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AusPoliGAF |OT| Boats? What Boats?

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Quasar

Member
The 25hrs a week of an WFD or like activity for under 30's amuses me given Fulltime Study is considerably less than that. At least in theory.
 

Omikron

Member
The 25hrs a week of an WFD or like activity for under 30's amuses me given Fulltime Study is considerably less than that. At least in theory.

Is it really? Or is this wholly dependant on course? Not sure it was considerably less.

I remember doing 4 subs x (3x1hr lectures + 1x1hr tute) + at least 2 of those subs would have 3 hr pracs per week. Adds up pretty quick.
 

Dead Man

Member
The 25hrs a week of an WFD or like activity for under 30's amuses me given Fulltime Study is considerably less than that. At least in theory.

Full time study in theory is considerably more than that in theory. Students may do less hours, but contact hours are not the only hours you will be studying.
 

Quasar

Member
Is it really? Or is this wholly dependant on course? Not sure it was considerably less.

I remember doing 4 subs x (3x1hr lectures + 1x1hr tute) + at least 2 of those subs would have 3 hr pracs per week. Adds up pretty quick.

Well for TAFE for instance, full time is pretty much 20 hours of class time a week. I think Uni is a bit more complicated by how universities calculate that kind of thing differently. But as I recall, to qualify for Austudy you need to do 75% of a fulltime load.
 

Quasar

Member
Full time study in theory is considerably more than that in theory. Students may do less hours, but contact hours are not the only hours you will be studying.

As I said in theory. Outside class depends on a lot of factors, like the kind of course and the individual.

Certainly I've cruised through subjects with little outside study beyond exam prep. And then with others weekends being totally taken up by study.
 
Question: What are the actual numbers of long term unemployed in this country? Are we talking thousands of people? Ten of thousands? Hundreds of thousands? I'm not talking about someone who got made redundant from their factory job six months ago and has had a hard time finding a new gig, but a full-on, given-up-on-life intergenerational, unrepentant dole bludger who surfs every day he isn't huffing paint or getting multiple girls teen-pregnant.

I just want to get a sense of the scale of the problem and the actual drag this has on the rest of the economy. If conservatives get so riled up about giving these people money, surely the effect the transfers have has to be significant, right? They cannot surely be so ardently punitive about this sort of thing if the actual size of the problem were negligible.
 
Full Time Study is theoretically defined as (at least) 30 hours per week* during program time (which is (13*2=)26 weeks of course time + (2*1) 2 Study Weeks + (2*2) 4 weeks of exams , so 32 weeks a year, which works out as 960 hours / year ) .

*Its 30 CP per semester. And 1 CP is supposed to represent one hour of time per week to Pass the course for an average student.

Most full time study will actually be ~40 CP because you won't get through the courses in the time allotted otherwise. If you're doing a double degree or extra majors you may be doing 50 at times (though you need to get special permission to do 50 or more). 60 is the maximum that most university will let you do.

But all of the above is less meaningful than it seems because the CP value of courses is frequently adjusted to fit the 30-40 CP alllocated per semester. Micro-Electronic Engineering for example is full of 5 CP courses in first year, that frequently have more than 5 hours of contact time between Lectures/Tutes/Labs and still require additionals study, so someone in that degree doing "30 CP" is really doing 40+ in other courses.
 
Question: What are the actual numbers of long term unemployed in this country? Are we talking thousands of people? Ten of thousands? Hundreds of thousands? I'm not talking about someone who got made redundant from their factory job six months ago and has had a hard time finding a new gig, but a full-on, given-up-on-life intergenerational, unrepentant dole bludger who surfs every day he isn't huffing paint or getting multiple girls teen-pregnant.

I just want to get a sense of the scale of the problem and the actual drag this has on the rest of the economy. If conservatives get so riled up about giving these people money, surely the effect the transfers have has to be significant, right? They cannot surely be so ardently punitive about this sort of thing if the actual size of the problem were negligible.

Those people aren't actually considered unemployed (because it would demonstrate how high the unemployment rate really is and that would be politically toxic). The figure you're looking for is called the participation rate, which is the percent of the populous of working age who are actually in the employment market (ie looking for work or employed). The participation rate hangs around 65% , so ~35% of people aren't in the market for some reason or another. These aren't all "bludgers", some are independently wealthy , some are unemployed for tax / legal reasons (like NDAs that prohibit working for a competitor or being someone who's "career" is being a criminal) , some are retirees, some are students, many have gone so long without being able to find work they fall into this category (to hide the level of unemployment).

To get the number you're looking for you'd need to work out how many people of working age (16 and over) are in the other categories and subtract them (students should be relatively easy because Secondary ,University and TAFE enrolment numbers are public record), retirees can probably be approximated via the government concessions that most of them get some form of (Senior's Card , Pension, etc). The others would be really hard to get good measures of.

Edit - I should explicitly note that many people in these categories aren't eligible for the benefits discussed (eg full time students can't claim the dole, nor can retirees, etc)
 
Wait a minute - What kind of shady accounting is this? How many people just fall off the wagon like that? What's the cut off? Unemployed for more than a year? What is the actual unemployment rate then? That's the percentage of the population who want to work that isn't?
 
Wait a minute - What kind of shady accounting is this? How many people just fall off the wagon like that? What's the cut off? Unemployed for more than a year? What is the actual unemployment rate then? That's the percentage of the population who want to work that isn't?

The unemployment rate is the percentage of the participation rate that is unemployed (so people who are actively looking for work). Once people have been unemployed so long they give up they drop out of the unemployment rate and a lot of the student pool would probably prefer to be working but see study as a "safer" option. I'm not sure how they define the cutoff for "given up", in America its after a certain period out of work (but their social safety net cuts off at that point), not sure how we handle it since our safety nets are generally less crap .
 

mjontrix

Member
Wait a minute - What kind of shady accounting is this? How many people just fall off the wagon like that? What's the cut off? Unemployed for more than a year? What is the actual unemployment rate then? That's the percentage of the population who want to work that isn't?

You want the underemployment rate then.

http://www.roymorgan.com/morganpoll/unemployment/underemployment-estimates

Then if you want to see people who want to work (but can't get more hours, or just can't find a job) combine with the unemployment rate.

And yes, it's pretty bad - it's actually HIGHER than in '08.
Feb's result alone is 20.3%!

Whole of '08 didn't exceed 14%.

But that's Roy Morgan's calucation not the ABS btw.
 

hidys

Member
Wait a minute - What kind of shady accounting is this? How many people just fall off the wagon like that? What's the cut off? Unemployed for more than a year? What is the actual unemployment rate then? That's the percentage of the population who want to work that isn't?

It is officially defined as someone who

-has worked for less than 1 hour a week.
-is part of the labour force (over a certain age and not a student or disabled etc)
-has looked for work within the last 4 weeks
 

D.Lo

Member
It is officially defined as someone who

-has worked for less than 1 hour a week.
-is part of the labour force (over a certain age and not a student or disabled etc)
-has looked for work within the last 4 weeks
Yep, a pure bullshit statistic. Borderline fraudulent definition.
 

hidys

Member
Yep, a pure bullshit statistic. Borderline fraudulent definition.

It's one of the things I prefer about Roy Morgan, which only has two basis for being considered unemployed.

-Are you out of work?
-Are you looking for work?

Simple and accurate.
 

Fredescu

Member
So is Paul Keating going to be expelled as well for agreeing with Ferguson or is the ALP just looking for a scapegoat?

I would say a core tenet of any center left party should be "natural monopolies must be publicly owned" so I would have no problem expelling both Keating and Ferguson for that. We're talking about the center right ALP though, so yeah, scapegoat.
 

hidys

Member
My own view is that giving Ferguson the arse has been a long time coming, hence why they are thinking about kicking him out now. Hell is should have been booted when he endorsed IR deregulation.

The NSW thing is just an excuse.

I would say a core tenet of any center left party should be "natural monopolies must be publicly owned" so I would have no problem expelling both Keating and Ferguson for that. We're talking about the center right ALP though, so yeah, scapegoat.

I really don't think booting Keating is fair or even good politics. Dude is responsible for many key reforms and is one of the most forward thinking PM's ever.

Martin Ferguson is nothing but a shit kicker for the oil and gas lobby.
 

Arksy

Member
So you're using him an example to remove any element of individual thought and expression in the party and to enforce group think?
 

Jintor

Member
Ferguson, they're basically saying they're kicking him out because he disagrees.

Surely it depends on the depth of the disagreement right? I don't have any insight into this specific example, but if someone's not in with the aims/tenants of a group than naturally they're not going to be considered part of the group, right? A political party isn't just accept whoever comes your way, theoretically at least they're supposed to have common ideals...

I'm sure I'm missing something obvious :T
 

Fredescu

Member
Ferguson, they're basically saying they're kicking him out because he disagrees.

What's wrong with that? If the Arksy Libertarian Front had a member who wished to seize the means the production and turn it over to the state, I think you'd be justified in kicking him out.
 

Arksy

Member
It's just one or two issues that he disagrees with, it's not like he's done an ideological about face. Not to mention the issues he disagrees with has a few other labour legends who think the same way he does.

For example, on the poles and wires fiasco we had Ferguson, Keating, Iemma and some union boss who all agreed with the coalitions plan. It's not like he's been inconsistent either, he's thought that way for years on this issue.

This just seems to be a witch hunt.
 
A

A More Normal Bird

Unconfirmed Member
My own view is that giving Ferguson the arse has been a long time coming, hence why they are thinking about kicking him out now. Hell is should have been booted when he endorsed IR deregulation.

The NSW thing is just an excuse.

I really don't think booting Keating is fair or even good politics. Dude is responsible for many key reforms and is one of the most forward thinking PM's ever.

Martin Ferguson is nothing but a shit kicker for the oil and gas lobby.
This. Not his first trip to the rodeo.

Ferguson, they're basically saying they're kicking him out because he disagrees.

 

Dead Man

Member
From the same link:
Mr Ferguson — the former federal resources minister, now the head of a peak oil and gas industry group — gave an interview to an industry website in which he said "this misinformation we've got, led by my own party — the Labor Party of NSW — is just a bald lie".

Yeah, seems reasonable to keep him :/
 

hidys

Member
The dude was a prick even before he left parliament.

He is now the person he is because he tried to undermine any environmental actions that the ALP took.

No wonder that Tony Abbott wept when he left parliament or that his own brother hates him.
 

DrSlek

Member
Well I'm glad this guy is running our finances. Seems to know what he's talking about...

0p4nsf6.jpg
 

Arksy

Member
Yeah he called out what he believed was a lie. Good to know that it's reason for expulsion from the ALP. Seems more like the rest of the ALP are the bad guys here.
 

Myansie

Member
If he's running TV adverts that's a lot more than just disagreeing. Disagreeing is Albanese publicly questioning the meta data laws. Running a TV ad campaign is on a whole other level. I can't see the Libs giving that a pass either.
 
Did Albanese publically question them? Saw what was likely a strategic leak (from his office) late in the day but I can't find any hard evidence of public question after the ALP officially through in.
 

Dryk

Member
He didn't run the ads.

It's really interesting watching the Labor right run around like headless chooks when someone on the power industry payroll is advocating for privisation of power infrastructure.
 

Myansie

Member
He didn't run the ads.

It's really interesting watching the Labor right run around like headless chooks when someone on the power industry payroll is advocating for privisation of power infrastructure.
Got to admit i know nothing about it. Just going off the quote above.
 
Anyone been watching 'Making Australia Great' on the ABC? Absolutely fantastic viewing, really eye opening.

Nah this is the first I've heard of it, but it sounds basically like a TV version of his book The Australian Moment which I read and enjoyed.

What do you think?

What kind of shitty answer is this
Why don't you actually answer the question instead

But since you posed a question, I'll be polite and try to answer yours

(1) Those six individuals who comprise the graduating record are kind of pale so hahah andrew bolt is a champ hahah

(2) UNSW had to edit the comments because people probably said racially insensitive things hahaha that's so funny
 

Mr. RHC

Member
B-b-but they said it's not a supremacist rally:

"This is not a supremacist rally, it will simply be Patriotic Australians of all nationalities & beliefs standing united against radical extremism!"
 
B-b-but they said it's not a supremacist rally:

"This is not a supremacist rally, it will simply be Patriotic Australians of all nationalities & beliefs standing united against radical extremism!"

The I'm not racist but... brigade.

Saw Pauline Hanson was at the Brisbane one, probably desperate for attention now that Jackie Lambie seems to be going after her constituency..
 
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