Robdraggoo
Member
No. And up until the last week she has an 8 point lead there. Polling suggests it's really close now. Giving it to him is just worst case scenario
United States Election: Nov. 8, 2016 |OT| Hate Trumps Love
- Thread starter Aaron Strife
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thestopsign
Member
The last time it went red was 2000. It has the highest propensity for going to the Republicans out of all of the Northeastern states.
Subscribed. And something my brother posted today:
I mean this weekend will probably be the second biggest weekend as far as gun sales are concerned. Only next weekend would be a bigger weekend I'd think.
My county is as of the last consensus 86.4% white, 7.2% black or African American, 2.9% Asian, 0.3% American Indian..ect and on top of that just a point or shy of 60% Republican. I want to move to a more blue part of the state so bad.
Team Alucard
Banned
NH is red because its a predominately white state that is significantly more conservative than the rest of the northeast.
But the last time it went red was 2000, and its not going to happen this time either.
RPGCrazied
Member
Checking in with my final prediction.
Had to really restrain myself and not give Hillary Arizona. Feel like I should have given Ohio to Trump because they deserve each other, but meh.
Hope so! Wish I could see my state be blue one day.
(TX)Wafflecakes
Member
Hope so! Wish I could see my state be blue one day.
I had to really work to stop myself from giving the Queen Texas, but my desire to be right overwhelmed my optimism.
Psychoward
Banned
Pancake Mix
Copied someone else's pancake recipe
Yes, Nebraska and Maine regionally allocate 3 votes between them to congressional districts. The rest of their votes are statewide. One Maine vote may go red and one Nebraska vote could go blue.
I know the vote is shaped by demographics, but it's surrounded on the left and right by whiter states (the whitest in the union) that will go blue (or in Maine's case perhaps blue with 1 red stripe). Demographics don't apply in the Northeast the same way as the rest of the country.
New Hampshire is just different.
thestopsign
Member
I think if the margins had stayed at the +6 to +9 range for Hillary, Arizona goes blue, Georgia is one of the closest races, and Texas is within 2-3 points for Hillary. Alaska probably flips too.
Looking at the environment:
206 - easily yes - the arguments against were all rehashes from last time we raised the wage. They failed before and will again.
205 - lean yes - the late money did well to muddy the waters on pot for PTSD which is where the core of the crossover support came from. This one probably tracks the Presidential race well in that if Trump wins AZ big, it loses. If Trump wins by 3 or less or loses, it wins.
BrokenFiction
Member
Posted from PoliGAF, my final prediction. Giving AK and IA to Hillary based on what the Force is telling me.
Pancake Mix
Copied someone else's pancake recipe
My final prediction. Closer than I'd like too. Please feel free to rip it apart:
That would definitely be something.
Checking in with my final prediction.
Had to really restrain myself and not give Hillary Arizona. Feel like I should have given Ohio to Trump because they deserve each other, but meh.
This would be amazing.
D
Deleted member 125677
Unconfirmed Member
If Trump gets over 240 EVs I'll shame tag myself
Vanillalite
Ask me about the GAF Notebook
GA isn't going blue. We aren't there yet. We are trending that way, but it's not gonna happen for another decade.
newshinycd
Member
Maine hasn't gone red since 1988 and New Hampshire since 2000.
If trump wins, all members are banned for one day.
RPGCrazied
Member
So in other words, its not happening.
BrokenFiction
Member
I'm here too and it's very possible.
The headline: http://opinionsavvy.com/2016/11/04/poll-trump-ahead-in-georgia-by-four/
The early vote: Clinton is still winning the early vote: 51% to 43%
Again, I could be wrong, and I'm taking a chance on this, but the early vote here has been incredible, esp. in Dekalb.
yanipheonu
Member
I mean, I said from the time she was confirmed for Democrat nomanee shed win. GOP has major demographic problems Trump has just made worse.
My entirely gut-feeling prediction? A Hillary blowout, possibly bigger than even some of the predictions think it may be. Between the prevalence of the internet, the apparent increase in voting and the general effect of galvanization against the Alt-right and Trump.
My entirely gut-feeling prediction? A Hillary blowout, possibly bigger than even some of the predictions think it may be. Between the prevalence of the internet, the apparent increase in voting and the general effect of galvanization against the Alt-right and Trump.
had to hear the same "both candidates suck" bullshit on Friday after I went out to early vote. I just can't.
American's are too comfortable with laziness when it comes to politics... or their own biases. No critical thinking whatsoever. Like Chipotle had their food safety issue, there were people I know who just vowed never to eat their again. And their basis for their decision had to be the fact about how frequently it came up in media, even though if they would fucking read a few articles they would have an idea of how illogical and ridiculous they are being. I did enjoy those short lines though.
American's are too comfortable with laziness when it comes to politics... or their own biases. No critical thinking whatsoever. Like Chipotle had their food safety issue, there were people I know who just vowed never to eat their again. And their basis for their decision had to be the fact about how frequently it came up in media, even though if they would fucking read a few articles they would have an idea of how illogical and ridiculous they are being. I did enjoy those short lines though.
Psychoward
Banned
And they certainly won't for the worst presidential candidate in modern history.
Knuckle Sandwich
Member
Mah map. I got this from a precog so it's %100 accurate.
Escape Goat
Member
Free abortions for all the poor!
Miniature American flags (affordably priced involving material and labor costs and an appropriate profit margin) for others!
Pancake Mix
Copied someone else's pancake recipe
Right, it's not likely when the alternative is so extreme, but I was only allocating one vote from Maine red. I think CNN (for example) is trying to make this a bit closer than it is but....we will see and if nothing else it gets people out to vote, right?
However, I'm pretty sure my map is more realistic than any that show Georgia blue in 2016.
Chezzymann
Member
I'm worried that it will swing back to being hard red next time and the only reason its relatively close is because of how much people hate trumpMaybe in 4 years time!
If some typical republican runs next time I bet they'll win in margins Texas usually gets
Escape Goat
Member
Its unusual for one party to occupy the White House 3 terms in a row. It will likely swing back to GOP control unless Hillary doesn't fuck it up.
Pancake Mix
Copied someone else's pancake recipe
I still sticking with this map.
Florida, North Carolina, and Iowa, but no vote from Nebraska's second congressional district despite that?
No matter what on Tuesday you're going to be disappointed with this map.
FO-totality
Poet Centuriate
Checking in with my final prediction.
Had to really restrain myself and not give Hillary Arizona. Feel like I should have given Ohio to Trump because they deserve each other, but meh.
You're giving Hillary Nebraska's statewide vote? Lololol try again. (No really, I think you messed up, she'll only get Omaha's one vote at best.)
Except for diablos.
Yep. I think its playing out like 2008 did...
UnObtainium17
Member
Im gonna call in sick to work if Trump wins.. fuck that.
Man, some of you really think Hillary will win that easily? I think you guys will be severely disappointed. Not surprising though, considering this site leans mostly to the left.
I'm even afraid Trump might actually be able to win this one. Hope not though.
Really wish us Puerto Ricans could vote in the general elections....Hillary would get the votes for sure.
I'm even afraid Trump might actually be able to win this one. Hope not though.
Really wish us Puerto Ricans could vote in the general elections....Hillary would get the votes for sure.
legacyzero
Banned
I'm getting my "Y'all coulda voted for Bernie, but NOOOooo..." post ready.
There's nothing saying otherwise, people's intuitions and/or fears aren't enough.
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