I wonder how this generation is going to play out, sales wise.
Microsoft will end up selling over 80 million Xbox 360s (yet be in third place for the generation behind the PS3), amassing most of those thanks to some colossal blunders from Sony.
Now that Microsoft is making some massive blunders of their own, and Sony appears to be making all the right moves, Microsoft could be in for a hugely rude awakening.
Don Mattrick is credited for a lot of the 360's success, but I'd argue that most of it was established thanks to J Allard's team that designed a good system, for a reasonable price, that offered features you couldn't get anywhere else for a while. Sony came in substantially higher and lacked significant online infrastructure not to mention games. Yet their brand still was able to survive throughout all of this to come out on top.
Kinect really wasn't a big success, yet Microsoft has convinced themselves of its importance enough to where it's a requirement for the system. That ship has sailed, in my view. Whatever gimmickry sold back in 2010 is not going to have repeatable success today. People have seen what limited capabilities the device has for gaming.
It wouldn't surprise me to see the next Xbox sell less than 50 million consoles in the coming generation. Playstation has far too many advantage going into next-generation, and their global brand power looks to only strengthen in markets outside of the US. As for America itself, coming in at a lower price and with a more powerful package will have a huge impact and draw back the PS2 crowd that switched over to the 360.
Xbox One probably won't do as badly as Wii U out of the gate, but I can see it really struggling like the PS3 was, and not managing to have the recovery that accompanied that system.