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[Barajas_201]

No, this is just the first number of votes that have been counted. It's possible it's just from 1 ballot box of many.

Oh okay, I thought those numbers were way to tiny!

 

[NotTheGuyYouKill]

 

[matthewwhatever]

And 5...Justin is going to do it isnt he...

Nah...it would take a lot for Harris to lose St. John's East.

CTV calls Coast of Bays for Scott Simms (Liberal)!

 

[Coldnoodle]

Peter Mansbridge is a national treasure.

 

[NYR]

Before we start sucking each others dicks, remember that the Liberals should be taking all of the Maritimes except a handful of ridings below, there should be a HUGE Liberal lead by the time we get to Quebec:

NEWFOUNDLAND
St John's East - NDP

PEI
RED Sweeeeeep!

NOVA SCOTIA
Sackville - Preston - Chezzatock - NDP

NEW BRUNSWICK
Acadie - NDP
Funny Royal - PC
New Brunswick SW - PC
Tobique - PC


In other words, out of 26 out of 32.

26 LIB
3 PC
3 NDP

 

[G-Pink]

Is the Canada Election 2015 CBC site completely broken for anyone else?

Not loading the map for me.

 

[Silexx]

Peter Mansbridge is a national treasure.

Also a notorious diva behind the scenes.

 

[CreeperBlocks]

Now someone remake this with Trudeau

 

[meitantei_conan]

So far so good. Hope this continues...

 

[UberTag]

Is the Canada Election 2015 CBC site completely broken for anyone else?

Not loading the map for me.

Refresh. I needed to in order for data to start loading seamlessly.

 

[Stet]

Embarrassing voter reception in Regent Park.

 

[Divvy]

I'm not sure they've called it versus just saying someone is leading, but you could almost certainly call it.

Sure.

- Popular Liberal incumbent has become more popular since last election.
- Only competitor is Conservative, and it's the same guy who lost last time
- And he lost last time after resigning for electoral finance lawbreaking
- Liberals are polling better regionally than last time
- Liberals are polling better nationally than last time

Given this, who is most likely to win before results start coming in?

Okay, now results start coming in
- Imagine the first poll to report shows a movement from 14-14 Liberal-Conservative last time to 28-0 Liberal-Conservative this time.
- We have little reason to believe that specific polling stations will individually vary from last time beyond the systematic way that all of them will vary (i.e. it's unlikely that if the Liberal vote goes up, that any one particular polling station will have the Liberal vote going down)

Given this, how has your opinion changed from before?

Once your probability model gets you to 95-99% or so, you call it.

Thanks for the explanation, that makes a lot of sense.

 

[Cake Boss]

I legit got some drinks for tonight only. We should do what are you eating/drinking election Canada night.

 

[Ricker]

Furries...Canada has it all lol

 

[TheRealTalker]

Toronto and Vancouver has too much energy compared to the rest of us Canadians

 

[matthewwhatever]

So far so good. Hope this continues...

Cons were never going to come close to a seat in Newfoundland. Danny Williams has seen to that -- though Harper helped drive the dagger further in by not allowing locally-picked candidates to run.

 

[eBay Huckster]

Before we start sucking each others dicks, remember that the Liberals should be taking all of the Maritimes except a handful of ridings below, there should be a HUGE Liberal lead by the time we get to Quebec:

NEWFOUNDLAND
St John's East - NDP

PEI
RED Sweeeeeep!

NOVA SCOTIA
Sackville - Preston - Chezzatock - NDP

NEW BRUNSWICK
Acadie - NDP
Funny Royal - PC
New Brunswick SW - PC
Tobique - PC

may also want to add Halifax as a potential NDP hold, because I don't completely trust the projections there

 

[Darksol]

Is the Canada Election 2015 CBC site completely broken for anyone else?

Not loading the map for me.

Works fine for me.

 

[Silexx]

I legit got some drinks for tonight only. We should do what are you eating/drinking election Canada night.

Eating Shreddies. Maybe some Golden Grahams later. May also dig in some Oreos.

 

[Simon Belmont]

I legit got some drinks for tonight only. We should do what are you eating/drinking election Canada night.

Spaghetti and Moosehead / Valpolicella Ripasso

 

[Sean C]

Before we start sucking each others dicks, remember that the Liberals should be taking all of the Maritimes except a handful of ridings below, there should be a HUGE Liberal lead by the time we get to Quebec:

NEWFOUNDLAND
St John's East - NDP

PEI
RED Sweeeeeep!

NOVA SCOTIA
Sackville - Preston - Chezzatock - NDP

NEW BRUNSWICK
Acadie - NDP
Funny Royal - PC
New Brunswick SW - PC
Tobique - PC


In other words, out of 26 out of 32.

26 LIB
3 PC
3 NDP

The NDP could keep Halifax, and the Tories Saint John, as well.

Random trivia: The Maritimes have no less than three Liberal MPs whose wives are provincial legislators:

- Sean Casey, MP for Charlottetown (2011-present), married to Kathleen Casey, MLA for Charlottetown-Lewis Point (2007-present).
- Mark Eyking, MP for Sydney-Victoria (2000-present), married to Pam Eyking, MLA for Victoria-The Lakes (2013-present).
- Geoff Regan, MP for Halifax West (1993-1997, 2000-present), married to Kelly Regan, MLA for Bedford (2009-present).

 

[FreeQuebec86]

That made me like him even more.

lol i remember seeing this "live" and it was arkward.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3xyiiR2ZSNs ( french video )

His father taught him that xD. Failling in party to "surprise" people... xD So weird and attention whore a little bit xD.

 

[Mimosa97]

" Wait Wait I'm not r- waaaaah "

 

[Coldnoodle]

I legit got some drinks for tonight only. We should do what are you eating/drinking election Canada night.

Scones, corn, roast chicken and apple juice.

 

[Stet]

lol i remember seeing this "live" and it was arkward.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3xyiiR2ZSNs ( french video )

His father taught him that xD. Failling in party to "surprise" people... xD So weird and attention whore a little bit xD.

That's so embarrassing.............jeans with a blazer.

 

[DopeyFish]

Anyone who doesn't think this will be a liberal majority is kidding themselves.

We'll know when ontario and quebec hits what chances there are

 

[UberTag]

Anyone who doesn't think this will be a liberal majority is kidding themselves.

Looking at Newfoundland in a bubble would have made someone think the same thing in 2011. We saw how that turned out.

 

[Dr.Acula]

Does Justin do Movember again this year you think?

 

[squidyj]

Scones, corn, roast chicken and apple juice.

peanut butter cookies, roast chicken, scalloped potatoes, Grasshopper Ale.

 

[Mimosa97]

Anyone who doesn't think this will be a liberal majority is kidding themselves.

Don't jinx it bruh

 

[balohna]

Anyone who doesn't think this will be a liberal majority is kidding themselves.

Minority.

 

[Indicate]

I legit got some drinks for tonight only. We should do what are you eating/drinking election Canada night.

I'm eating a chicken shawarma plate with garlic sauce and general tso chicken over rice. Water to drink.

 

[KnightHart]

Just did my part and voted (I don't have an excuse my voting station thing is literally across the street from me)

Here's hoping Harper gets the fuck outta office

 

[pestul]

Nice CGI budget CBC Jesus..

 

[ShinRPGamer]

Anyone who doesn't think this will be a liberal majority is kidding themselves.

I don't see a majority happening TBH. Also don't want a majority to happen either. A minority government is the best way to get the electoral reform we badly need.

 

[super6646]

liberals have 6 seats so far. Liberal domination of atlantic canada is definently coming.

 

[Darksol]

6 (1 elected, 5 leading)

 

[Sean C]

CTV calls for Gudie Hutchings in Long Range Mountains (one of the less-compelling riding names for this cycle). Rural Newfoundland is the safest Liberal turf in the country.

 

[CreeperBlocks]

Ryan Cleary? Is he related to Famous Red Wing Dan Cleary?

 

[IceIpor]

Wooo! One seat called for Liberals.

 

[oneils]

Ohhh...now I'm less confused.



I think Ottawa Centre is going to be insanely close. I don't know if McKenna can pull it out (I hope she can, since it's my new riding next week), but it's going to be a nailbiter.



That's my prediction. I think Harris wins...if he doesn't, the NDP may be in for a really long night.

Sorry, man. I voted for Dewar

 

[WayneMorse]

what i thought he wasn't ready

 

[-Pyromaniac-]

Oh shit I remember Seamus O'regan he used to be on that talktv show.

 

[Stet]

I'm going to take a shot for every riding that goes Bloc.

 

[Enter the Dragon Punch]

Now someone remake this with Trudeau

 

[Cake Boss]

I'm eating a chicken shawarma plate with garlic sauce and general tso chicken over rice. Water to drink.

This is very Ottawa.

 

[lupinko]

Healthcare.

Childcare.

Pharmacare.

Mulcair.

Don't forget Carebear!

 

[mo60]

Anyone who doesn't think this will be a liberal majority is kidding themselves.

They would have to have a near perfect or perfect night for that to happen. Unless they annhilate the Conservatives in Ontario or the NDP in Quebec that won't happen.The latter won't happen while the former is possible.

 

[CreeperBlocks]

Oh shit I remember Seamus O'regan he used to be on that talktv show.

CanadaAM?

 

[UberTag]

The tough part is going to be waiting the full two hours after the polls close in New Brunswick, Nova Scotia and PEI for the polls to close across most of the rest of the nation.