J.P. Tasker said:All told, more than 140,000 people will have voted for the next federal leader when all the ballots are counted.
In the last leadership -- more than a decade ago in 2004 when Stephen Harper cruised to victory on the first ballot -- 97,397 voted. So, that's a considerable improvement although there were only three candidates in that race. When you have 13 candidates running, there will be more memberships sold.
Rising-Tide said:Reports stating that more than 140k votes have been counted. May still rise as in-person votes are tabulated. In the last Conservative leadership race in 2004 there were 97,397 votes. In the last Liberal leadership in 2013 and NDP race in 2012 there were 104,552 and 65,108 votes, respectively. That means this leadership race is easily the largest in Canadian history.
I didn't even vote. Never got a ballot in the mail...
O'Leary is out and Kellie Leitch doesn't appear to be a threat so I'm not too upset.
I wonder how many of those are paper Conservatives like me who got scammed into paying for a membership to be anti-O'Leary.
I didn't even vote. Never got a ballot in the mail...
O'Leary is out and Kellie Leitch doesn't appear to be a threat so I'm not too upset.
and your mailbox and email probably get spammed with CPC crap
Exactly, in fact most conservatives out West realize that it is a good decision to have someone from Quebec to bridge the East/West gap. As expected most people not from the West assume we want our guns and oil but in reality most of us will vote cons because we want more money in our pockets,less government intervention and less taxes. The West has zero belief that the government is good at doing good things with taxpayers money so less government is attractive.
It's my understanding that you could have gone to the convention centre or one of a few polling stations to vote in person as they would have provided a ballot for you there once identification was provided, but given the current timing (the time to vote was 10-4 EST) it's far too late to do so. Either way, don't rule out Leitch just yet: Let's not forget she raised 1.4 million in the past three weeks, making it the 2nd highest amount of any candidate, second only to Bernier himself. While that doesn't necessarily translate to first or second choice ballot spots in her favor, it's indicative of the sizeable amount of support she does possess. She is unlikely to win given the ranked ballot favors 2nd/3rd/4th slots that Leitch's more divisive policies would make it unlikely for her to be anybody's runner-up, but it's not entirely impossible.
Seems like there's gonna be a few rounds just because the people with like a percent or less of support need to be broken up.
Sheer is going to win thisThe Race for Stornoway: Round 1
14. Obhrai, 0.41%.
13. Saxton, 0.5%.
12. Peterson, 0.65%
11. O'Leary, 1.07%
10. Alexander, 1.12%
9. Blaney, 1.26%
8. Raitt, 3.34%
7. Leitch, 7% (ouch)
6. Lemieux, 7.38%
5. Chong, 7.55%
4. Trost, 8.35%
3. O'Toole, 10.65%
2. Scheer, 21.92%
1. Bernier, 28.89%
Scheer is in close 2nd in the first round. I think he's got it.
Should O'Leary's votes be broken first?
Where do Leitch's voters go when she's eliminated, I wonder?
Beauce
Maxime BERNIER 47.54%
Andrew SCHEER 46.63%
Doesn't bode well for Mad Max.
Bernier broke 50% of the vote in Justin trudeau's riding.Interesting.
Bernier broke 50% of the vote in Justin trudeau's riding.Interesting.Micheal Chong did amazing in Outremont.
There are probably less than 100 members in that riding. It's inconsequential.
Nope. He withdrew too late to have his votes voided. Instead, Obhrai's 139 points get reallocated.
That'll be followed by Saxton, then Peterson, then O'Leary, and we'll still only have about 5% of the points reallocated by that point!
Once this is over, it should be interesting to see a rank of the most valuable ridings in Canada in terms of what each vote counted for.Yep, 52 votes in Papineau I think. 1 vote got them 1.92%.
You're in luck, according to Peter they're announcing the second through seventh ballots next.ETA: At this rate, it will finish past midnight. I still can't get over the ridiculous number of candidates.
Leitch is still in there, but just barely. Depending on how the next round goes, she could be eliminated before Lemieux, which is surprising.
You're in luck, according to Peter they're announcing the second through seventh ballots next.
It would be bad for bernier if he barely gets above 50% at the end of this.
It would be bad if bernier barely gets above 50% at the end of this.
Lemieux's voters will go to Trost once he's off, and then both of their voters will go to Scheer. That alone gets him to almost 40%.
I think O'Toole voters go Scheer as well, since they were competing for that same middle-of-the-road vote. That gets him to just over 50%.
Given how it's looking, I think him squeaking over 50% is a best case scenario.
GAF is telling me Scheer is looking good but Mr. Wonderful is saying Bernier so who do I believe guys
Trost was apparently saying that many of his supporters voted for only him and Lemieux.Lemieux's voters will go to Trost once he's off, and then both of their voters will go to Scheer. That alone gets him to almost 40%.