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Wkd BO 03•25-27•16 - Batman vs Superman (or Grindr hookup gone sideways) bests Bunny

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Aye, I loved the film dearly. And as someone else mentioned, the way it approaches its themes it so much more intelligent than the overall clumsiness that is BvS.

The press conference scene remains one of the most amazing things I've seen in years. And probably the most jaw-dropping ever in a Disney film, just for going where it went. The film is brave in ways BvS wouldn't ever consider, with their respective subject matter.

I agree; I liked how Disney tackled the many important struggles/themes today's society live in - it's subtle and yet very prominent in the film's story arc.
 
Aye, I loved the film dearly. And as someone else mentioned, the way it approaches its themes it so much more intelligent than the overall clumsiness that is BvS.

The press conference scene remains one of the most amazing things I've seen in years. And probably the most jaw-dropping ever in a Disney film, just for going where it went. The film is brave in ways BvS wouldn't ever consider, with their respective subject matter.

I agree 100 %. BvS wants to be serious and deep, but it just isn't. It's superficial and shallow. Zootopia is beautiful and intelligent.
 
I agree 100 %. BvS wants to be serious and deep, but it just isn't. It's superficial and shallow. Zootopia is beautiful and intelligent.

Chiming in on Zootopia. Loved it. And I'm shocked how bold it was at addressing some seriously weighty social issues in the context of a cutesy animated animal cartoon.

"Maturity" doesn't have to be violent, or vulgar, or dark, or cynical. Zootopia was intelligent and wonderfully clever in how mature it was about its subject matter.
 
David Yates fucked up the finale battle in Harry Potter. Everyone should have witnessed that shit, but no. I hate him for that. Also Half-Blood Prince was pretty bad. Whyyy :(

I actually disagree. I think the movie version worked better. It should have just been Harry and Voldemort by themselves. Harry didn't need a cheering squad. One of the few book-to-movie changes I really liked.
 
Overseas take is going to have to climb to ~65% for BvS to hit $1B. Looks like that could happen if legs are better overseas.

That's kind of cheating RE: China, movies don't stay there as long as they do here

$69M in 6 days sounds better when you don't mention the fact that the 3 day weekend take was estimated at $57M.

BvS is losing 70% of its screens this weekend in China.

EDIT: Also, Star Wars made 42% of its Chinese total in the first two days.
 
Overseas take is going to have to climb to ~65% for BvS to hit $1B. Looks like that could happen if legs are better overseas.



$69M in 6 days sounds better when you don't mention the fact that the 3 day weekend take was estimated at $57M.

BvS is losing 70% of its screens this weekend in China.

EDIT: Also, Star Wars made 42% of its Chinese total in the first two days.

China moves on fast.
 
It kinda seems like Gitesh is all about accentuating the positive. Never noticed it before. Does he tend to put a sunshiny spin on the numbers coming in with every pic?
 
What is the hype like for Jungle Book? I think it looks really neat, and I can totally see it outdoing Burton's Alice in Wonderland. That said I can also see it bombing.
 
It kinda seems like Gitesh is all about accentuating the positive. Never noticed it before. Does he tend to put a sunshiny spin on the numbers coming in with every pic?
He tends to look on the bright side, until reality comes to be and it's something else. In this case he seems more fixated on the totals to date, encompassing the strong debut, rather than the trending. If it crashes this weekend I'm guessing he'll call it like it is. He's already started, at least a bit:

1st week TUE-WED drops: #Avengers 23%, #Deadpool 26%, #Ultron 28%, #IronMan3 28%, #Furious7 31%, #BatmanvSuperman 33%.​
https://twitter.com/GiteshPandya/status/715549350332657664
 
Seriously. What's up with that? You'd think these mega blockbusters would keep their screens for a bit longer than that.

Maybe it's a third world country kind of thing. In my country (Peru) movies stay aproximately for three weeks with few more or less days. Even freaking Star wars stayed just that time. Not to mention that in the last week there are only three showings per day :(
 
What is the hype like for Jungle Book? I think it looks really neat, and I can totally see it outdoing Burton's Alice in Wonderland. That said I can also see it bombing.

Looks odd to me big Hollywood actors not voice actors doing voices for hyper realistic animals, haven't liked any of Disneys live action stuff yet so most likely will give this a watch when its available for cheap.
 
Overseas take is going to have to climb to ~65% for BvS to hit $1B. Looks like that could happen if legs are better overseas.



$69M in 6 days sounds better when you don't mention the fact that the 3 day weekend take was estimated at $57M.

BvS is losing 70% of its screens this weekend in China.

EDIT: Also, Star Wars made 42% of its Chinese total in the first two days.

There is another Chinese holiday next week and a Sammo Hung movie with Andy Lau coming out this today, the competition over there is higher.
 
China is 30 days for foreign films. That's the rule except they just lest Zootopia stay for another two weeks

They can grant extensions whenever they feel like it. I'm pretty sure that Transformers 4 also had 6 weeks. I don't remember if Furious 7 got an extension. Most of the time films are making next to nothing by 30 days due to loss of screens anyhow.
 
Boxoffice Mojo's second weekend prediction for BvS is basically Spider-Man 3's second weekend of $58.1M. That would be a 65% drop.
 
They can grant extensions whenever they feel like it. I'm pretty sure that Transformers 4 also had 6 weeks. I don't remember if Furious 7 got an extension. Most of the time films are making next to nothing by 30 days due to loss of screens anyhow.

No, Furious 7 didn't get an extension. At that point in 2015, foreign movies were outgrossing domestic movies, and the regulators maybe were afraid of that being the case for the rest of 2015, so that is one of the protectionist tools in their playbook to help domestic grosses.

Maybe this is a good sign for foreign movies, since 2015 (and 2016 so far) are showing that domestic movies are starting to need less help.

They are leaving money on the table whenever they restrict foreign movies like so, as 75% stays in China. But I guess maybe their logic doesn't work that way, and they think that cutting a foreign movies legs would just mean that the audience migrates to a domestic movie that replaces the foreign movie, so that is actually a net gain following such logic (100% of the money from domestic movies stay in China).
 
BvS is losing 70% of its screens this weekend in China.

K5BoyNl.gif
 
If other films increased yesterday, then I would say it's not a good hold and the best case would be to follow GI Joe's increases and hit $54M. If other films fell, then it's a solid hold compared to F7.
 
Wasn't Deadpool considered a big success? So BvS is at least moderately successful, even with the bigger budget?

Differing expectations matter here. Deadpool was an R-rated film featuring a relatively minor character that only really needed to recoup its development costs. Batman v Superman isn't R-rated, and features three of DC's biggest franchise characters in an attempt attempt to springboard a slate of films for the next four or five years!
 
Sorry, I meant mid-60s as in the percentage down, not millions in gross.

So this film is already getting beat by Furious 7 and Deadpool?

Down mid 60's seems to be what it's tracking to. A $55m weekend is down 67%. I think it will end in spitting distance of that.

Wasn't Deadpool considered a big success? So BvS is at least moderately successful, even with the bigger budget?

There's doing okay, and setting up Justice League the way WB wanted. IIRC Deadpool cost < $60m to make, and BvS cost > $200m.

It might end with a lower gross than Deadpool.
 
Gitesh Pandya &#8207;@GiteshPandya 15m15 minutes ago
At current pace, #BatmanvSuperman looks on course to end domestic run w/ about $375M. Crashing $1B worldwide still likely.
 
Looking at some of the reporting on BOT, it seems to be holding just as poorly overseas as well. In particular, Olive posted the Friday estimates for China and it's down 86% from last week.
 
Gitesh Pandya &#8207;@GiteshPandya 15m15 minutes ago
At current pace, #BatmanvSuperman looks on course to end domestic run w/ about $375M. Crashing $1B worldwide still likely.

Even domestic feels optimistic there, no? ~$270m after this weekend, maybe $315m after next? There's $60m worth of juice left after that?
 
If BvS has a Man of Steel drop, it will be $58m or so. That had a mid 60s weekend drop, but the weekdays were stronger due to summer, and the rest of the weekend drops were a bit more normal.
 
Gitesh Pandya &#8207;@GiteshPandya 15m15 minutes ago
At current pace, #BatmanvSuperman looks on course to end domestic run w/ about $375M. Crashing $1B worldwide still likely.

That seems about right, perhaps a touch high. F7 made another $161m after its first week, which would end BvS at $370m including today's take. Since BvS has been tracking worse, it might miss that total. I'm guessing closer to $350m.
 
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