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[RC]

My only regret at going to Vegas today is that I'll miss all that exciting election coverage.

 

[Ricker]

Red already...

 

[Mr.Mike]

IT'S A WRAP, LET'S CALL IT. ALL 308 SEATS TO TO THE RED.

338

The ridings are adjusted so that there are about 100k people in each riding.

 

[Darksol]

yeahhh votes!

liberals with 1 seat majority

And we're done! That's all folks!

EDIT: 2!

 

[TheRealTalker]

It's a nice change from having a lizard in a suit as PM.

 

[Enter the Dragon Punch]

338

no, 308
30 of those are going to the leninist party

 

[Buba Big Guns]

Man I have a good feeling the CPC is about to get romped in Ontario.

So many first time voters and people who are fed up with Harper in general.

 

[CreeperBlocks]

WE GOT A TWO

 

[Ricker]

no, 308
30 of those are going to the leninist party

15...15 of those are for Rhinoceros party

 

[DopeyFish]

a 3!

 

[Cake Boss]

TEAM BLOUSES

 

[Stet]

3 liberal ridings have been called

 

[Coldnoodle]

 

[Dr.Acula]

3 liberal ridings have been called

I think those are leads, not calls.

 

[Lebon14]

Watching LCN on my side... *yawn*

 

[Stumpokapow]

Labrador, 1 of 86 polls reporting:
27 votes Yvonne Jones
1 vote random NDP candidate
0 votes conservative

 

[Mr.Mike]

Are there any really strong CPC seats in Quebec? We might get no CPC east of Ontario. (Maybe no CPC seats in Ontario is too much to hope for).

 

[Sch1sm]

I really don't want to get my hopes up here.

 

[Razorskin]

Healthcare.

Childcare.

Pharmacare.

Mulcair.

 

[Indicate]

gotta wait until 9:30 pm

that's when the fun really begins... ontario/quebec

guaranteed to cause salt

Man I have a good feeling the CPC is about to get romped in Ontario.

So many first time voters and people who are fed up with Harper in general.

I hope so!

Edit: Reposting live election results site http://www.cbc.ca/includes/federalelection/dashboard/index.html

 

[NYR]

IT'S A WRAP, LET'S CALL IT. ALL 308 SEATS TO TO THE RED.

 

[RevoDS]

Are there any really strong CPC seats in Quebec? We might get no CPC east of Ontario. (Maybe no CPC seats in Ontario is too much to hope for).

I bet the CPC gains in Quebec. Vote is much more split between Lib/NDP/Bloc than it ended up being last election, and the CPC popular vote is actually slightly above what it was according to the last few polls.

 

[Dr.Acula]

 

[Darksol]

Healthcare.

Childcare.

Pharmacare.

Mulcair.

He's a poet and he didn't even know it!

4!

 

[ItIsOkBro]

For every time conservatives get a seat:

 

[UberTag]

Are there any really strong CPC seats in Quebec? We might get no CPC east of Ontario. (Maybe no CPC seats in Ontario is too much to hope for).

There will be CPC ridings east of Ontario... we talked about one such riding which has historically swung blue (Fundy Royal in New Brunswick) just a few minutes ago.

 

[DopeyFish]

5!

 

[Silexx]

That's because he is racist.

 

[Ricker]

And 5...Justin is going to do it isnt he...

 

[Razorskin]

Are there any really strong CPC seats in Quebec? We might get no CPC east of Ontario. (Maybe no CPC seats in Ontario is too much to hope for).

They'll be some seats going blue (both shades) in Quebec, sadly.

 

[Lebon14]

Are there any really strong CPC seats in Quebec? We might get no CPC east of Ontario. (Maybe no CPC seats in Ontario is too much to hope for).

Roberval-Lac-St-Jean is the only place where I think it's strong.

 

[G-Pink]

LOOKIT ALL THAT RED

 

[Divvy]

Lol someone explain to me how CBC is calling that Labrador riding red with only 28 votes in

 

[Sch1sm]

Healthcare.

Childcare.

Pharmacare.

Mulcair.

Perfection. Perfection.

 

[DopeyFish]

Lol someone explain to me how CBC is calling that Labrador riding red with only 28 votes in

They aren't calling anyhing, they're just showing who is leading

 

[Enter the Dragon Punch]

HE'S JUST NOT READY

 

[eBay Huckster]

Lol someone explain to me how CBC is calling that Labrador riding red with only 28 votes in

well first of all, they aren't calling anything

Are this numbers right? Only 32 people voted in that district/municipality/MP?

and second of all, they've counted votes from exactly 2 polls in that riding so far

 

[Yawnier]

Are there any really strong CPC seats in Quebec? We might get no CPC east of Ontario. (Maybe no CPC seats in Ontario is too much to hope for).

CPC will get Fundy Royal here in NB.

 

[Divvy]

How bad is it to be beaten by a sex offender that doesn't even have a picture.

They aren't calling anyhing, they're just showing who is leading

Oh okay, I misheard then

 

[Barajas_201]

Are this numbers right? Only 32 people voted in that district/municipality/MP?

 

[IceIpor]

Lol someone explain to me how CBC is calling that Labrador riding red with only 28 votes in

Only leading so far. They're updating as votes are counted.
Once Election Canada confirms most votes are accounted for, they will declare the seat if there is a majority.

 

[Ricker]

HE'S JUST NOT READY

I grinned the first time I saw that commercial but those guys may not grin much tonight lol...

 

[matthewwhatever]

Errr, fuck, that was a typo. I meant Red. Now matthew's reply makes more sense! Edited.

Ohhh...now I'm less confused.

Here in Ottawa, all anecdotal evidence points to a big shift to the liberals. I think ndp will be in bad shape, except for dewar in Ottawa Centre (my riding). Conservatives are in for a shock, too. Probably only Pollievre will get elected in Carleton.

I think Ottawa Centre is going to be insanely close. I don't know if McKenna can pull it out (I hope she can, since it's my new riding next week), but it's going to be a nailbiter.

So we're expecting Liberals Leading 6, NDP Leading 1 from the Newfies, right?

That's my prediction. I think Harris wins...if he doesn't, the NDP may be in for a really long night.

 

[Mr.Mike]

Are this numbers right? Only 32 people voted in that district/municipality/MP?

I'm pretty sure that the results are reported per polling station/ballot box. So that one ballot box would only have 32 votes in it I guess.

 

[Silexx]

Seriously folks, don't extrapolate any trends from the Maritimes. Wait for Quebec and Ontario.

 

[Simon Belmont]

Seriously folks, don't extrapolate any trends from the Maritimes. Wait for Quebec and Ontario.

Like every election in Canada ever, Quebec and Ontario will tell the tale.

 

[Stet]

Rex Murphy is such a stud. Everything he says sounds like a poem.

 

[Fuzzy]

Are this numbers right? Only 32 people voted in that district/municipality/MP?

No, this is just the first number of votes that have been counted. It's possible it's just from 1 ballot box of many.

 

[Stumpokapow]

Lol someone explain to me how CBC is calling that Labrador riding red with only 28 votes in

I'm not sure they've called it versus just saying someone is leading, but you could almost certainly call it.

Sure.

- Popular Liberal incumbent has become more popular since last election.
- Only competitor is Conservative, and it's the same guy who lost last time
- And he lost last time after resigning for electoral finance lawbreaking
- Liberals are polling better regionally than last time
- Liberals are polling better nationally than last time

Given this, who is most likely to win before results start coming in?

Okay, now results start coming in
- Imagine the first poll to report shows a movement from 14-14 Liberal-Conservative last time to 28-0 Liberal-Conservative this time.
- We have little reason to believe that specific polling stations will individually vary from last time beyond the systematic way that all of them will vary (i.e. it's unlikely that if the Liberal vote goes up, that any one particular polling station will have the Liberal vote going down)

Given this, how has your opinion changed from before?

Once your probability model gets you to 95-99% or so, you call it.

 

[Dr.Acula]

For every time conservatives get a seat:

Trudeau's have always had problems with stairs it would seem.