I want to believe... but are you basing that prediction on GGG's last fight alone?
I think I've seen literally all of Golovkin's fights bar a couple blow outs at the very beginning of his career. Might have even seen those if there were tapes, because I knew of him well before he went pro as his amateur career was remarkable.
Three things:
- I think he is slightly past it. Nothing wrong with that at his age, but the Brook and Jacobs fights did lay some weaknesses bare.
- He is hittable. The majority of opponents he faced so far couldn't really capitalize too much on it, many lacking either skill or power or both (although Jacobs had a good combination of both and got somewhat close). Golovkin cannot walk through Alvarez' punches and will not be able to apply pressure the same way he usually does. On top of that, Canelo has improved quite a bit since losing to Mayweather.
- No experience with being on the back foot or in a losing position. I feel like that was a pretty big factor for Kovalev a few days ago (and many other unbeaten fighters who faced defeat). I can't say for sure how he would handle such a situation but it's something worth considering when betting on the fight.