Since I am finally at a PC, here was that thing about neutrals I had written but couldn't access on mobile because google spreadsheets is a dick:
Also, lets take a look at the player list right now:
ScraftyDevil: Confirmed town, has received an item.
CornBurrito: Can give those items, confirmed by Scrafty (not likely to be scum)
EzekelRAGE: Can steal votes from people, will get a double vote in place, confirmed by vote counts (not likely to be scum)
Xamtheking: Claims cop (unconfirmed)
squidyj: Green checked by Xam (scum pr could still have influenced this)
Redfalco: Green checked by Xam (scum pr could still have influenced this)
Roytheone: Got blackmailed by probably Shelly de Killer, what that does exactly and the alignment of Shelly are unknown.
Crimsonfist
Flathearthpandas
Matt Attack
Salvapot
StanleyPalmtree
StarSketch
TheGoddamn (his vote got stolen last night, but that is inconsequential for him being scum or town)
Zubz
Out of this list of people that aren't linked with a night action yet, I am feeling pretty good for now about Crimsonfist (high count poster, but hasn't done anything too suspicious with the exception of being OK with the mass name claim) and Matt Attack (he is very reactionary, mostly only posting when asked things, but made that big anti TWE post well before it was a certainty that he was going to be lynched). I am suspicious of Salva (QuantumBro with his weird "I will just follow Scrafty and avoid any accountability for my vote" business, Drago that keeps prod voting for a long while even after he said he was suspicious of TWE, extremely safe read list) and Starsketch (A bunch of weird posts, but I remember from Gafia 1 that is just kinda how she plays. However, her interactions with TWE yesterday with the way she kept saying she was suspicious of him, but never go all the way of actually voting on him, looks VERY scummy to me). I think that between Drago and Starsketch, we have 1 scum, I seriously doubt they are both scum with the way TWE and Sketch voted for Drago. The 4 remaining players I don't have a very strong opinion on yet.
He already said he was Lana skye. The Green/Red thing is just another way to say "he turned up as town/ he turned up as not-town".
Why are you hinting at having a PR in your first post? What are you, a clone of Xam?
Also:
Thank you for this is info, its a pretty good recap. Also I am not hinting at a PR, at least not yet, and its hardly my first post since I have to make do with what my predecessors did, but honestly? I think its pretty tame, I'll elaborate in my answer to Scrafty, but I want to point a few things out about your neutral laws.
based on the win condition of edge, three options regarding neutrals:
option 1: all neutrals have killing powers. This will make the part about neutrals in their win condition the same as ours: they still need to be removed for them to win. Their being a neutral could even save us from a loss if they reach 50 % of the votes but a killing neutral is still present (but we will probably still lose, only just a day later).
option 2: The neutrals can win win scum, but not with us. Worst case scenario. This will make neutrals basically extra scum members, since they will probably actively work towards a scum win while also trying to achieve their win condition to maximize the ways they can win. Unlikely to me.
option 3: neutrals will lose when scum achieves their win condition and they havent reached theirs yet. Best case scenario. Our win condition is way easier for a neutral to prospone then scums, since we will need to remove or kill the neutral. That means that a situation would be possible where we killed all the scum, and only a non lethal neutral survives. Since no night kills would be happening, it would be easy to just let the neutral reach his win condition and let us all win. The neutral will be most likely to side with us.
out of those 3 options, I would say 1 is most likely, followed by 3 and then 2.
So we know Scum wins when killing all other active killing roles, this hints that there are neutrals that can win by siding with mafia. And town only wins by eliminating everyone else. So we can assume:
1) There are neutrals for sure.
2) There are neutrals that can only win killing everyone else.
3) There are neutrals that DON'T have an active killing ability, so they can win by surviving.
But there is something you didn't mention that I think has another interpretation:
You win when your team makes up at least 50% of the living player list, and there are no other active killing abilities remaining.
This could also be referring to town-Vigilantes, not necessarily a neutral. We know Franziska was a town vigilante, so even if scum had 50% during the night, there is a chance town could have won if her priority was better. Or there could be more town aligned killing roles. Franziska is dead now, so who knows if this still relevant for this discussion, but its an idea we shouldn't dismiss.
VOTE: SalvaPot
I don't believe that Star is guilty, but the constant swapping of Quantum (who everyone thought was initially suspicious)'s position as well as some of the things Drago said are making me nervous.
Sorry Salva, though you have yet to do anything particularly suspicious, the fathers have eaten a sour grape, and the children's teeth are set on edge.
Will elabourate in detail once I have more time to gather my thoughts.
I have looked back at QB initial display and I have to say, its "scummy" but not definitive. Following a confirmed town role its a fair albeit "safe and boring"suggestion, and although I admit his reaction when he was called out on it was poor (And by poor was "Oh good please don't suspect me" awful), now that I am on his shoes I have been looking at the people who put that pressure on him more closely, it seems like classic search for the first lynch. As you may all know, I am extremely against Day 1 lynch, with a few exceptions, and its been proven time and time again that we always hit town or worst, a PR, because on the first day there is nothing to see and all you can do is probe for info that might be useful later.
Right now the info is that QB ( aka me) reacted badly when asked for motivations... but again this seems more like a narrative, and excuse, to base accusations and get a lynch going. Its fair play, Its hard to be the one under the mirror and constantly suspected. When you are town and you are suspected you feel awful because you just know people are wrong about you, how to prove otherwise? See at Starketch.
The thing is, the ONLY way to remove suspicion for you, is to either change topics and try to prove yourself through work, or get confirmed by someone trust worthy. The problem is that in this game, if you trust someone too much... he is either going to die or you are going to be betrayed.
QB I don't think really felt the pressure that much, and the narrative was not as harsh on him when he was suspicious as today seems, if you back and read it was Star and Worthy that were leading the discussion... but honestly I think it was cowardly that people decided not to vote out QB before he was switched, and then after, because it pretty much proved that they had no real good reasons to vote for him in the first place.
Drago, on the other hand, had it harder. Everyone got FAR more suspicious of QB when he was switched. He couldn't handle the pressure, so he must be scum, right? Of course now I am him, so now I have that context to work with. Dragon then had to carry that stigma and try to make do. Now he had to answer for actions that other player did, actions that really mean nothing to him. This is the situation I am now, I can't possibly understand what their idea was. I can only interpret. As I see it, QB was playing it safe to avoid suspicion and survive long enough to be useful and the innocuous idea he threw around was instantly, aggressively used against him. Drago then had to fight an uphill battle, minding his words so people won't auto-lynch him for what QB did.
But I think everyone realizes how silly it is to think that only suspicious people are scummy, and only town leaders are town. With that in mind, think about it. Is it likely QB and then Drago were town all along?
Me? What they did is irrelevant. They are they, I am me. I can try and explain why they did and acted like they did, but all is going to be speculation based on my role pm and was has happened on the thread. Right now (THIS IS NOT A ROLE CLAIM) I am a Role Cop that have stolen Drago's identity, but have no idea what he was doing with it before.
And Scrafty, you are playing it mad safe voting for me. You are doing exactly what QB did on day 1 when he decided to follow you, why is that? As the only confirmed town we have so far, you should be leading on gathering more information, not circling around the info you have. Me and Star are there for you guys to lynch if you can't figure it out anything else, but are we really not going to at least try to get someone else to talk?
Because scum (and neutral/vig) have been targeting mid to low tier kills right now, and they are killing those who have yet to speak up.
So really, if anyone is town and its not speaking up, maybe you won't be lynched because everyone will ignore you in discussions, but you will likely be targeted by killing roles.