CBS: 46,000 Pennsylvania Democrats have switched to Republican due to Trump

Status
Not open for further replies.
Doesn't profiting extensively from a practice that you personally disagree with kind of harm your credibility in opposing said practice, though?

It does absolutely. And that's one of the main criticisms I've seen Cruz supporters say about Trump with his made in China stuff.
 
Hillary is not Obama.

Democratic Candidates for state supreme court just swept statewide elections in an OFF YEAR election by 300K votes.

Philadelphia could have stayed home entirely and they still would have won.

Pennsylvania is a State I'll never understand.

not that hard. extremely rural middle (with the exception of harrisburg, which isn't that big) bookended by Philadelphia at one end and pittsburgh at the other.
The PA primary is so late in the voting season that it rarely ever matters for presidential contests- Obama vs. Hillary is the only significant one I can think of, and mathematically it was extremely implausible she would have won by that point anyway.

LOTS of democrats were talking about switching to vote for Trump because Hillary vs. Bernie is a foregone conclusion and isn't really all that interesting.
 
I don't know that it's really possible yet to quantify to what extent it's true, but every one of these polls that comes out convinces me that the demographic advantages the Democrats have recently had in the electoral college might go out the window if Trump is the republican nominee and Hillary's the democratic.

Doesn't mean he'll win. But it's going to be weird. Too close for my liking!
 
We are all going to die.






you dont need to switch parties to vote republican in most states. 91k democrats voted for Republican candidates in the Michigan primaries without switching parties.
You sure that's true in most states, particularly the one in question?

Here in NY, you can only vote in the primary for the party you are registered with.
 
Democratic Candidates for state supreme court just swept statewide elections in an OFF YEAR election by 300K votes.

Philadelphia could have stayed home entirely and they still would have won.



not that hard. extremely rural middle (with the exception of harrisburg, which isn't that big) bookended by Philadelphia at one end and pittsburgh at the other.
The PA primary is so late in the voting season that it rarely ever matters for presidential contests- Obama vs. Hillary is the only significant one I can think of, and mathematically it was extremely implausible she would have won by that point anyway.

LOTS of democrats were talking about switching to vote for Trump because Hillary vs. Bernie is a foregone conclusion and isn't really all that interesting.

Oh we're talking about the Primary not the General. So would expect these Dems to still vote Democratic in the General. They just want to make sure that Trump wins.

I got no issue with that.
 
This is more a symptom of the Democratic party's weakness than anything else.
 
The scariest parts of DonaldTramp is how he makes shit I thought unrealistic look plausible. Not just the Simpsons calling it, nor the fact he did theatrics and wrestling like Commancho, but mainly cos of shit I read in comics like Norman Osbourne and Lex Luthor being president and I thought that shit is stupid and unlikely they are pretty much evil and yet.... Here we are. I don't know what to think when Jimmy Carter thinks Trump can be worked with. Maybe in best case scenario, Trump is some Machiavellian progressive Manchurian candidate who should he become president do a heel-face turn who will pull of a hood screaming: "IT'S ME AMERICA! I WAS A LIBERAL ALL ALONG!!!!!!" I doubt it but a guy can dream.
 
I'm in PA and switched from independent to Democrat this year.

46k isn't that many when 2.2 million Dems 700k Repubs voted in the '08 primary here.
 
Poor white people finally have a candidate that cares about them. Well, Bernie cares too, but I guess he comes off as too, uh, European.
 
When the Democrats sends its people to the other side, they’re not sending their best. They’re not sending you. They’re not sending you. They’re sending people that have lots of problems, and they’re bringing those problems to the Republicans. They’re bringing drugs. They’re bringing crime. They’re rapists. And some, I assume, are good people.
 
I'm in PA and switched from independent to Democrat this year.

46k isn't that many when 2.2 million Dems 700k Repubs voted in the '08 primary here.
Could be a trend though. Could be that more could switch. Could be that these 46.000 could be the hair on a close election. Thing is, people should make surr abot the could and would not and generally look into this phenomen. Better be safe than flayed alive.
 
A few thousand did this in Massachusetts too. More people voted in the Democratic primary anyway. It's meaningless to try and extrapolate any information out of this kind of stuff right now.
 
I don't understand troll voting for Trump to ensure a Clinton election. Do people really think at this point that Trump would fair worse than Cruz? Really?
 
This is more a symptom of the Democratic party's weakness than anything else.

Is it strange that I don't find the Democratic party that particularly weak? They're running two very popular (among their party's base at least) candidates, one of whom came into this as an extreme long shot and the other running as the third term for a well-liked Dem president, on largely policy- and issue-based campaigns wide wide demographic appeals. And they have pretty good chances of retaking the Senate this year too.

Maybe the GOP circus has just lowered the bar more than I realized, but I don't really think of Democrats being structurally weak, outside of DWS' leadership I suppose.
 
Could it be that they are switching to republican to vote for trump just because they know there is no way he wins the general election? Like they know either democrat will beat trump so by ensuring he gets the nomination there is no way a republican can become president? That's the only way I can rationalize people voting for trump.

It would be stupid to do so because Trump easily has the best chances of beating Hillary or Sanders among the republican candidates.

If primary trolls want to make sure a democrat wins the general elections they should go vote for Cruz.
 
I just came back from the hospital because a family member had to get a procedure done and while I'm waiting a bunch of nurses and a doctor started talking about how much they loved Trump and couldn't stand Hillary. They weren't all white either. I couldn't believe it...and these were fairly well educated people. Crazy. And my state is about as blue as it gets (Maryland).
 
It would be stupid to do so because Trump easily has the best chances of beating Hillary or Sanders among the republican candidates.

If primary trolls want to make sure a democrat wins the general elections they should go vote for Cruz.

The person with the worst favorables in the history of modern presidential candidates has the best chance of beating Hillary or Sanders is apparently a thing we're saying now.
 
I don't get it either.

Trump would do better against Clinton than both Cruz and Rubio.
Rubio wouldn't absolutely terrify liberals and minorities.

Cruz yeah probably but not by much.

Lot of you are missing the fact that Trump's added appeal over other Republicans is pretty narrowly confined to white conservatives and that he actively repels everyone else. Should he be the nominee (which isn't really even a question anymore) he will be disastrous.
 
Never underestimate Cruz. He's a total slineball that won't hesitate to lie at the tip of a hat and do shady tactics, and the media won't call him out for it.
 
Rubio wouldn't absolutely terrify liberals and minorities.

Cruz yeah probably but not by much.

Lot of you are missing the fact that Trump's added appeal over other Republicans is pretty narrowly confined to white conservatives and that he actively repels everyone else. Should he be the nominee (which isn't really even a question anymore) he will be disastrous.

I think a lot of people are conflating that if you surprise with a win the primary, he must be able to surprise for a win in the general. That's not how this works.
 
I think a lot of people are conflating that if you surprise with a win the primary, he must be able to surprise for a win in the general. That's not how this works.
Plus Trump's wins in the primary haven't exactly been commanding. Usually upper 30s at most. If the party was able to coalesce around one candidate to stop him they could, but there are too many personalities involved and the ones who are still in it (Cruz, Rubio and Kasich) are pretty weaksauce in their own right.
 
I just came back from the hospital because a family member had to get a procedure done and while I'm waiting a bunch of nurses and a doctor started talking about how much they loved Trump and couldn't stand Hillary. They weren't all white either. I couldn't believe it...and these were fairly well educated people. Crazy. And my state is about as blue as it gets (Maryland).

dat Carson endorsement already at work.
 
The person/state that could potentially change the outcome of the general election is John Kasich and Ohio.

Obama won Ohio in 2012 against Mitt Romney by only 3%. What happens if Trump chooses John Kasich, the governor of Ohio, as his vice president/running mate? Trump says he is strongly considering Kasich because it would help him win a state that Obama won last election.

Ohio results in 2012 general election:

Obama - 50.67% (2,827,621 votes)
Mitt Romney - 47.69% (2,661,407 votes)

332-206-electoral-map1.jpg
 
I just came back from the hospital because a family member had to get a procedure done and while I'm waiting a bunch of nurses and a doctor started talking about how much they loved Trump and couldn't stand Hillary. They weren't all white either. I couldn't believe it...and these were fairly well educated people. Crazy. And my state is about as blue as it gets (Maryland).

I was at my kid's cub scout group last night and one of the mothers was talking about how she was scared that Trump was going to round up and publicly execute all the muslims and black people.

The person/state that could potentially change the outcome of the general election is John Kasich and Ohio.

Obama won Ohio in 2012 against Mitt Romney by only 3%. What happens if Trump chooses John Kasich, the governor of Ohio, as his vice president/running mate? Trump says he is strongly considering Kasich because it would help him win a state that Obama won last election.

Ohio results in 2012 general election:

Obama - 50.67% (2,827,621 votes)
Mitt Romney - 47.69% (2,661,407 votes)

I don't think Kasich likes Trump's personality, I think he would decline. But who knows, most politicians are ultimately after their own self interest and aspirations.
 
The person/state that could potentially change the outcome of the general election is John Kasich and Ohio.

Obama won Ohio in 2012 against Mitt Romney by only 3%. What happens if Trump chooses John Kasich, the governor of Ohio, as his vice president/running mate? Trump says he is strongly considering Kasich because it would help him win a state that Obama won last election.

Ohio results in 2012 general election:

Obama - 50.67% (2,827,621 votes)
Mitt Romney - 47.69% (2,661,407 votes)

If all that changes in the upcoming election from 2012 is Ohio, that doesn't change the outcome of the election.
 
The person/state that could potentially change the outcome of the general election is John Kasich and Ohio.

Obama won Ohio in 2012 against Mitt Romney by only 3%. What happens if Trump chooses John Kasich, the governor of Ohio, as his vice president/running mate? Trump says he is strongly considering Kasich because it would help him win a state that Obama won last election.

Ohio results in 2012 general election:

Obama - 50.67% (2,827,621 votes)
Mitt Romney - 47.69% (2,661,407 votes)
Luckily the Democratic coalition doesn't need to rely on big swing states (like Florida or Ohio) as much as they used to.

A Democrat who simply holds together Kerry's map + NM, NV and VA gets to 270.
 
My prediction is that a Cruz/Kasich ticket comes out of a brokered convention.

If Trump wins FL it looks like he'll be unstoppable for getting the necessary delegates. And he's polling way ahead there. And he's slightly ahead in Ohio too. If he gets both, then I don't see anyone else getting the nomination
 
If Trump wins FL it looks like he'll be unstoppable for getting the necessary delegates. And he's polling way ahead there. And he's slightly ahead in Ohio too. If he gets both, then I don't see anyone else getting the nomination

right, I should've prefaced that that's assuming Trump loses Ohio to Kasich (I think he can win FL but still come short of 1,237 if he doesn't get Ohio too). Obviously if Trump clinches the 1,237 delegates, there'd be no cause for a brokered convention.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom