So, did some delegate calculations and here are some fun facts for those who think Bernie could turn things around today and win the majority of pledged delegates:
1. Bernie needs to win California by at least 10 points. If he fails to do this, he can't succeed regardless of how well he does everywhere else (As in, 100% of the delegates from everywhere but California would not be enough if he doesn't get a 10 point lead in california). Note that literally every poll conducted in California has had Clinton ahead
2. If every other state ties on votes, He'd need a 64% lead in california to overcome Clinton
3. In order to win a majority of delegates, he needs over 70% of the remaining delegates to side with him
Oh, so now the mods are encouraging people to vote for Trump?!?!?You will all be much happier and discussion will be much better if you stop trying to engage every person who doesn't want to vote for Hillary to show them why they are wrong. Please stop.
Call out trump people all you want but leave others alone. It's tiresome.
If every other state ties he needs 80% in California to catch up to Hillary's pledged count.
285=475*x-475*(1-x)
x=0.8
Some sources lump a state's pledged and super delegates together, which might be the reason your numbers are off.
No, just the ones that would vote for Trump or not vote at all instead of voting for Hillary.![]()
So all bernie supporters are extremists now?
I just dont find any of these examples helpful considering how crazy this entire cycle is
Nutjobs are a dime a dozen in this climate
Fuck inspirational. At the end of the day Hillary has never been 'too busy running for President' to have a detailed answer on a policy question. We don't need to be inspired. Obama got that done a while ago. We need competent governance and we need to make sure the Supreme Court never sees a Trump nominee. Progress is moving forward through coalitions and through the courts, not through revolutions. If the other side wasn't actively trying to take us back to the 1950s, we could run the most ideologically pure candidate we could find and purge anyone we didn't agree with on every single issue, but that's not the current reality.
I honestly can't understand how you found his comment sexist. A lot of people don't find her inspiring. Get over it.
I honestly can't understand how you found his comment sexist. A lot of people don't find her inspiring. Get over it.
But this guy sounds like a Hilary supporter^
"I'm not inspired enough to care about how myself, my friends, my family, and my children are going to live the rest of their lives". What a lame excuse.
Trump's America has nothing in common with Clinton's America. Decide which outcome you prefer and cast a goddamn vote.
Probably because reducing Clinton's accomplishment to "tokenism" is almost literally the definition of sexism.
I don't think you understand how insulting and sexist this statement is. There are women alive today who were born into a country where women did not have the right to vote. One political party is hellbent on taking away a women's right to their body, they want to force a woman to carry a pregnancy to term. 80% of Congress is male and our country has never been lead by a woman.
I honestly don't understand how you can't find any inspiration in Clinton's nomination.
I don't know why I didn't think of this before, but Hillary has been essentially fighting 2v1 this past month. Trump slamming her from the right and Bernie hasn't taken his foot off the gas at all. Pretty impressive that she is still able to stay on top.
Say what you want about Hillary, but election-wise she has been through hell and back. She has had just about everything thrown at her over the past 8-10 years and is still able to get the nomination of her party and lead in the general election polls. Nothing can stop her.
Except the topic was Hillary being inspirational, not why someone is voting for her. You shut that strawman the hell down though.If you're voting for Hillary simply because she's a woman you pretty much are practicing tokenism.
But this guy sounds like a Hilary supporter
If you treat someone as a valid candidate because of factors which have nothing to do with their ability to be president (gender, race, religion, etc.), that's tokenism. It's significant that a non-white man who was qualified to be president achieved that post, and it's significant that a woman who is qualified to be president is poised to achieve that post. But qualifications are key.
No.
Many respected minds have proposed Biden as VP for life.
If you're voting for Hillary simply because she's a woman you pretty much are practicing tokenism.
Who is treating her as a valid candidate due to her gender? You responded to a poster questioning why Hillary's historic nomination, and hopefully presidency, didn't inspire someone with a complaint about tokenism.
Really closer to 25 years now.
Except the topic was Hillary being inspirational, not why someone is voting for her. You shut that strawman the hell down though.
I’ll be voting for Trump. I don’t particularly care much for him but he’s preferable to Hillary. If Stein had a legitimate chance of pulling enough of the vote to cost Hillary the election (>5%), I would throw my vote her way, but the Greens probably won’t even have ballot access in my state (Iowa).
As for the rest of the ballot, I’ll just be voting against whoever the incumbent is.
ban me if you want
The first sentence is right, but the rest of this gibberish doesn't hold up to the facts.Voting for a candidate isn't about rewarding them - it's about YOU! It's about the people around you! You're voting because it changes your life and the lives of the people you care about!
That's called a Carly Fiorina.Do you think you would find Drumpf's nomination inspiring if he was exactly the same as is he is now but female?
Pretty sure most people base their votes on more than just inspiration. That was the topic though.The topic was her being inspiring as a presidential candidate right? I don't usually look at someones sex as a reason for me to fall behind them. Many others don't either.
That's called a Carly Fiorina.
I don't think you understand how insulting and sexist this statement is. There are women alive today who were born into a country where women did not have the right to vote. One political party is hellbent on taking away a women's right to their body, they want to force a woman to carry a pregnancy to term. 80% of Congress is male and our country has never been lead by a woman.
I honestly don't understand how you can't find any inspiration in Clinton's nomination.
I would really like a Biden VP or a Warren VP.
Though I'm not sure if Warren would want to be VP.
I don't really have any issue with admitting that Bernie has lost (or will lose) the primary.
My issue is that of the media and their reporting on this victory. A few issues:
[...]- The timing of the reporting. Could be coincidence that they finally got one more to privately endorse yesterday, but the fact that it was on the eve of a very large primary day just smells fishy to me.
Do you think you would find Drumpf's nomination inspiring if he was exactly the same as is he is now but female?
You know what inspires me? Knowing I, as a minority, have a lot less allies on the left that I thought. That if I don't go out and vote for a candidate who is willing to put in the work to understand and engage minority issues to build a coalition that I will end up with a candidate who thinks Cornel "Obama is a republican in blackface" West and Killer Mike is minority outreach. That I will end up with a candidate who says I'm not "smart enough" to vote for them, who would rather my vote didn't matter.
Clinton surely has flaws but she at least has a record and scars of fighting the GOP for her adult life. She is someone willing to put in the work to do good for this county and it's future with actual plans and will fight for every American, not just their focus group.
If you're voting for Hillary simply because she's a woman you pretty much are practicing tokenism.
I was gonna say Michelle Bachmann but that's a good comparison too.
I don't really have any issue with admitting that Bernie has lost (or will lose) the primary.
My issue is that of the media and their reporting on this victory. A few issues:
- They claim (and I should mention that I in no way doubt the reporting) that a number of superdelegates have publicly and privately endorsed Clinton. The private endorsements are what bother me. This is not public knowledge and these people have not made public endorsements.
- The timing of the reporting. Could be coincidence that they finally got one more to privately endorse yesterday, but the fact that it was on the eve of a very large primary day just smells fishy to me.
Again, I don't argue the defeat of Bernie, but I have to at least sympathize with folks who feel political apathy and even some 'tinfoil hat' wearers. It mostly just saddens me that not everyone gets a fair say in the process.
Spencer Thayer said:"It's likely that most callers are actually polite. If a few people contacting superdelegates are being obscene they'll of course drown out reasonable voices and harden opinions. However, it's useful to look at what's causing some of the anger and outrage we're seeing.
"Voters know they are being disenfranchised by superdelegate influence and these privileged voters are a reasonable target for frustration. And, let's be honest, if superdelegates aren't prepared to deal with the public, they shouldn't be party officials."
Surely this sort of rhetoric will encourage Bernie supporters to vote Clinton.
Accurate. I'm a Bernie supporter still. There's been an awful lot of people perfectly willing to go to bat for Hillary on the sole basis that she's a woman.
Regardless of your opinion of her, you can't disagree that she's paraded one of her merits as the potential "First Woman President". It's not sexist to call her/her supporters out on it.
I don't know why I didn't think of this before, but Hillary has been essentially fighting 2v1 this past month. Trump slamming her from the right and Bernie hasn't taken his foot off the gas at all. Pretty impressive that she is still able to stay on top.
Say what you want about Hillary, but election-wise she has been through hell and back. She has had just about everything thrown at her over the past 8-10 years and is still able to get the nomination of her party and lead in the general election polls. Nothing can stop her.