BBC: Republican Establishment Getting the Trump

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tokkun

Member
The only evidence they have of the establishment actually backing Trump is a paraphrased version of this quote:

Bob Dole explicitly said pretty much exactly what this article is claiming. And if you feel like Dole no longer counts as being in the establishment since he is retired, Chuck Grassley just gave a speech at a Trump rally in Iowa.

"We have an opportunity once again to make America great again," Grassley said, echoing Trump's campaign slogan.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/01/chuck-grassley-introduces-donald-trump-at-iowa-rally-218147
 

riotous

Banned
Bob Dole explicitly said pretty much exactly what this article is claiming. And if you feel like Dole no longer counts as being in the establishment since he is retired, Chuck Grassley just gave a speech at a Trump rally in Iowa.

Interesting, Thanks. Looks like Trump got his first active politician endorsement?

I don't see a Dole quote in the article that even mentions Trump; how is that evidence that Dole supports backing him? Nobody is claiming the GOP isn't anti-Cruz; but taking an anti-Cruz quote as pro Trump is jumping to conclusions. The article says a lot more than merely "GOP doesn't want Cruz" so the Dole quote is nowhere near "exactly what the article is saying."

It's not a well written article; it's almost entirely the authors words with very little quoting and sourcing of his claims.
 

danm999

Member
People hate Cruz more than is possible to believe.

John McCain sided with Trump in the Trump v Cruz birther spat.

And this is after Trump made fun of McCain for getting captured in Vietnam.
 

tokkun

Member
Interesting, Thanks. Looks like Trump got his first active politician endorsement?

I don't see a Dole quote in the article that even mentions Trump; how is that evidence that Dole supports backing him? Nobody is claiming the GOP isn't anti-Cruz; but taking an anti-Cruz quote as pro Trump is jumping to conclusions. The article says a lot more than merely "GOP doesn't want Cruz" so the Dole quote is nowhere near "exactly what the article is saying."

It's not a well written article; it's almost entirely the authors words with very little quoting and sourcing of his claims.

The NYT article from a few days ago has better quotes from Dole:

But in an interview Wednesday, Mr. Dole said that the party would suffer “cataclysmic” and “wholesale losses” if Mr. Cruz were the nominee, and that Donald J. Trump would fare better.

“I question his allegiance to the party,” Mr. Dole said of Mr. Cruz. “I don’t know how often you’ve heard him say the word ‘Republican’ — not very often.” Instead, Mr. Cruz uses the word “conservative,” Mr. Dole said, before offering up a different word for Mr. Cruz: “extremist.”

“I don’t know how he’s going to deal with Congress,” he said. “Nobody likes him.”

But Mr. Dole, 92, said he thought Mr. Trump could “probably work with Congress, because he’s, you know, he’s got the right personality and he’s kind of a deal-maker.”

http://www.nytimes.com/politics/fir...d-cruz-and-says-donald-trump-would-do-better/
 

border

Member
Assuming that Trump comes out ahead in most of the primaries, what venues does the establishment have to stop him? Would Cruz have be the second choice, or could they pick whoever they want as nominee for the general election?
 

tokkun

Member
Assuming that Trump comes out ahead in most of the primaries, what venues does the establishment have to stop him? Would Cruz have be the second choice, or could they pick whoever they want as nominee for the general election?

The delegates are only required to vote for the candidate assigned to them from the primary for the first ballot of the nominating convention. Thus, if any candidate wins a strict majority of all delegates, they get the nomination.

After that first ballot they are free to vote for whomever they want.

I am skeptical that the establishment would want the delegates to reach down to the 2nd-place candidate (assuming that was Cruz) let alone the 3rd-place candidate unless the results were very close. That seems like it would run the risk of fracturing the Republicans and creating a true third party.
 

Slayven

Member
Cruz's levels of personal despicableness must be off the charts. There are even people who're aligned with him politically who want him buried.

I wish there were more anecdotes from folks like his college roommate.

Even Paul Ryan has gone out his way to say fuck you to Cruz.

Dude must be utterly and totally unlikable.

Makes you think what stars aligned to get him elected in the firs place
 

border

Member
The delegates are only required to vote for the candidate assigned to them from the primary for the first ballot of the nominating convention. Thus, if any candidate wins a strict majority of all delegates, they get the nomination.

I'm assuming that's not really possible with as many candidates as there are, correct?

I get the sense that they will have to deal with Trump, simply because nobody is going to screw him over in favor of Cruz.
 

davepoobond

you can't put a price on sparks
the thing about Trump is that the things that are unabashedly against the constitution won't be done -- it'll be hard to get Congress to agree to those sorts of things (hopefully) and we still have a court system. once you excise that from his platform, he's not as awful as Cruz is because Cruz uses the constitution to curb people's rights.
 

Clefargle

Member
This should be amazing, can't wait for the right to either:

Leave Trump out in the cold in the GE with very little voter turnout.

Or openly espouse their bigotry and own the shit they've been dog whistling about for decades.
 

tokkun

Member
I'm assuming that's not really possible with as many candidates as there are, correct?

I get the sense that they will have to deal with Trump, simply because nobody is going to screw him over in favor of Cruz.

I would not go so far as to say impossible. No votes have been cast yet, and these races can take strange turns. We don't really know who will drop out early and where their support will go.

However odds are it will be harder to get a majority than in past years simply because an inordinate number of states are doing proportional allocation of delegates this cycle rather than winner-take-all.
 

Vibranium

Banned
Imagine if this man became president.

TUoYc3v.jpg

So what you're saying is that Trump is hiding his true appearance using the Force, and if he's electrocuted his disguise (and hair) will melt off, exposing his real face?
 

RPGCrazied

Member
The rallying around Trump is disgusting. I bet they think to themselves he will eventually implode, but he is still here topping the polls. Making the GOP look like lunatics. Every last one of them.
 
I'm voting Bernie in the primary and Hilary in the general, but if I had to pick a GOP candidate, it would be Trump. F*** the Neocons.
 
Yep that's what I said before, if they don't kick him out Trump will have BIG chances to become president because they'll put their support behind him, that means lots of cash. So far Trump has done all this on his own with the party against him, but once they decide to rally behind him he's going to win the presidency if it doesn't light a fire under Hillary's backers to stop him.

I put the chances of Trump winning the presidency at 60% right now.

Party support isn't going to conjure up vast throngs of voters to offset all the moderate swing voters who'll vote against him. He's doing really well only among a group that votes conservative at the moment, in the general he simply does not have the support. Even when taking into account the so-called "secret shamed voter" demographic people think Trump is creating, that's still not enough to make up for nearly every single minority who will vote against him.

I'm 100% sure he'll lose the general.
 

params7

Banned
Where is that poster from the other thread a week ago arguing that Trump has no chance, that al the supporters of Carson, Cruz, Rubio and Bush will flock to anyone but Trump as he drops.

Trump is getting the nom guys, it is happening.

It will be nice to reminisce on August and pre-August Trump threads. Nobody here believed Trump would get so far.

I wonder just how far Trump can really go.
 

Blader

Member
Isn't it strange that Trump being a "deal maker" is being touted as one of his strong points when a huge reason why so many Republicans hate their elected officials in Congress is because they make deals?
 

Ether_Snake

安安安安安安安安安安安安安安安
Party support isn't going to conjure up vast throngs of voters to offset all the moderate swing voters who'll vote against him. He's doing really well only among a group that votes conservative at the moment, in the general he simply does not have the support. Even when taking into account the so-called "secret shamed voter" demographic people think Trump is creating, that's still not enough to make up for nearly every single minority who will vote against him.

I'm 100% sure he'll lose the general.

The issue is people not coming out to vote on the Dems side, and people rallying to go and vote on Trump's side.

Isn't it strange that Trump being a "deal maker" is being touted as one of his strong points when a huge reason why so many Republicans hate their elected officials in Congress is because they make deals?

This is about the establishment, not what people like. Trump presents himself as anti-establishment, but they know he'd work with the party to get things done, unlike Cruz who is a loner.
 
The issue is people not coming out to vote on the Dems side, and people rallying to go and vote on Trump's side.

Democrat turnout is actually decent on presidential elections. The problem with turnout tends to be the midterm elections, which are just as important but they're not seen as "sexy".

I think there'll be a rally for Democrats considering how much of Trump's platform is straight up evil. I can easily see people going out just to vote against him, but I don't think the democrats will even need that.
 
Party support isn't going to conjure up vast throngs of voters to offset all the moderate swing voters who'll vote against him. He's doing really well only among a group that votes conservative at the moment, in the general he simply does not have the support. Even when taking into account the so-called "secret shamed voter" demographic people think Trump is creating, that's still not enough to make up for nearly every single minority who will vote against him.

I'm 100% sure he'll lose the general.

Fien58u.png


Trump will probably lose, barring a terrorist attack or economic crash
 

AlteredBeast

Fork 'em, Sparky!
Isn't it strange that Trump being a "deal maker" is being touted as one of his strong points when a huge reason why so many Republicans hate their elected officials in Congress is because they make deals?

Dealmaker and dealtaker are totally different things. Right wing crazies think that any deal is automatically a total concession on demands. With them it is frankly "what we want or we burn it all down."

In this sense, they presumably see Trump as being able to force others to take deals that somehow always end up in Conservative's favor, despite the fact that on many topics, Trump is fairly left on...
 

Jonm1010

Banned
It will be nice to reminisce on August and pre-August Trump threads. Nobody here believed Trump would get so far.

I wonder just how far Trump can really go.

I'm hoping no further then past the primaries.

A Trump presidency is pretty damn frightening.
 

Ether_Snake

安安安安安安安安安安安安安安安
Democrat turnout is actually decent on presidential elections. The problem with turnout tends to be the midterm elections, which are just as important but they're not seen as "sexy".

I think there'll be a rally for Democrats considering how much of Trump's platform is straight up evil. I can easily see people going out just to vote against him, but I don't think the democrats will even need that.

Trump's platform after getting the presidential nominee will probably change a lot and be very attractive to centrists. He's not an idiot, he'll try to beat the Dems.
 

Blader

Member
This is about the establishment, not what people like. Trump presents himself as anti-establishment, but they know he'd work with the party to get things done, unlike Cruz who is a loner.

I know this isn't your philosophy you're defending, but the idea of voting for a guy precisely because he's not part of the establishment, but the caveat that he will also work hand in hand with that despised establishment, is... well, a perfectly Trump-ian rationalization.

Trump's platform after getting the presidential nominee will probably change a lot and be very attractive to centrists. He's not an idiot, he'll try to beat the Dems.

Other people have said this too, but that is one hell of a long plank to walk back from.
 
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