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Canadian PoliGAF - 42nd Parliament: Sunny Ways in Trudeaupia
- Thread starter matthewwhatever
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Buba Big Guns
Banned
Chong surprise win pls.
Only decent candidate there.
Only decent candidate there.
Chong is getting eliminated next. And yeah, I'd be surprised if we don't see the major chunk of them go to O'Toole.
Round 8-10 Results:
Probably. I don't seem many of them going for Trost.
Bernier's lead is shrinking, so it's becoming increasingly more likely we won't have to worry about going back to the gold standard.
Probably. I don't seem many of them going for Trost.
matthewwhatever
Member
They may just not have anyone else on their ballots. But I'm guessing O'Toole and maybe Scheer.
At this point, I don't see how Bernier jumps to 50%+1. He doesn't have a natural alignment with any of the remaining candidates.
I could see Bernier getting a chunk of Chong's voters, since he's libertarian on social issues.
Mike Works
Member
A Chong win would be nice, but I'm just so happy that Leitch got kicked to the curb so quickly.
matthewwhatever
Member
Chong just got eliminated.
matthewwhatever
Member
I wrote a paper back in October for my Political Management program about why she'd be the best candidate. I think the last several months have validated that.
gutter_trash
Banned
Gérard Deltell is going to be rewarded by Sheer for boosting Sheer's support in Qc
matthewwhatever
Member
Deltell endorsed & organized for O'Toole, so he didn't have much to do with it. This is all Bernier drastically underperforming in a riding where he should've coasted to a massive win.
gutter_trash
Banned
gutter_trash
Banned
Trost, Troast,Trowest
matthewwhatever
Member
Scheer pulls ahead of Bernier in Beauce:
That's got to be pretty embarrasing for Max Max.
That's got to be pretty embarrasing for Max Max.
Dr Campino
Member
My girlfriend just pointed out the instrumental "Cake by the Ocean," hahahah.
I generally find her insufferable, but she does tick many boxes for the CPC:
-Western candidate
-Young
-Not from the middle-age socially
-Immigration skeptic
-Pro-pipelines, low-taxes, deficits are the devil, etc.
-Well spoken and very good at being outraged, something conservatives like more than anything
Not sure how's her French though.
Deltell vs. Rempel in 2020?
matthewwhatever
Member
Rempel's French is decent -- better than most of the candidates this time around. I think that if they turf Scheer after losing in 2019, Deltell & Rempel are sure to be in. O'Toole would probably make another run for it, too. And thanks to his strong finish here, I unfortunately don't think we've seen the last of Trost.
...I mean, he's not lying.
...I mean, he's not lying.
Buba Big Guns
Banned
Cant see the CPC ever winning with Scheer (or even Bernier tbh)
gutter_trash
Banned
Troast is jelly
Round 11 Results:
Bernier's now 6% lead continues to carry him through these rounds ahead of Scheer (I believe the closest they were was about 5 during the 2nd-10th).
Side-note: We may not have Harper massacring Sweet Caroline, but someone is clearly guilty of murdering Cake By The Ocean...and I don't even like that song.
Scheer is basically a younger Harper so...probably if people vote against Harper-lite like they did Harper Classic.
Bernier's now 6% lead continues to carry him through these rounds ahead of Scheer (I believe the closest they were was about 5 during the 2nd-10th).
Side-note: We may not have Harper massacring Sweet Caroline, but someone is clearly guilty of murdering Cake By The Ocean...and I don't even like that song.
Scheer is basically a younger Harper so...probably if people vote against Harper-lite like they did Harper Classic.
matthewwhatever
Member
Scheer is safer than Bernier, but his French is atrocious, which means that they're writing off Quebec.
Dr Campino
Member
Everyone shitting on O'Leary is great
matthewwhatever
Member
They don't, but odds are good they pick Scheer as the next least-objectionable candidate. Personally, I find Scheer to be way too socially conservative, but if I were a CPCer, I think I'd find him more palatable than Bernier from an electoral standpoint.
Expansion Pack
Member
holy... possible upset incoming?
killer rin
Member
Looking like O'Toole supporters will be the deciding vote here
matthewwhatever
Member
There's little to no chance Bernier gets enough O'Toole voters to pull this off. Scheer has it.
All down to Mr. Rock-Rib whom everyone likes.
You Are Viewtiful
Member
Not necessarily. That 21% is composed of all the 2nd/3rd/4th etc. choice of the people who voted for the previous failed candidates.
killer rin
Member
True, I just mean more form the stance of people having him higher up on the list
matthewwhatever
Member
Which is kind of crazy, because even though he's a hardcore social conservative, Scheer also makes Harper look like a charismatic dynamo. He's, like, the human equivalent of lukewarm water and dry toast.
Dr Campino
Member
I've pretty much decided I don't favour either one, probably because I'm left-leaning.
But, like many of you, I don't think either one will win in 2019.
But, like many of you, I don't think either one will win in 2019.
matthewwhatever
Member
So if Scheer wins this, and then either Singh or Ashton win for the NDP, Trudeau will be the oldest major party leader in 2019. That'd be a pretty abrupt generational shift!
From a partisan Liberal perspective, I'd slightly favour Bernier, since I think he'd render the whole party unelectable, whereas Scheer just means they're writing off most francophone voters. But yes, neither of these guys would be palatable for me in terms of having acceptable policies. I thought O'Toole and Raitt were the only ones who were even remotely moderate, and even then, they were both fairly conservative.
From a partisan Liberal perspective, I'd slightly favour Bernier, since I think he'd render the whole party unelectable, whereas Scheer just means they're writing off most francophone voters. But yes, neither of these guys would be palatable for me in terms of having acceptable policies. I thought O'Toole and Raitt were the only ones who were even remotely moderate, and even then, they were both fairly conservative.
What, the 30 second extreme closeup of Bernier's face while he sat there nervously?
matthewwhatever
Member
Your 2019 election messaging today:
matthewwhatever
Member
Final announcement coming in five minutes!
matthewwhatever
Member
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