Super Tuesday 2016 |OT| The Final Incursion is a double Incursion (Mar 5-15 contests)

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MThanded

I Was There! Official L Receiver 2/12/2016
If the demographic of a state is diverse Bernie struggles pretty hard.

538 podcast was talking about this. The states he won were the states they thought he would win.
 
No, this is thing that's actually been said in threads previously. The idea is that Bernie and Trump are both anti-establishment, so in the case of Bernie's loss, Trump is the better option.

Does make much sense, but it's been said. I take it as a vocal fringe and not indicative of Sanders supporters.

I would go back and collect the posts in older threads, but I prefer to have a pleasant afternoon. Not really sure what you think I have to gain by lying about something that asinine.

I also posted after that addressing the second part of your post.
Hmm okay then. I'd argue that it's a fringe minority that would post this garbage. It's just been amplified by Clinton supporters more than I've seen "BernieBros" tout this. Because the larger narrative, I admit outside of GAF cause I don't visit Poli-GAF, I've been seeing is "go Independent with your vote" instead of voting for HC, which I guess is their opinion... It just doesn't make sense to me because liberal millenials who are interested in surface level politics, but that's just personal bias, just get disillusioned anyway if their favorite doesn't win.

Even beyond just general anti-establishment ideals, those two are polar opposites. It boggles my mind.

Wasn't trying to accuse of you of lying man, just think it's blown up to exaggerated levels. Eh, I could be wrong and this might be a bigger problem, but definitely doesn't fit my logic when someone who votes for a socialist weed supporter would turn around and vote for Drumpf.
CNN mentioned a poll that said 20% of Democrats wouldn't vote for Clinton. Dunno what poll and how good it is, but it isn't just 'a thing spread by Clinton supporters'.
 

foxtrot3d

Banned
kquXpy8.jpg

Well, I can at least be thankful our demagogues have term limits.
 

Dicer

Banned
you wanna know why Democrats in the South went with Hillary?

because they don't want a Republican President, that's why

they live under Republican Governors and Republican Senators then get screwed over the Electoral College

what do they have left? The Primaries and picking a "Winner" instead of a "Loser"

But again, she's going to lose to the Trumpster...
 

boiled goose

good with gravy
you wanna know why Democrats in the South went with Hillary?

because they don't want a Republican President, that's why

they live under Republican Governors and Republican Senators then get screwed over the Electoral College

what do they have left? The Primaries and picking a "Winner" instead of a "Loser"

Maybe, or perhaps they are less liberal than dems in more liberal states.
 
Im not talking about the primary, was talking about the general vs republicans.

To be fair.
Bernie has NH, colorado.
Hillary has won Virginia, Nevada

Iowa a tie.

With 7-4 for super tuesday... this is was not a bad night for Sanders to be honest. MA was a loss, but close enough to not be a knockout blow.

What % would it have to be for Iowa not to count as a tie, for future reference?
 
Why do you say that?
Because he has fingers of a very reasonable length, is huge with Hispanics, is going to be huge with the banks, and is a great negotiator. He's going to become the President, he's going to Make America Great Again, and unlike Hillary Clinton, he's going to do it
Legally.

This is even assuming she's allowed to run at all and who knows? Maybe she shouldn't be allowed. Nasty, untrustworthy person.
 

flkraven

Member
I never understand how people equate sanders and Trump together as anti establishment. Bernie has worked in government for like 40+ years and been in state and federal Congress for like 25+. Not really an outsider in that regard.
 

Valhelm

contribute something
But again, she's going to lose to the Trumpster...

That's such a huge fear of mine. I think Clinton probably is more electable than Sanders against Herr Drumpf, but I'm not certain.

I never understand how people equate sanders and Trump together as anti establishment. Bernie has worked in government for like 40+ years and been in state and federal Congress for like 25+. Not really an outsider in that regard.

Bernie spent much of his life working outside the Democratic Party, from a state with a pretty unusual political history and an ideology that no other national politician supports. To many voters, this makes him "anti-establishment". To others, a candidate only deserves that label if they're not a politician.
 

A Human Becoming

More than a Member
People are disappointed or surprised by Mass? Uh, Hillary won Mass in the 2008 primaries.
She also won New Hampshire.
I never understand how people equate sanders and Drumpf together as anti establishment. Bernie has worked in government for like 40+ years and been in state and federal Congress for like 25+. Not really an outsider in that regard.
Not in that way. He is by not being tied to one of the two major parties. There are huge perks to it and they dominate the political system in the US.
 
Im not talking about the primary, was talking about the general vs republicans.

To be fair.
Bernie has NH, colorado.
Hillary has won Virginia, Nevada

Iowa a tie.

With 7-4 for super tuesday... this is was not a bad night for Sanders to be honest. MA was a loss, but close enough to not be a knockout blow.

As always Iowa was not a tie.
 

Movement

Member
Because he has fingers of a very reasonable length, is huge with Hispanics, is going to be huge with the banks, and is a great negotiator. He's going to become the President, he's going to Make America Great Again, and unlike Hillary Clinton, he's going to do it
Legally.

This is even assuming she's allowed to run at all and who knows? Maybe she shouldn't be allowed. Nasty, untrustworthy person.

Gotcha.
 
Not according to the bench marks, or were you saying better than expected according to poligaf?

Better than people thought he might based on the polls. But outperforming certain polls just shows those polls didn't get it right, not that you're gaining momentum. Cause there's no sign he is.
 

MThanded

I Was There! Official L Receiver 2/12/2016
Im not talking about the primary, was talking about the general vs republicans.

To be fair.
Bernie has NH, colorado.
Hillary has won Virginia, Nevada

Iowa a tie.

With 7-4 for super tuesday... this is was not a bad night for Sanders to be honest. MA was a loss, but close enough to not be a knockout blow.
It doesn't matter if you win or lose a state by small percentage. Look at the delegate counts.
 
I never understand how people equate sanders and Trump together as anti establishment. Bernie has worked in government for like 40+ years and been in state and federal Congress for like 25+. Not really an outsider in that regard.

I think he's anti-democratic party more than anti-establishment like Trump. He was an independent for most of that time, and he's running like an independent. He's not the level of Trump, which I think is why we don't see the same fervor as we saw with Trump, but he still has some clear differences from the rest of the candidates past and present.
 

boiled goose

good with gravy
What % would it have to be for Iowa not to count as a tie, for future reference?

I mean, call it a win if you want. :/

My point was focused on enthusiasm that could be carried to a win in a general election. In terms of that, there is no clear difference in Iowa. If you want the win for the your personal chalkboard, go for it...

I'm trying to discuss substance here.

It doesn't matter if you win or lose. Look at the delegate counts.

Oh I know. Even without SD, Clinton is solidly ahead.
However, based on the trends we are seeing and the polls and demographics in upcoming states, I think we have a race.
I thought sanders was going to need MA, but the pledged delegates are going to be the same pretty much. I did not expect him to win Oklahoma, Minne, and Colorado as solidly as he did.

The race is decided March 15.
 
I'm just shocked how many people are voting for Trump.

Even AFTER all his KKK hedging this weekend.

There are a lot of sick people in this country.
 

MartyStu

Member
Ehh. The math doesn't add up, I have no idea how he wins at this point.

He doesn't. He has been done since the last round of elections/caucuses.

People like to crow about momentum, but demographics have always been infinitely more important.

Looking at those, it has been pretty obvious that Sander's path to the nomination was so narrow as to be essentially non-existent.
 
MA is a very white state with a lot of colleges. Demographically it looks a lot like states Bernie does well in.

Mass didn't vote for Obama in the 2008 primaries, replaced Ted Kennedy's Senate seat in 2010 with fucking Scott Brown, and just elected another republican Governor. Demographically Massachusetts bucks trends with regularity.
 

Box

Member
Honest question.

What would be the benefit of Sanders dropping out right now? Every thread we have people reiterating that he's hopeless, should just give up, drop out, it's impossible to win, etc. But what benefit would it have for him, for voters, for democrats, or anyone, if he just dropped out? Aren't we seeing him push Hilary and is democratic peers to better places?

He's never really been focused on attacks, so I don't really think he's hurting Hilary's image in all of this. And even the few things he may get aggressive about, it's not like the socialist's complaints are going to be fuel for the Republicans.

I don't know, I just don't understand why people always talk down to those with hope or enthusiasm for Sanders in these threads. Seems like a positive effect the longer he stays in to me.

The people on NeoGAF who follow politics on a regular basis tend to get wrapped up in election victories, seat counts, appointments, district gerrymandering, etc. Bernie's campaign has been less about winning the Presidency than it is about starting a political movement. So especially for the people who aren't Bernie supporters, there isn't a lot of appreciation for things that don't contribute to a victory. Specifically, a lot of people don't think that Bernie's movement means anything because he is unlikely to win the nomination. More than a few are resentful that people are energized around the issues he brings up because it makes Clinton's road to the Presidency a bit more bumpy.

I also think that a lot of people are just not on board with the issues that Sanders is bringing up. It's one thing to say you support all these socialist economic policies when they're far off ideas. It's another to actually support a politician who has/had a chance of bringing them forward.

I do think it's a bit annoying that after years of reading GAFers lament about the fact that socialism etc isn't taken seriously, that there's such a large group that feels very threatened by Sanders's campaign and are eager for him to drop out. I mean, if I remember correctly, Bernie Sanders was very popular here before his campaign for President. I first learned about him on GAF. It was kind of disappointing to realize that a lot of the policially engaged GAFers are so strongly against his candidacy.
 

stufte

Member
Just got home from caucusing for Bernie in Colorado. HUGE turnout, and Bernie won our precinct 2 to 1.

The whole process was a clusterfuck though.
 
I mean, call it a win if you want. :/

My point was focused on enthusiasm that could be carried to a win in a general election. In terms of that, there is no clear difference in Iowa. If you want the win for the your personal chalkboard, go for it...

I'm trying to discuss substance here.

If Sanders had won Iowa, the narrative would have been one of history repeating itself, and it would have bolstered Sanders. Wins matter towards public opinion, and public opinion can sway later primaries.
 

A Human Becoming

More than a Member
I'm just shocked how many people are voting for Drumpf.

Even AFTER all his KKK hedging this weekend.

There are a lot of sick people in this country.
The US has an even bigger racism problem than I thought.
If Sanders had won Iowa, the narrative would have been one of history repeating itself, and it would have bolstered Sanders. Wins matter towards public opinion, and public opinion can sway later primaries.
You know that's not completely true. Rubio got momentum for placing third (which he botched in New Hampshire). Considering he was going against Hillary Clinton and had been dismissed from the get go he did very well.

Now of course Iowa was made for Sanders by being filled with white liberals, but I didn't say the narrative was fair.
 

smokeymicpot

Beat EviLore at pool.
People keep trying to assure us, "oh Trump is actually quite moderate and will tone it down in the GE"

Look at the movement he's already created. It's disgusting.

He knows what he is doing and that is the scary part. He is a businessman and he knows how to play the game. He knows attacking works and will win for him.
 

giga

Member
Im not talking about the primary, was talking about the general vs republicans.

To be fair.
Bernie has NH, colorado.
Hillary has won Virginia, Nevada

Iowa a tie.

With 7-4 for super tuesday... this is was not a bad night for Sanders to be honest. MA was a loss, but close enough to not be a knockout blow.

why are you continuing to ignore the number of delegates won. this is the same mistake that hillary made in 2008.
 
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