Ascend
Member
People love saying that, but ultimately, it is pretty much always relevant. That the pullback happened pretty much exactly at the previous all time high on Jan 28th is not a coincidence.TA has nothing to do with anything here.
If you look at the image I posted a few posts back in spoiler tags, it retested the line it broke out of, exactly on it, and bounced. Again, not a coincidence. The bounce got rejected at 0.78, meaning that is our new resistance level.
The main time that TA is not relevant is when we just break all time highs. That's not the case here, because we're still lower than the ATH of January. And even when it goes beyond ATH, market cycles at the lower time frames can help with discerning how things are developing. You can't predict the top, because there are no resistance levels. But you can identify if something is parabolic, overbought, losing strength etc.
TA is based on the idea that every news, thought, idea and sentiment is priced in the market, and by looking at price behavior, you can discern what is likely to happen.
It is always possible we simply go higher. But we have a bearish top candle on the 2h. So... Yeah. What I think is likely right now is a retracement to around 0.55 - 0.60 and then another bounce. If it goes below that, the next target is 0.40 - 0.45.
Old and updated chart, without changing the info I posted on it before;