotG. Plus it's Aug, other then TMNT, it really doesn't have anything to fight with.
TrumanBurbank
Member
Who the hell even asked for a HERCULES movie. And directed by Brett Ratner? Fuck off.
The Rock should have bailed on this and done Transformers 4 instead. The Rock is so much better than these movies.
The Rock should have bailed on this and done Transformers 4 instead. The Rock is so much better than these movies.
demosthenes
Member
AmuroChan
Member
Yea, I doubt the budget is very high. The film is produced by EuropaCorp, an Indie studio whose previous highest budget movie was Taken 2, at $45m.
Rentahamster
Rodent Whores
Edge of Tomorrow, so good.
Apparently Lucy has the highest budget in EuropaCorp history, so it's over $45M on the low end.
Father_Brain
Banned
I think that number is a week or so old. Deadline says it's tracking at $68-70M and may open even higher.
Blackstarhat
Member
i was right about sex tape.
smokeandmirrors
Banned
I'm expecting it to open higher given good early impressions. I wanna call $80M based on nothing but a guess.
HalfBakedProphet
Member
holy shit. The Marvel brand carries more clout than I thought.
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