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United States Election: Nov 6, 2012 |OT| - Barack Obama Re-elected

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Sadsic

Member
tumblr_m7rosqNUOy1rxm2hko1_400.gif




EDIT: we need a gif reversal of this for when we have PANIC news.

this scene shouldve been at this speed normally
 

Amir0x

Banned
This is the worst fucking day to be working on a military base :p

Hahaha, imagine how it was for me today at the Army Depot. The SECOND I walk into work the Republican bloc who works under me started aggressively attacking every bit of positive Obama news

Favorite comment?

"I read on The Blaze that the reason Romney is airing in Pennsylvania is because all the other airwaves are full. He's going to lose PA, I'll concede that. But the only reason any other news is positive is because the remainder of the money Obama can't spend on commercials is being used to pay off media outlets and pollsters. WAKE UP Liberal pussy."

Mind you, this is the Vietnam Vet who admitted to raping a 14 year old in Vietnam during a "black out event."
 

strobogo

Banned
I think it's fucking nonsense that states get called with 1% of precincts in. "Well, 64% of the 1% of counted votes went to ____, so he is the winner". The fuck is that shit?
 

-Kees-

Member
Don't think Indianapolis has reported in just yet.

If Donnelly is in the 40s before Indy comes in, might as well bank that shit.

No Marion (Indianapolis) or Lake (Gary) yet. But as Vigo county goes, so goes the nation (even though I hate x has never won without y stuff)
 

Rentahamster

Rodent Whores
Even if Romney wins I don't see how anyone can attack Nate Silver. He hasn't predicted anything, all he's done is calculated the statistical probabilities for each candidate winning. If Romney wins Silver can say yeah, that happened within the 9% probability my model accounted for. But I guess that won't make much difference to all the partisans out there attacking him already for using math.

I think the issue that some have is that it's a bit of a weasel out. While others are putting out their predictions, Silver can still say that he wasn't necessarily "wrong", regardless of the outcome, and won't have to eat as much crow as everyone else. That argument ignores the differences between the two approaches, however, but that difference isn't very significant in the competitive crow-eating circuit.
 

EatChildren

Currently polling second in Australia's federal election (first in the Gold Coast), this feral may one day be your Bogan King.
For some reason I always assumed Australia was an open, tolerant, "left", "liberal" country.

A lot of people are. Sadly Australians also have a tendency to succumb to political "fuck the current guy, lets vote for the other one" syndrome every election, even when that "other one" happens to be a homophobic racist wanker. I'd like to think my country is smart enough to make a dumb mistake like that, but we'll see.
 

Amir0x

Banned
I know and I still voted YES on Prop 30 which raises my 1% taxes. I'm a 1%er you can trust!

I'm skeptical, Gary, but I believe... because THE WALKING DEAD videogame was tight as shit, and coming from someone who hates Heavy Rain... surprise of 2012 total.
 

Angry Grimace

Two cannibals are eating a clown. One turns to the other and says "does something taste funny to you?"
I think the issue that some have is that it's a bit of a weasel out. While others are putting out their predictions, Silver can still say that he wasn't necessarily "wrong", regardless of the outcome, and won't have to eat as much crow as everyone else. That argument ignores the differences between the two approaches, however, but that difference isn't very significant in the competitive crow-eating circuit.

HE won't be wrong, the polls will have been biased against Romney, which isn't something he can control.
 
A lot of people are. Sadly Australians also have a tendency to succumb to political "fuck the current guy, lets vote for the other one" syndrome every election, even when that "other one" happens to be a homophobic racist wanker. I'd like to think my country is smart enough to make a dumb mistake like that, but we'll see.

Thats a more recent phenomenon, John Howard lasted forever.
 

Amir0x

Banned
I think the issue that some have is that it's a bit of a weasel out. While others are putting out their predictions, Silver can still say that he wasn't necessarily "wrong", regardless of the outcome, and won't have to eat as much crow as everyone else. That argument ignores the differences between the two approaches, however, but that difference isn't very significant in the competitive crow-eating circuit.

How is it a weasel out? If his poll aggregator worked any other way it wouldn't be statistics!

These are probabilities. It's "only" 90% Obama will win.. by default, 1 out of 10 times Romney will win. It's important to realize this is as far from a weasel out as possible. It is the only way statistics work.
 
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