The UK updates here every afternoon just never give any positivity. Just continual bleakness. I miss my parents, not being able to visit them. And my daughter is asking where they are. FaceTime etc. Is not the same and she's very confused. I know I sound like a bleeding hearts club and it's a small sacrifice to make, but I am probably starting to struggle a bit with all this and am getting a bit of anxiety I'll never see my parents again. Sounds like our lives are never going back to normal even though that may be hyperbolic. I have no faith in a vaccine coming anytime soon. Haven't we never created a successful coronavirus vaccine?
Stay safe GAF
That's cool and all, just sign a form that states that you refuse medical attention after you become sick. Then get out and you're free to get sick.![]()
The data is in — stop the panic and end the total isolation
Americans are now desperate for sensible policymakers who have the courage to ignore the panic and rely on facts.thehill.com
Chef Boyardee?
The restaurants, the parks, the mountain, the Old Port, the festivals, the night life, the random encounters... all of it.
My findings are striking: for every eight days (including weekends) since school cancellations began, a county tends to have one less death per 100,000 people. For every nine days a ban on gatherings over 500 people has been in place, there's one less death per 100,000 people. These policies work. But the correlation flips for bans on gatherings of fifty people or for stay-at-home orders. For every two weeks a stay-at-home order is in place, the death rate rises by one person per 100,000. For bans of gatherings of fifty people, it's every eleven days.
Because I controlled for how long it's been since the first county death, this is probably not being driven by harder-hit places choosing to adopt tougher policies. But just to check, I also added a control for the deaths per 100,000 people in each county on March 31. This does reduce the size and significance of effects for each policy, but not the relationship between them. Nor are my findings changed by excluding the New York City metro area, or adding or removing a handful of other variables related to climate, industry or occupation mix, rurality, etc. All the underlying data can be downloaded publicly.
The only US-based academic study empirically linking lockdowns to lower deaths is a recent economics paper identifying California's lockdown as the reason for its lower death rate. The problem with this paper is that the authors find that the lockdown began to reduce California's deaths just five days after being implemented. The effect is too early to derive from the supposed cause. My goal is not to prove that stay-at-home orders increase COVID deaths; that's a strong claim I wouldn't venture. My goal is simply to show that there is not currently any evidence that lockdowns work. None of the actual examples of lockdowns around the world provides particularly compelling evidence that lockdowns actually work.
Lyman is an economist who specializes in population and demography. He is an Advisor at the consulting firm Demographic Intelligence, a Research Fellow at the Institute for Family Studies, and an Adjunct Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. He and his wife Ruth live in Tuen Mun, Hong Kong.
The UK updates here every afternoon just never give any positivity. Just continual bleakness. I miss my parents, not being able to visit them. And my daughter is asking where they are. FaceTime etc. Is not the same and she's very confused. I know I sound like a bleeding hearts club and it's a small sacrifice to make, but I am probably starting to struggle a bit with all this and am getting a bit of anxiety I'll never see my parents again. Sounds like our lives are never going back to normal even though that may be hyperbolic. I have no faith in a vaccine coming anytime soon. Haven't we never created a successful coronavirus vaccine?
Stay safe GAF
Thats why we're called essential workers.
Honestly, the world cannot afford to see America fall.
It's not impossible, and could have been done like Wuhan in just over a couple of months.
Obviously we wouldn't starve because a total quarantine is out of the question as some things would have to continue. and those people protected. But a mass quarantine with the bare minimum people quarantined going out for essentials is by far the most efficient way of dealing with it.
Those left infected at the end would be easily identified and treated/isolated. As much as I don't want to blow China's trumpet, they have already demonstratedhow to tame it. Yes they lied about lots of things, opening up now is a lot harder to hide
One other thing. You talk about not leaving the country. Bookmark this, because the borders are going to stay closed for a good while yet. No country is going to be taking risks once this has been contained. Travel between countries that does happen will be heavily monitored with mandatory quarantining for new arrivals. Until either a medicine has been found or a vaccine that works.
There is a growing body of evidence that we are off by anywhere from 10x to 100x on what the true total numbers of infections are, which means that the true death rate is 10 to 100x less than what we are seeing. It could be possible that the death rate of COVID-19 is barely higher or even slightly lower than the flu (0.1% or 1-in-1000)
Vitamin D deficiency (Diabetes/Obesity the main cause) is the number 1 factor causing the deaths/hospitalizations.
And we live in a lockdown world, where they are basically telling everyone to stay inside to become Vitamin D deficient.
Microsoft patent 060606
Microsoft patent 060606. NPCs be like "Fuck you Mr. T. F. Hat! It's just a patent for a new mouse. Money made Bill Gates extra lovingly kind, money does that to people! Take the vaccine you selfish individual! Trust in Gates!"
"What is WIPO?
WIPO is the global forum for intellectual property (IP) services, policy, information and cooperation. We are a self-funding agency of the United Nations, with 193 member states.
Our mission is to lead the development of a balanced and effective international IP system that enables innovation and creativity for the benefit of all. Our mandate, governing bodies and procedures are set out in the WIPO Convention, which established WIPO in 1967."
Nice internet virtue signal. Shameless, obvious, and ineffectual.
We will quickly learn we are all essential workers. The landscaper putting food on the table buys tools from the hardware store. He pays rent. The hardware store pays employees. They all use gasoline. Their pay supports farmers. It's all interconnected.
And sure, we have people we can label 'essential' in regards to any specific crisis. There are front line soldiers in every war. Supply lines. Medics. Sure.
But that doesn't mean everyone else is unimportant. This epidemic of elitism is pathetic. There is no reason a landscaper can't mow the lawn. There is no reason a nice little mom & pop store can't simply put your order in your trunk without getting out of the car.
I said it before: we had this outbreak in the super dense, urban island that is Manhattan. Before we even fully knew about it. Before we social distanced. People on packed subways. Nobody with immunity. Not enough supplies.
And we beat it. Everyone got a bed. We didn't run out of ventilators. We rose to the challenge.
Now? We know to social distance. New treatments are being researched. Production of equipment is in full gear. Our army corps of Engineers have mastered getting beds up quickly wherever needed. We are rolling out increased testing looking for new hotspots, none of which will likely ever reach NYC levels due to all the reasons that make NYC unique.
That doesn't mean nobody will get sick, or that nobody will die. Of course they will. With certainty. But that is true regardless.
If this disease had a 10% death rate, like some early reports from Italy suggested, we would all be hunkered down. But that is not the case, and was astronomically wrong. I have earlier posts in this thread where i even suggested bug in gear to buy to someone who asked, back when we were basing this off bunk numbers.
We know much more now. And maybe we shouldn't be shutting down our economy with war brewing in the South China sea. Maybe a disease that is twice as bad as the flu isn't worth famine or the possibility of WWIII. And maybe the panic porn of the mainstream media is just more bullshit propaganda like Smollet, Covington, and the rest. That isn't to say Corona isn't real - it is... but we don't hide in our beds just because something scary is outside, because I promise something scarier is behind it if we don't face it head on. And I certainly don't think some in our media have the health of this nation as a priority- in fact, it has become quite clear many hate this country by their own admission. Why would i trust their panic porn?
We know to social distance. We have been educated. That does not mean we are no longer free people.
You asked me who I am willing to sacrifice, but it's increasingly obvious the one willing to sacrifice others is you. I am not the one calling the hairdresser and single mother of 4 non-essential. I am not telling the solo landscaper he can not go to work. Or people they shouldn't go shopping. I put my faith in myself, and my family, and you and yours.... not petty tyrants who threaten to lock people up for not following their draconian rules.
chilling Vice piece about the lawyer and activist who disappeared in February after providing first hand coverage of the outbreak in Wuhan and criticizing the government's response. The Chinese government claims he has been detained for quarantine purposes, but many are skeptical as he has not been granted any outside contact. Terrible stuff. people love to throw around words like being a reporter, hero, patriot, etc but forget what those things mean. Hope you are still alive Qiushi, and thank you for spreading the truth
Yeah shoutout to all the people posting really great info. This thread has been on the money on a few things and there's usually a healthy debate on news. I've gotten more straight up news from here than a lot of other places.At the very least this thread has been the one thing to keep me informed and help parse the Bullshit out from the truth.
So Bill Gates really IS the Antichrist.
Montreal is a shithole. I was born there and got the fuck out as soon as I was old enough to move out on my ownBest city in the World (ok, with Taipei).
Grapefruit.Dr. John Campbell speculates a lot in his YouTube videos that Vitamin D may be a strong protector against this disease (and others) and he points out that deficiency rates are much higher among darker skinned people in the northern hemisphere.
DamnNice internet virtue signal. Shameless, obvious, and ineffectual.
We will quickly learn we are all essential workers. The landscaper putting food on the table buys tools from the hardware store. He pays rent. The hardware store pays employees. They all use gasoline. Their pay supports farmers. It's all interconnected.
And sure, we have people we can label 'essential' in regards to any specific crisis. There are front line soldiers in every war. Supply lines. Medics. Sure.
But that doesn't mean everyone else is unimportant. This epidemic of elitism is pathetic. There is no reason a landscaper can't mow the lawn. There is no reason a nice little mom & pop store can't simply put your order in your trunk without getting out of the car.
I said it before: we had this outbreak in the super dense, urban island that is Manhattan. Before we even fully knew about it. Before we social distanced. People on packed subways. Nobody with immunity. Not enough supplies.
And we beat it. Everyone got a bed. We didn't run out of ventilators. We rose to the challenge.
Now? We know to social distance. New treatments are being researched. Production of equipment is in full gear. Our army corps of Engineers have mastered getting beds up quickly wherever needed. We are rolling out increased testing looking for new hotspots, none of which will likely ever reach NYC levels due to all the reasons that make NYC unique.
That doesn't mean nobody will get sick, or that nobody will die. Of course they will. With certainty. But that is true regardless.
If this disease had a 10% death rate, like some early reports from Italy suggested, we would all be hunkered down. But that is not the case, and was astronomically wrong. I have earlier posts in this thread where i even suggested bug in gear to buy to someone who asked, back when we were basing this off bunk numbers.
We know much more now. And maybe we shouldn't be shutting down our economy with war brewing in the South China sea. Maybe a disease that is twice as bad as the flu isn't worth famine or the possibility of WWIII. And maybe the panic porn of the mainstream media is just more bullshit propaganda like Smollet, Covington, and the rest. That isn't to say Corona isn't real - it is... but we don't hide in our beds just because something scary is outside, because I promise something scarier is behind it if we don't face it head on. And I certainly don't think some in our media have the health of this nation as a priority- in fact, it has become quite clear many hate this country by their own admission. Why would i trust their panic porn?
We know to social distance. We have been educated. That does not mean we are no longer free people.
You asked me who I am willing to sacrifice, but it's increasingly obvious the one willing to sacrifice others is you. I am not the one calling the hairdresser and single mother of 4 non-essential. I am not telling the solo landscaper he can not go to work. Or people they shouldn't go shopping. I put my faith in myself, and my family, and you and yours.... not petty tyrants who threaten to lock people up for not following their draconian rules.
No idea, but UK is normally reporting only hospital deaths, and so are Italy/Spain I was told.Where I live old age homes account for like 70% or more of the deaths.
Hmm, I need to see "we have immunity" posts.
No idea, but UK is normally reporting only hospital deaths, and so are Italy/Spain I was told.
For the record, France has been giving separate counts for hospitals and nursing homes recently, and the ratio is currently 13 236 deaths in hospitals and 8 104 in nursing homes (assuming they've caught up and the nursing homes count now covers all of them)
A bit long, but quite interesting article:
![]()
COVID-19 Superspreader Events in 28 Countries: Critical Patterns and Lessons
In the absence of any comprehensive database of COVID-19 superspreading events, I built my own.quillette.com
Grapefruit.
Only insiders will understand.
Also lets shit a bit more on china shall we
I pointed to Wuhan as an example of eradication as opposed to mitigation.Why point to Wuhan? We beat the peak in NYC in record time and none of our emergency hospitals collapsed, nobody was disappeared or welded into their homes, and we didn't spread it to the rest of the world.
Chef Boyardee?
Nice internet virtue signal. Shameless, obvious, and ineffectual.
We will quickly learn we are all essential workers. The landscaper putting food on the table buys tools from the hardware store. He pays rent. The hardware store pays employees. They all use gasoline. Their pay supports farmers. It's all interconnected.
And sure, we have people we can label 'essential' in regards to any specific crisis. There are front line soldiers in every war. Supply lines. Medics. Sure.
But that doesn't mean everyone else is unimportant. This epidemic of elitism is pathetic. There is no reason a landscaper can't mow the lawn. There is no reason a nice little mom & pop store can't simply put your order in your trunk without getting out of the car.
I said it before: we had this outbreak in the super dense, urban island that is Manhattan. Before we even fully knew about it. Before we social distanced. People on packed subways. Nobody with immunity. Not enough supplies.
And we beat it. Everyone got a bed. We didn't run out of ventilators. We rose to the challenge.
Now? We know to social distance. New treatments are being researched. Production of equipment is in full gear. Our army corps of Engineers have mastered getting beds up quickly wherever needed. We are rolling out increased testing looking for new hotspots, none of which will likely ever reach NYC levels due to all the reasons that make NYC unique.
That doesn't mean nobody will get sick, or that nobody will die. Of course they will. With certainty. But that is true regardless.
If this disease had a 10% death rate, like some early reports from Italy suggested, we would all be hunkered down. But that is not the case, and was astronomically wrong. I have earlier posts in this thread where i even suggested bug in gear to buy to someone who asked, back when we were basing this off bunk numbers.
We know much more now. And maybe we shouldn't be shutting down our economy with war brewing in the South China sea. Maybe a disease that is twice as bad as the flu isn't worth famine or the possibility of WWIII. And maybe the panic porn of the mainstream media is just more bullshit propaganda like Smollet, Covington, and the rest. That isn't to say Corona isn't real - it is... but we don't hide in our beds just because something scary is outside, because I promise something scarier is behind it if we don't face it head on. And I certainly don't think some in our media have the health of this nation as a priority- in fact, it has become quite clear many hate this country by their own admission. Why would i trust their panic porn?
We know to social distance. We have been educated. That does not mean we are no longer free people.
You asked me who I am willing to sacrifice, but it's increasingly obvious the one willing to sacrifice others is you. I am not the one calling the hairdresser and single mother of 4 non-essential. I am not telling the solo landscaper he can not go to work. Or people they shouldn't go shopping. I put my faith in myself, and my family, and you and yours.... not petty tyrants who threaten to lock people up for not following their draconian rules.
But one person's granny died! How could you be so insensitive!?
I saw that earlier. I'll be stay 10 a day for a while longer![]()
Coronavirus: Nicotine patches to be tested on patients after study suggests smokers less likely to catch COVID-19
Researchers stress people should not start smoking, pointing out it kills half of those who start.news.sky.com
![]()
I wonder if your tune would change if it was someone close to you?