Baseball
60 Million
110
Hockey
3 million
118
The 3 million number accounts for so very little. It's exclusive to those who can play the game on ice, which is difficult, rather than including those who may play road hockey every so often (I bet there are many more people in this regard).
And if you still don't believe me
It's not a matter of "believing" you. You're going off purely what you provide to me. It's a matter of taking these supposed statistics and applying them, which you aren't doing. You think they speak for themselves and I disagree.
go grab a copy of Sports Illustrated dated June 14th, 2004 and find an article on the globalization of sports by L. Jon Wertheim with a nice graphic on international television ratings broken down by sport. Hockey is clearly behind baseball.
AND LIKE I SAID, television ratings HAVE EVERYTHING TO DO WITH POPULARITY and baseball has higher ratings than hockey worldwide.
Well, no. Popularity is a very loaded word. Once you begin equating it with pure success, you're taking a hell of a lot out of it. The MLB has made itself extremely international. It is available to practically everyone who plays the game, across many, many countries. The NHL has not achieved this. They have much different priorities. The NHL has had to worry about domestic success, whereas the MLB has seen to provide access to any single untapped market. Yet, hockey is number one in a handful of countries where the NHL isn't even aired. I think you're way too quick to equate television ratings to popularity.
eg, more Japanese than Americans watched the World Series - now, if Russia were to get the NHL and embrace it as they do the sport, you'd see the TV ratings for hockey rise considerably.
More abstract: my sister's bf from Scotland is staying with us. He watched every game of the NHL Finals and regretted that they didn't get the games back home. We had an Expos game on and he said he finds the sport boring and that they get a fair amount of coverage in the UK. Don't focus on the personal preference, of course, but the circumstances.
Another great example of success not being attributable to popularity is the Super Bowl. Millions and millions of worldwide viewers who don't watch or play the game otherwise. I don't think that's as much a testament to the sport as it is the strengths of the NFL.
That said, I'll admit now that the sports are much closer than I had thought. Baseball might even have the edge. I don't think television ratings or estimates [based on what??] are good representation, but they do indicate to some extent.
Concerning my ignorance, maybe my problem is that I tend to bunch a lot of the Central/South American countries together. They're very similar, whereas the European countries are more discernable. Venezuela barely exists to me and yet it almost has as many people as Canada. Yet Sweden, more prominent, has just 8 million. But concerning "popularity", I'm not about to define which has the advantage by estimates or TV ratings [explained why].