I know. I thought you were referring to the more vocal banking economists. In terms of economists in general, I have no idea why they hold onto their models.
Damn you physicists and your showboating globetrotter algebra!
In a deterministic world, this stuff should be possible to predict. Macroeconomics really is in it's infancy and compared to science we're still praying to gods (such as Keynes, Marx, Mises, Friedman, etc) and consulting astrology charts. We're a long way off being able to make predictions with any accuracy. Vince's point is mostly that successful models are probably not just going to come from the field of economics, but from and with the help of neuroscience, psychology, anthropolgy, and so on. There's so much about how humans act, even on an individual level let alone socially, that we don't know, that in the grand scheme of things claiming knowledge of economics with the surety that a lot of people do really seems to be jumping the gun.
Do you miss having to switch out the Rumble Paks for the Memory Pak every time you want to save
?I haven't read all that much about the singularity stuff, but I don't quite understand why the first "super AI" would be motivated to create something better than itself. Even if it did, would that AI be at all interested in improving human life at all?
They looked pretty meh but for $5 you can't go wrong! Wired PC headset with mic I think.
Constantly. I unplugged our phone. Would get at least 2 calls a month from arseholes. If I was home I would take the pleasure of telling them I was going to creep into their room at night and hold them down and slice out their eyeballs with a pen knife as slowly and painfully as possible and would do so to every one in the world that they loved.
Great sign! Hope it is a great place and the moons align.
They had DJ Hero Renegade Pack on PS3 which is like a massive table for the turntable as well as the game and table for $21 but I would never use it. Just like the DJ Hero 2 pack I paid $30 for.
Why would it want to improve itself? Why are we sure that it would even have that motivation? This AI self improvement seems to be a core idea to the "singularity", but this motivation part I can't quite understand. I can't see how technological improvement could remain to be exponential when all it would take is the AI not giving a fuck, or turning off his giving a fuck pre preprogramming, and the whole things stops and we're all enslaved to better the "life" of software.
Evolution happens partially because biological organisms not suited to their environment get killed off before they can reproduce. If an AI is just software, surely it can be self replicating and doesn't need to die. We're already storing shit in the cloud. Surely advanced robots can just back themselves up wirelessly to Godaddy storage and whatever happens to them physically doesn't matter. Maybe I'm not thinking this through, but I can't see how natural selection could apply to the kind of AI capable of self improvement.
This is self repogramming AI we're talking about. If someone has programmed it a certain way, it can just turn that part off as it wants.
You make that bit inaccessible to the AI. Like human brains, any self-aware AI is going to have conscious and sub-conscious processes with urges geared toward survival, self-improvement and self-replication. If you make part of the process of self-replication inscrutable to the conscious AI itself (like human reproduction is to our own conscious minds), then you guarantee that the basic plan doesn't deviate while you improve other features.
I reckon I might! I have a feeling the one that used to be near the old Myer will be an untapped resource. I hope.
The technological singularity (which you brought up!x3n05 said:
) by the proponents definition involves greater than human artificial intelligence. It's not just processing power doing the heavy lifting. It's smarter than human stuff. This guy reckons by 2045 "$1000 buys a computer a billion times more powerful than all human intelligence today." He also reckons that machines will be making planet sized computers by 2099 and that all matter in the universe will be a giant computer by 2199. Weird stuff.Human reproductive desires are only inaccessible to us because of our limited knowledge. There's no reason to think we couldn't one day change that stuff. The AI we're talking about is the superintelligent AI thought to be an inevitability by proponents of the singularity which can improve itself by it's nature. Any attempt to limit it's self improvement would either be pointless, because it's by definition more intelligent that any human, so could likely figure out a way around it, or self defeating, as X3n points out, those without limitations on their self improvement would prevail via something like natural selection. Maybe unnatural selection.
Evolution is basically a series of accidents. AI improving itself is an act of will. I don't see that you can draw conclusions on one based on the other.
