I'm going to go out on a limb and say the reason that will never happen is the same reason CS:GO could never win, and many other games beside.
It is extremely lacking in content. It has one map. There are many character to choose from, and there are many items to buy, but it completely lacks narrative. It is a competitive game that offers nothing beyond that. It is devoid of the reasons each of those games won instead.
The only thing it lacks against the TLOU is a wishy washy story and a focus on the cinematic. It has depth & skill requirements beyond anything a console game has ever offered (shit that sounds snobby), and controls better than any 25-30fps third person game with a limited crafted system. Dota 2 is capable of telling more stories than any linear 12 hour game ever could.
I'd take a great playing game with infinite replayability and pitch perfect multiplayer over a linear experience of mediocre gameplay & spectacle (albeit one of the best of its kind).
I think people give way too much of a shit about games being exclusive to their console of choice, to the point where some of these threads seem very hostile and fececious, why wouldn't you want other people to be able to experience a franchise? See the original ds3 thread where it was rumored to be at E3.
This is indeed ridiculous. As long as the game isn't being held back by releasing on multiple platforms, then put it on everything possible, in my opinion.