Microsoft / Activision Deal Approval Watch |OT| (MS/ABK close)

Do you believe the deal will be approved?


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I disagree. Maybe for warriors but for consumers consolidation is a lose/lose.
How, when I got all 3? It's a FACT if/when Xbox acquires Activision they grow bigger financially and ecosystem wise FACT. It's a fact Sony will be more competitive and in the end will provide more bangers from more studios FACTS. Now get out your feelings.
 
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Console ownership really means nothing. I own an Xbox but I also tend to favor PlayStation and I don't shy away from that. Either way, I agree with you that none of our lives are going to be impacted by this. It isn't that important. The emotionally invested really need to follow the "touch grass" brand of advice.

You are right though. The industry isn't going to implode because of any of this. Doesn't mean it's a good thing either and I really just don't think it is. Too much consolidation seems to take these gaming corporations to new levels of shittyness. That's how I see this with going with my "crystal ball".

Having said that, I think there are perfectly fine reasons to be for/against this acquisition. You seem pretty level-headed so good to have you talking from the pro-acquisition side of things. You might have noticed, we've had our share of crazies lately.



Those two extremes, aren't they? I don't see a way to fix the FTC myself, not in this age of corporate "campaign finance" where we document thousands of dollars being handed over to politicians and pretend it is all okay because it is out in the open. It's still just bribery.

As someone who owns both as well, plus a Switch, I guess I'm a fucking weird one. I'm pro-acquisition, but I'm not for taking away games that were going to be multiplat. Why waste that income if you're a company like MS? Putting it on GP should be enough. I'm fine with appeal processes, but I'm not fine with MS trying to push this farther and circumvent the CMA. If they want this deal to close that badly then fuck around and find out. Meta was a cautionary tale for these huge corporations and even that deal was a merger for just millions and not billions.

As for the FTC, maybe this one is on them. They just seem unprepared, but has had plenty of time to get their shit together like other regulators around the world. Maybe I'm wrong, but I feel for a lot of cases they just try to push back at last minute and wind up scrambling.
 
If MS gets ABK the second half of this generation will be the most important time in the history of PlayStation. I don't think Sony is ready.

If that happens, then You don't need to worry about Sony Group, as they'll receive 60-70B$ from Apple or Amazon (Maybe tencent) for their eventual acquisition of Sony Interactive Entertainment aka Playstation division
 
Every day we are one day closer to this deal happening.

Microsoft strategy has been laid bare this past week. They are positioning themselves as a dying brand and trailing third place in the highly competitive console market. The ironic part is that it's probably true, considering how mismanaged their first parties have been.

This is going to be leveraged with tremendous effect to get this approved by the necessary parties, over the next 1-2 years.

Microsoft recently said that the Xbox series x is their mid-genery fresh. The reason they would say this is obvious. You can now state that they're not even competing with Sony as they have not released their equivalent generation of console.
 
Deep isn't mentally ill tho.
Are You Sure Season 7 GIF by The Office
not-sure-do-you-think-that-im-retarded.gif
 
The dream is dead, looks like that Jim deposition will be sealed and not made public.

or at least that's what it reads like to me.

via Totilo's twitter.


FzaOjtuWwAEZtBz
 
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As someone who owns both as well, plus a Switch, I guess I'm a fucking weird one. I'm pro-acquisition, but I'm not for taking away games that were going to be multiplat. Why waste that income if you're a company like MS? Putting it on GP should be enough. I'm fine with appeal processes, but I'm not fine with MS trying to push this farther and circumvent the CMA. If they want this deal to close that badly then fuck around and find out. Meta was a cautionary tale for these huge corporations and even that deal was a merger for just millions and not billions.

As for the FTC, maybe this one is on them. They just seem unprepared, but has had plenty of time to get their shit together like other regulators around the world. Maybe I'm wrong, but I feel for a lot of cases they just try to push back at last minute and wind up scrambling.

I hate it but many of us called this last year. We said the FTC would be nothing more than a speed bump. Fact of the matter is the best lawyers in litigation don't go to work for the government. They work for law firms who are hired by companies like Microsoft. It is what it is.


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If MS gets ABK the second half of this generation will be the most important time in the history of PlayStation. I don't think Sony is ready.

If that happens, then You don't need to worry about Sony Group, as they'll receive 60-70B$ from Apple or Amazon (Maybe tencent) for their eventual acquisition of Sony Interactive Entertainment aka Playstation division

Sony is working on spinning off its financial arm within the next couple years, precisely to fuel their ability to invest by concentrating their resources into fewer markets, allowing more cash fluidity, and getting a significant cash injection from the spin-off. Which could potentially be around $10 billion. Though that's just speculation I've heard. It could be more or less. But it is expected to be substantial.

They made it clear, and even said so, that they see what's happening and they won't be left behind. This was said even at a time when it looks like ABK won't be sold. They pointed out the need to grow in entertainment and image sensors. They have increasingly shown that they believe their future is in entertainment, to which PlayStation is their big moneymaker. They already have around $15 billion in cash as it is. Plus the option of stock swaps and loans. Which, contrary to some mistaken beliefs around here, Sony actually could get quite significant amounts of. If it was their only option left. The question is just how much debt they want.

They're not selling off PlayStation, either. As I said, it is the future of their company. Sony is gearing up to be able to make a big push. Even if ABK doesn't close, I don't see them waiting to see what competitors do next. Because they will have either dodged a bullet or taken a nasty hit from it. Either way, that shot was fired. What their future moves look like, though, that is completely up for debate.
 
Nadella doesn't seem to shy away from things... i have a feeling we will see him testify

Yes, based on that docket image last page, he will be testifying in court.

So will Kotik but Kotik doesn't seem to have a lot of time.

It seems Phil got the longest time on the stand, the next longest will be the FTC's Harvard guy witness.
 
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Sony is working on spinning off its financial arm within the next couple years, precisely to fuel their ability to invest by concentrating their resources into fewer markets, allowing more cash fluidity, and getting a significant cash injection from the spin-off. Which could potentially be around $10 billion. Though that's just speculation I've heard. It could be more or less. But it is expected to be substantial.

They made it clear, and even said so, that they see what's happening and they won't be left behind. This was said even at a time when it looks like ABK won't be sold. They pointed out the need to grow in entertainment and image sensors. They have increasingly shown that they believe their future is in entertainment, to which PlayStation is their big moneymaker. They already have around $15 billion in cash as it is. Plus the option of stock swaps and loans. Which, contrary to some mistaken beliefs around here, Sony actually could get quite significant amounts of. If it was their only option left. The question is just how much debt they want.

They're not selling off PlayStation, either. As I said, it is the future of their company. Sony is gearing up to be able to make a big push. Even if ABK doesn't close, I don't see them waiting to see what competitors do next. Because they will have either dodged a bullet or taken a nasty hit from it. Either way, that shot was fired. What their future moves look like, though, that is completely up for debate.

Sony doesn't shy away from acquisitions at all. I like how you brought up Sony as a company and not just having your goggles fixed on SIE. Sony as a company has made 31 (according to wiki) acquisitions since 2020. Music, games, and pictures. I think they have entertainment on a lock and will most definitely be hungry for more.
 
How, when I got all 3? It's a FACT if/when Xbox acquires Activision they grow bigger financially and ecosystem wise FACT. It's a fact Sony will be more competitive and in the end will provide more bangers from more studios FACTS. Now get out your feelings.
I too have all three but guess what? Not everybody does. You seem to think BIGGER = BETTER. Good luck with that.
 
If MS gets ABK the second half of this generation will be the most important time in the history of PlayStation. I don't think Sony is ready.
In that scenario my "crystal ball" predicts a PS5 Pro to prolong the generation, with the Pro effectively being double or triple a PS5 so 20TF-30TF, and 40-60 RPM TF.

They'd then use the CoD marketing deal years to get the game maxed out on the Pro- even at the expense of the PS - so that even when the deal ended Series X would look like a PS5 downgrade to the Pro and Microsoft would be out of position to deliver a X Pro - taking 3years and probably worse than the PS5 Pro and not profitable or widely popular- and with the generation extended making it harder for Sony to justify a PS6, Xbox would be really struggling to release a XsX2 that bettered the PS5 Pro, meaning the market share would extend further for years, and PlayStation's attempts to replace CoD by hitting new heights on the Pro and PC graphically with substitute game would damage CoD, even if it didn't necessarily result in them having a replacement.
 
Say it pass in the ftc. Deal still really can't go thru cause of the cma tho right?

If MS gets by the FTC, the next hurdle is the CAT appeal, which still means nothing if the CMA isn't swayed. If the CAT sides with MS on the appeal, the case goes back to the CMA. CMA can dig their heels in even more and simply say no to the deal.. again. If the CAT sides with the CMA then we miss out on more months of drama and the deal is dead officially.
 
Searching the internet for answers to shit about this case is exhausting. Does anyone know the timeline for the CAT appeal? I might have spoken out of place saying that the CAT appeal will be done before the merger time-to-close.

CAT doesn't start until end of July now. 28th I think.
 
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If MS gets by the FTC, the next hurdle is the CAT appeal, which still means nothing if the CMA isn't swayed. If the CAT sides with MS on the appeal, the case goes back to the CMA. CMA can dig their heels in even more and simply say no to the deal.. again. If the CAT sides with the CMA then we miss out on more months of drama and the deal is dead officially.
But isn't the cat like after the dead line tho? Like idk if they can extend it or not? U believe that the court should have everything done before the expiration date of the deal. So do ms say screw it and close it and deal with the cat and cma later and find out what happens after ?
 
If MS gets ABK the second half of this generation will be the most important time in the history of PlayStation. I don't think Sony is ready.
I can't imagine a situation where you can be "ready" for a company worth $2.6 trillion deciding they are going to buy the entire industry just to crush you.

Sony can become "ready" by shopping themselves to Apple, Google, or Amazon. One of these companies would likely be willing to acquire them out of bankruptcy after MS has destroyed them.
 
Sony is working on spinning off its financial arm within the next couple years, precisely to fuel their ability to invest by concentrating their resources into fewer markets, allowing more cash fluidity, and getting a significant cash injection from the spin-off. Which could potentially be around $10 billion. Though that's just speculation I've heard. It could be more or less. But it is expected to be substantial.

They made it clear, and even said so, that they see what's happening and they won't be left behind. This was said even at a time when it looks like ABK won't be sold. They pointed out the need to grow in entertainment and image sensors. They have increasingly shown that they believe their future is in entertainment, to which PlayStation is their big moneymaker. They already have around $15 billion in cash as it is. Plus the option of stock swaps and loans. Which, contrary to some mistaken beliefs around here, Sony actually could get quite significant amounts of. If it was their only option left. The question is just how much debt they want.

They're not selling off PlayStation, either. As I said, it is the future of their company. Sony is gearing up to be able to make a big push. Even if ABK doesn't close, I don't see them waiting to see what competitors do next. Because they will have either dodged a bullet or taken a nasty hit from it. Either way, that shot was fired. What their future moves look like, though, that is completely up for debate.
Well they already started investing in image sensors.


So I would believe the Financial spinoff is for Entertainment. Most likely PlayStation.
 
Audio like all the others we've had so far. To the best of my understanding, I have not read anywhere that Satya will get different treatment.
I don't know if you picked me up wrong, but I meant will the audio feed be cut off to us. In camera is Latin for in chambers (held in private). No public access to the testimony for senstive reasons, like trade secrets or family. Just like Ryan's and like the figures person for Microsoft, it will be heard by both sides and the judge only.
 
I don't know if you picked me up wrong, but I meant will the audio feed be cut off to us. In camera is Latin for in chambers (held in private). No public access to the testimony for senstive reasons, like trade secrets or family. Just like Ryan's and like the figures person for Microsoft, it will be heard by both sides and the judge only.
Oh sorry, your guess is as good as mine.
 
I can't imagine a situation where you can be "ready" for a company worth $2.6 trillion deciding they are going to buy the entire industry just to crush you.

Sony can become "ready" by shopping themselves to Apple, Google, or Amazon. One of these companies would likely be willing to acquire them out of bankruptcy after MS has destroyed them.
Ugh. Imagine if all three entered the market. All it takes is a well placed shopping spree and you'd have a great chunk of rhe market. Tencent could be master cunts if they make their console and corral their investments too.

Main part of the reason I want this acquisition to fail is the other behemoths can spend over 100 bn without breaking a sweat and regulators wouldn't be able to lay a glove on them. I think the current oligopoly is better than the introduction of more disruptive sharks.
 
Sony doesn't shy away from acquisitions at all. I like how you brought up Sony as a company and not just having your goggles fixed on SIE. Sony as a company has made 31 (according to wiki) acquisitions since 2020. Music, games, and pictures. I think they have entertainment on a lock and will most definitely be hungry for more.

Thing with Sony and acquisitions is that they are typically reactionary. Over 30 years, Sony has acquired 20 studios for PlayStation. Of those, 9 have happened over the last 2 years. Almost half the companies they ever bought to stick into their PlayStation business. What happened? Microsoft bought Zenimax, right after buying 6 developers. Then they announced their intent to buy Activision. Which, I assure you, accelerated whatever talks they were in. I doubt it's a coincidence that Haven, Savage, and Firewalk haven't even released a game yet and Sony bought them after that announcement.

What I'm honestly dreading seeing, because I have a bad feeling it's going to happen, is Sony going ham and making sure to grab as much as they can. Companies you never thought they'd actually go for. In an attempt to, as much as possible, protect their revenue stream and give them access to more IP to fuel their pictures and music divisions. I'm pretty sure Microsoft, at the very least, seriously spooked them into nailing boards to the doors and windows. Time well tell, but I think a consequence of this deal, whether it goes through or not, is going to be more aggressive consolidation.
 
Typically it is. Activision and Blizzard were both better as separate companies, for example. Maybe not better for stockholders, but definitely better for gamers.

Just as easy to point to consolidation as "negative mindset" you know.

As a long time fan of Blizzard, watching their painful decline post-merger and the constant stories of Activision executive interference and influence in their operations, I can say that I despise the day Blizzard made that choice. I'm sure Mike Morhaime, the most well-known of the founders and the face of the company for ages, didn't leave Blizzard to go form a whole new big company because he was happy with how things went. Enough has been said from former devs there for how bad the company became after they were fused to Kotick's company.
 
Typically it is. Activision and Blizzard were both better as separate companies, for example. Maybe not better for stockholders, but definitely better for gamers.

Just as easy to point to consolidation as "negative mindset" you know.
In my entire consumer life, I have never seen a merger deliver anything meaningful to consumers. It's all about executives reaching their shareholder goals and getting bonuses.

At very best, things stay the way they are.
 
So do ms say screw it and close it and deal with the cat and cma later and find out what happens after ?

If MS were to close the acquisition in the USA prior to the CAT hearing I'm not sure the CAT hearing would go ahead.

At that time MS would have specifically broken UK law … Difficult for MS to go to that tribunal having shown disregard for the law, and the CMA - CAT process.

Probably the next thing that would happen is the CMA taking MS to court in the UK - not about the acquisition itself, but about the very obvious legal transgression.

Personally I think MS will just wait it out and hope to take a federal court ruling in their favor to CAT and try to expedite the process.
 
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If MS were to close the acquisition in the USA prior to the CAT hearing I'm not sure the CAT hearing would go go ahead.

At that time MS would have specifically broken UK law … Difficult for MS to go to that tribunal having shown disregard for the law, and the CMA - CAT process.

Probably the next thing that would happen is the CMA taking MS to court in the UK - not about the acquisition itself, but about the very obvious legal transgression.

Personally I think MS will just wait it out and hope to take a federal court ruling in their favor to CAT and try to expedite the process.
Would that work? Couldn't MS have already done this with the approval of the EU or other countries? Or does CAT have a special bond with the US, so decisions there play any role in expediting the process?

In return, the CMA could extract some findings from the current proceedings that speak against MS, if that's the case, couldn't it?
 
Would that work? Couldn't MS have already done this with the approval of the EU or other countries? Or does CAT have a special bond with the US, so decisions there play any role in expediting the process?

In return, the CMA could extract some findings from the current proceedings that speak against MS, if that's the case, couldn't it?

The CAT has already been expediting things at MS request - it's not because of the US decision, it's because MS is making a big song and dance about July 18. Originally the CMA side wanted the CAT in September.

So MS will hope for an early CAT decision to kick it back to the CMA and then see how little they can get away with to get over the line.
 
The people who say ms will leave uk are insane to be honest
Do you guys know that Ms are still doing business in Russia despite all the western sanction
I really don't think they will abandon the uk market
 
As a long time fan of Blizzard, watching their painful decline post-merger and the constant stories of Activision executive interference and influence in their operations, I can say that I despise the day Blizzard made that choice. I'm sure Mike Morhaime, the most well-known of the founders and the face of the company for ages, didn't leave Blizzard to go form a whole new big company because he was happy with how things went. Enough has been said from former devs there for how bad the company became after they were fused to Kotick's company.

In my entire consumer life, I have never seen a merger deliver anything meaningful to consumers. It's all about executives reaching their shareholder goals and getting bonuses.

At very best, things stay the way they are.

I remember growing up with PC gaming in the 80s and the names "Activision" and "Electronic Arts" meant games that were high quality. But then they grew and acquired, consolidated, etc. No one will convince me those companies today are better at what they do than 20+ years ago.

Awkward John Krasinski GIF by Saturday Night Live
 
If MS were to close the acquisition in the USA prior to the CAT hearing I'm not sure the CAT hearing would go go ahead.

At that time MS would have specifically broken UK law … Difficult for MS to go to that tribunal having shown disregard for the law, and the CMA - CAT process.

Probably the next thing that would happen is the CMA taking MS to court in the UK - not about the acquisition itself, but about the very obvious legal transgression.

Personally I think MS will just wait it out and hope to take a federal court ruling in their favor to CAT and try to expedite the process.
Wouldn't that be with Activision agreeing to an extension first? Who would say they would go with the sale this time. Wish stuff like this can go back much faster. Whole year just takes forever
 
If MS gets ABK the second half of this generation will be the most important time in the history of PlayStation. I don't think Sony is ready.
How though?

I mean if contracts hold true, Those (COD) important titles will remain on PS just as it is now.

I don't believe much that comes from Spencer mouth but those behavioral remedies kinda cements it.
 
Man looking at that Spencer quote about acquisitions. How insulting to the FTC lawyers, like they don't understand how acquisitions work? So condescending.
 
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