Microsoft / Activision Deal Approval Watch |OT| (MS/ABK close)

Do you believe the deal will be approved?


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The selfish side of me wants this deal to go through and them to make CoD exclusive to Xbox/PC immediately only so Jim Ryan might finally revive SOCOM in order to have their own shooter.
Some people want to watch the world burn brother, just to see a little bit of light. I want SOCOM too.

Not sure I want it bad enough to actually want the deal to go through though. I prefer Microsoft to get a gut check so they are a bit less ambitious in the future. If this deal it's not so bad in the present. It's what Microsoft does next that worries me.
 
He was literally letting her put words in his mouth.

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Kinda don't know why the FTC are so focused on the console for pushing this through. Maybe they feel it's the console side which would see immediate harm and to some level I can understand that.

But IMO that immediate harm should be focused more on the means MS can leverage the backend of things against a direct competitor. Leveraging their large capital influx of non-gaming money to subsidize a predatory pricing strategy through Game Pass for acquired content (Jim Ryan alluded to this today). Leveraging ABK content to force wholesale service deals with direct competitors (preventing them from choosing ABK content ala carte for their service; we JUST had emails released the other day proving MS did this or seriously considered doing this with Zenimax). Leveraging ABK ownership and assets as a marketing tool to pull more 3P publishers to Azure and other MS-owned development resources to create trickle-down effects for Xbox & Game Pass that therefore can help sustain forms of predatory pricing tactics for Game Pass to appeal to end users/customers in ways direct competitors like Sony cannot realistically nor fairly match, etc.

Instead it's mainly hinged on stuff like trying to prove partial foreclosure of COD content on PS harms/doesn't harm gamers, are exclusives good/bad for gamers, etc. MS's lawyers seem like they're framing a lot of things off of pro-consumer marketing points which are basically ESG arguments. The wild part is the FTC outright said MS's public deals, which were in ways showboating for ESG brownie points, would have no sway. But a lot of the FTC's witnesses are playing into rebutting MS's lawyers on grounds of ESG-laden arguments, and I don't know if the FTC lawyers have done a good enough job tying the aforementioned things into the console side of this argument to drive home an immediate risk to the market if MS chooses to close the deal over resistant regulatory bodies.
 
a large quantity of people surveyed don't even play COD... how "odd" ... say what?

5% would switch according to the survey he used.
Then he converted that to a worldwide survey somehow.
And he ended up with 20% would switch?

P.S He didnt actually read the survey.


Judge pulls the plug......go eat and think about what youve done then comeback.

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Some people want to watch the world burn brother, just to see a little bit of light. I want SOCOM too.

Not sure I want it bad enough to actually want the deal to go through though. I prefer Microsoft to get a gut check so they are a bit less ambitious in the future. If this deal it's not so bad in the present. It's what Microsoft does next that worries me.

They basically laid out their whole playbook in those emails. If this deal fails they will go buy IOI, Sega, FromSoft, CDPR, etc from that list. 70Bn tied up in Activision might be a good thing because it will prevent them from buying devs that core gamers actually care about for a bit.
 
They basically laid out their whole playbook in those emails. If this deal fails they will go buy IOI, Sega, FromSoft, CDPR, etc from that list. 70Bn tied up in Activision might be a good thing because it will prevent them from buying devs that core gamers actually care about for a bit.

Those were considerations not a bucket list...
 
They basically laid out their whole playbook in those emails. If this deal fails they will go buy IOI, Sega, FromSoft, CDPR, etc from that list. 70Bn tied up in Activision might be a good thing because it will prevent them from buying devs that core gamers actually care about for a bit.

Lol, there's no way they'd get the Japanese publishers. Even without Sony and Nintendo skulduggery.
 
They basically laid out their whole playbook in those emails. If this deal fails they will go buy IOI, Sega, FromSoft, CDPR, etc from that list. 70Bn tied up in Activision might be a good thing because it will prevent them from buying devs that core gamers actually care about for a bit.
Maybe...but they are going to do it carefully. If they are bold enough to try make purchases of this magnitude (which very few devs/publishers would be worth this much), they might take some consideration and try to avoid putting themselves in this same predicament.

I'm not saying Microsoft shouldn't be able to buy any dev or publisher ever again. I'm just saying they should try stop shoe-horning it into their business because they are cautious of what google, amazon or (to a lesser extent) sony is doing.
 
Kinda don't know why the FTC are so focused on the console for pushing this through. Maybe they feel it's the console side which would see immediate harm and to some level I can understand that.
My guess: The console side of things has the data and harm can somewhat be measured. Cloud is way more speculative.

The CMA doesn't have the same burden of proof that the FTC does. So while the CMA can say "We are worried that this may cause XYZ to happen in the cloud market", the FTC would have to show that is what would happen.

If they can't make their case on the current console market, they won't be able to make a case for a market that is blossoming.
 
My guess: The console side of things has the data and harm can somewhat be measured. Cloud is way more speculative.

The CMA doesn't have the same burden of proof that the FTC does. So while the CMA can say "We are worried that this may cause XYZ to happen in the cloud market", the FTC would have to show that is what would happen.

If they can't make their case on the current console market, they won't be able to make a case for a market that is blossoming.
I think the CMA sees more than you think they see. Even the EC agreed with the CMA's cloud description. Just one chose remedies, which the latter has yet to provide the full report on them.
 
I mean to be fair, Xbox did this during the 360 era. Though this is not Phil's era. There was no court case at the time to put all this into the spot light but I mean look what happened with Tomb Raider. First one was multiplat, then Microsoft bought exclusiveity for a year for the second one. This was definitely in Phil's era. I'm sure there are other examples. One might even try to say that getting games on Gamepass when Sony did not have a competing service could be seen as similar practice. I mean who's gonna buy Outriders for $60+ when you could subscribe to gamepass for it?

Even Sunset Overdrive was Microsoft dipping it's hands in Sony's 2nd party cookie jar. Then Sony bough Insomniac. Same thing happened with Bethesda, though obviously for a much higher price and transferring MULTIPLE IPS to the Xbox wheelhouse.

Insomniac is a developer. Bethesda\Zenimax was a Publisher with MANY developers within it. BIIIIIIIG Difference!
 
I think the CMA sees more than you think they see. Even the EC agreed with the CMA's cloud description. Just one chose remedies, which the latter has yet to provide the full report on them.
Wasn't a criticism of the CMA, was more of a comparison of how high each regulators burden of proof is. FTC's being higher than the CMA's.
 
Why is this even a thing? Made up just to get everyone to pick a side based on nationalism/politics.
Microsoft didn't just up and decide it was going to buy Activision. Activision's stocks were falling and they decided to sell. Sony doesn't have the type of cash on hand. I guess neither does Tenscent, so who would everyone prefer buy Activision? There aren't many companies that could comfortably do so other than Amazon, Microsoft, Apple, or Google.
 
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I don't see how you can see this as her tearing him apart.

She's being as obtuse and ignorant as your standard lawyer. Just using tricks to try and force yes and no answers from questions that aren't that simple.

Of course, that's what she's being paid to do. It's not about the truth, it's about the quality of the argument and getting your opponent to say what you want them to say.
It's actually about the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth.
 
Wasn't a criticism of the CMA, was more of a comparison of how high each regulators burden of proof is. FTC's being higher than the CMA's.
By who? Who said this "burden of proof" narrative?

Microsoft didn't just up and decide it was going to buy Activision. Activision's stocks were falling and they decided to sell. Sony doesn't have the type of cash on hand. I guess neither does Tenscent, so who would everyone prefer buy Activision? There aren't many companies that could comfortably do so other than Amazon, Microsoft, Apple, or Google.
Activision is doing great for themselves at the moment. Their shares even went up AFTER the CMA decision.

They righted their ship with good games, who knew?
 
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Microsoft didn't just up and decide it was going to buy Activision. Activision's stocks were falling and they decided to sell. Sony doesn't have the type of cash on hand. I guess neither does Tenscent, so who would everyone prefer buy Activision? There aren't many companies that could comfortably do so other than Amazon, Microsoft, Apple, or Google.
I think a lot of them rather tencent buying them based on their desperation for the deal to be blocked.
 
I wonder what they mean by "CoD" exactly, anyway.

Campaign? Multiplayer? F2P Warzone? All of them?

rename the in development "Call of Duty: Warzone 3.0" to "Warzone" and completely decouple it from the main franchise, only release it on Xbox and PC.
then release the classic CoD style games without BR and Extraction mode on other systems.

that sould be sneaky
 
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If your American and don't support Microsoft. You are a traitor to your flag!

Hahahhaa I jest I jest
We have enough of those already here. No joke.

Hahahah are you serious??
Where outside of FUD channels has Tencent ever been linked to Activision? Do they even have $70b cash on-hand? I bet they don't.

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We have enough of those already here. No joke.


Where outside of FUD channels has Tencent ever been linked to Activision? Do they even have $70b cash on-hand? I bet they don't.

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To be fair i'm sure they could come up with it real quick if they needed it for something like Activision though...
 
Not really, I'm seeing a lot of disinterest in Microsoft taking Activision under their wing, but they are the ones most suited for the job.
Activision is fine on their own. MS's studio management track record the past 10+ years is why they are not suited for the job.

To be fair i'm sure they could come up with it real quick if they needed it for something like Activision though...
Once again, show me where they were ever linked in talks, outside of people just conjuring it up or repeating it as FUD.
 
Activision is fine on their own. MS's studio management track record the past 10+ years is why they are not suited for the job.


Once again, show me where they were ever linked in talks, outside of people just conjuring it up or repeating it as FUD.

Show me where Microsoft were ever linked in talks prior to their surprise announcement...?
 
We have enough of those already here. No joke.


Where outside of FUD channels has Tencent ever been linked to Activision? Do they even have $70b cash on-hand? I bet they don't.

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Dude we already know activision set up their stall to sell. You can't be naive enough to think tencent did not look into it. I mean do we hve evidence either way?
 
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