United States Election: Nov 6, 2012 |OT| - Barack Obama Re-elected

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Protein said:
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EDIT: we need a gif reversal of this for when we have PANIC news.
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this scene shouldve been at this speed normally
 
MightyKAC said:
This is the worst fucking day to be working on a military base :p
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Hahaha, imagine how it was for me today at the Army Depot. The SECOND I walk into work the Republican bloc who works under me started aggressively attacking every bit of positive Obama news

Favorite comment?

"I read on The Blaze that the reason Romney is airing in Pennsylvania is because all the other airwaves are full. He's going to lose PA, I'll concede that. But the only reason any other news is positive is because the remainder of the money Obama can't spend on commercials is being used to pay off media outlets and pollsters. WAKE UP Liberal pussy."

Mind you, this is the Vietnam Vet who admitted to raping a 14 year old in Vietnam during a "black out event."
 
I think it's fucking nonsense that states get called with 1% of precincts in. "Well, 64% of the 1% of counted votes went to ____, so he is the winner". The fuck is that shit?
 
Sirpopopop said:
Don't think Indianapolis has reported in just yet.

If Donnelly is in the 40s before Indy comes in, might as well bank that shit.
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No Marion (Indianapolis) or Lake (Gary) yet. But as Vigo county goes, so goes the nation (even though I hate x has never won without y stuff)
 
Gary Whitta said:
Even if Romney wins I don't see how anyone can attack Nate Silver. He hasn't predicted anything, all he's done is calculated the statistical probabilities for each candidate winning. If Romney wins Silver can say yeah, that happened within the 9% probability my model accounted for. But I guess that won't make much difference to all the partisans out there attacking him already for using math.
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I think the issue that some have is that it's a bit of a weasel out. While others are putting out their predictions, Silver can still say that he wasn't necessarily "wrong", regardless of the outcome, and won't have to eat as much crow as everyone else. That argument ignores the differences between the two approaches, however, but that difference isn't very significant in the competitive crow-eating circuit.
 
ElTopo said:
For some reason I always assumed Australia was an open, tolerant, "left", "liberal" country.
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A lot of people are. Sadly Australians also have a tendency to succumb to political "fuck the current guy, lets vote for the other one" syndrome every election, even when that "other one" happens to be a homophobic racist wanker. I'd like to think my country is smart enough to make a dumb mistake like that, but we'll see.
 
Rentahamster said:
I think the issue that some have is that it's a bit of a weasel out. While others are putting out their predictions, Silver can still say that he wasn't necessarily "wrong", regardless of the outcome, and won't have to eat as much crow as everyone else. That argument ignores the differences between the two approaches, however, but that difference isn't very significant in the competitive crow-eating circuit.
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HE won't be wrong, the polls will have been biased against Romney, which isn't something he can control.
 
EatChildren said:
A lot of people are. Sadly Australians also have a tendency to succumb to political "fuck the current guy, lets vote for the other one" syndrome every election, even when that "other one" happens to be a homophobic racist wanker. I'd like to think my country is smart enough to make a dumb mistake like that, but we'll see.
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Thats a more recent phenomenon, John Howard lasted forever.
 
Rentahamster said:
I think the issue that some have is that it's a bit of a weasel out. While others are putting out their predictions, Silver can still say that he wasn't necessarily "wrong", regardless of the outcome, and won't have to eat as much crow as everyone else. That argument ignores the differences between the two approaches, however, but that difference isn't very significant in the competitive crow-eating circuit.
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How is it a weasel out? If his poll aggregator worked any other way it wouldn't be statistics!

These are probabilities. It's "only" 90% Obama will win.. by default, 1 out of 10 times Romney will win. It's important to realize this is as far from a weasel out as possible. It is the only way statistics work.
 
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